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Oscar wins that are 100% lock

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  • seoul
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    #181681

    Julianne Moore- Still Alice
    Patricia Arquette-Boyhood
    Julia Roberts-Erin Brokovich
     Renee Zellweger-Cold Mountain
    Continue… 

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    seoul
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    #181683

    Daniel Day Lewis – Lincoln
    Kate Winslet-The Reader

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    Kyle Bailey
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    #181684

    Anne Hathaway “Les Miserables”
    Monique “Precious”
    Octavia Spencer “The Help”
    Christoph Waltz “Inglorious Bastards”
    JK Simmons “Whiplash”
    Heath Ledger “The Dark Knight”
     

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    Monty
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    #181685

    Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
    Colin Firth (King’s Speech)
    Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
    Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
    Charlize Theron (Monster)
    Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Man)

    No one can touch them in their respective years 

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    dinasztie
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    #181686

    I cannot believe you guys didn’t mention the biggest lock of all time, Dame Helen Mirren for The Queen. But I guess that was more than 100% sure.

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    FilmGuy619
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    #181687

    Jared Leto- Dallas Buyers Club
    Foresf Whitaker- Last King of Scotland
    Philip Seymour Hoffman- Capote  

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    ETPhoneHome
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    Jan 3rd, 2013
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    #181688

    Christopher Plummer for Beginners
    Jamie Foxx for Ray
    Tim Robbins for Mystic River 

    Come participate in this year's Goldderby Rankings! http://www.goldderby.com/forum/movies/2017-goldderby-rankings/

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    seoul
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    #181689

    Yeah. Helen Mirren’s lock must have been like 150%
    By the way,more 100% locks before 2000s
    Holly Hunter-The Piano
    Nicolas Cage-Leaving Las Vegas

    Lauren Bacall-The Mirror Has Two Faces (her lock was bigger than Helen Mirren’s lock and she still lost that Oscar LOL)

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    GhostOrchid
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    #181690

    Anthony Hopkins-The Silence of the Lambs
    Jodie Foster-The Silence of the Lambs
    Ben Kingsley-Ghandi
    Meryl Streep-Sophie’s Choice and Kramer vs. Kramer
    Jessica Lange-Tootsie
    Both wins of Robert DeNiro, Tom Hanks, Dustin Hoffman, Marlon Brando and Vivien Leigh
    Elizabeth Taylor-Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

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    harposboy
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    #181691

    Dianne Weist – Bullets Over Broadway
    Martin Landau – Ed Wood
    Susan Sarandon – Dead Man Walking

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    #181692

    Natalie Portman (Black Swan)

    Annette Bening?

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    Gone_Guy
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    #181693

    [quote=”FredericLam”]Natalie Portman (Black Swan)

    Annette Bening?[/quote]

    Nah. That was all Portman, who was indeed totally locked. The genra-splitting at the Globes at least gave us one televised win for Bening, which I was happy to see.  

    2010 Lead Actress
    – Oscar: Natalie Portman, Black Swan
    – BAFTA: Portman
    – SAG: Portman
    – Globe Drama: Portman
    – Globe Com/Mus: Annette Bening, The Kids
    Are All Right

    – CCA: Portman
    – INDIE: Portman
    – LAFCA: Hye-Ja Kim, Mother
    – NYFCC: Bening
    – NSOFC: Giovanna Mezzoglorno, Vincere
    – NBR: Lesley Manville, Another Year
        

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    Gone_Guy
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    #181694

    Susan Sarandon – Dead Man Walking

    I disagree that Sarandon was a lock. Her only major win going into the Oscar race was at SAG.  


    1996 Lead Actress

    – Oscar: Susan Sarandon, Dead Man Walking
    – BAFTA: Emma Thompson, Sense and
    Sensibility

    – SAG: Sarandon
    – Globe Drama: Sharon Stone, Casino
    – Globe Com/Mus: Nicole Kidman, To Die
    For

    – CCA: Kidman
    – INDIE: Elisabeth Shue, Leaving Las
    Vegas

    – LAFCA: Shue
    – NYFCC: Jennifer Jason Leigh, Georgia
    – NSOFC: Shue
    – NBR: Emma Thompson, for both Carrington
    and Sense and Sensibility
        

    Truly, what an incredible year for actresses in leading roles. In a field of 15 nearly perfect performances, I think the best was by Elisabeth Shue. 

    Susan Sarandon, Dead Man Walking
    Elisabeth Shue, Leaving Las Vegas
    Sharon Stone, Casino
    Meryl Streep, The Bridges of Madison County
    Emma Thompson, Sense and Sensibility 

    Angela Bassett, Waiting to Exhale
    Kathy Bates, Dolores Claiborne
    Annette Bening, The American President
    Toni Collette, Muriel’s Wedding
    Julie Delpy, Before Sunrise
    Nicole Kidman, To Die For
    Jessica Lange, Losing Isaiah
    Jennifer Jason Leigh, Georgia
    Julianne Moore, Safe
    Alicia Silverstone, Clueless 

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    harposboy
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    #181695

    I agree it was a great year. It’s a great line-up of nominees and a lot of really deserving actresses left off.

    However, I remember at the time that Sarandon was a lock.

    Bridges underperformed, and Streep wasn’t about to win her third so soon.
    Stone’s nomination was the win, a vote of confidence for future work. Even she admitted that her Globe win was “a miracle.”
    Thompson was a lock for Screenplay, and had just won Actress three years earlier.
    Shue was the critics darling and the breakthrough performance of the year, but it was Cage’s movie.

    All money was on Sarandon. Her fourth nomination in five years, a respected and successful actress at the height of her powers in the right role with the right narrative on the making of the film. It was not a coincidence or hubris that she wore gold to the ceremony. She had it in the bag.

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    Gone_Guy
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    #181696

    Fun thread. I’ve been wondering about this. I decided to go back until the SAG Awards started. Locked acting wins have become a regular thing as the years have progressed. 2002 was an extremely exciting race in all four categories, while the mid to late 90s had maybe a single lock. 

    2014
    – Juliianne Moore, Still Alice
    – J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
    – Patricia Arquette, Boyhood

    2013
    – Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
    – Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
    – Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

    2012 
    – Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
    – Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

    2011
    – Jean Dujardin, The Artist
    – Christopher Plummer, Beginners
    – Octavia Spencer, The Help

    2010
    – Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
    – Natalie Portman, Black Swan
    – Christian Bale, The Fighter
    – Melissa Leo, The Fighter

    2009
    – Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
    – Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
    – Mo’Nique, Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ By Sapphire

    2008
    – Kate Winslet, The Reader
    – Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight

    2007
    – Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
    – Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

    2006
    – Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
    – Helen Mirren, The Queen
    – Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls

    2005
    – Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
    – Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

    2004
    – Jamie Foxx, Ray
    – Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby

    2003
    – Charlize Theron, Monster
    – Tim Robbins, Mystic River
    – Renee Zellweger, Chicago

    ———-
    2002

    None. A year where truly all four acting categories were toss-ups.

    Lead Actor precursors had mostly been split between Daniel Day-Lewis (Gangs of New York) and Jack Nicholson (About Schmidt). Then Adrien Brody (The Pianist) ended up winning.

    Lead Actress winner Nicole Kidman (The Hours) was coming in with the BAFTA and Globe. But Renee Zellweger was right on her with SAG and Globe. Julianne Moore had Critics Choice, LAFCA, Indie Spirit, and NBR, and plus the added boost of being a double-nominee. 

    Supporting Actor precursors had mostly gone to eventual Oscar champ, Chris Cooper (Adaptation), at Globes, Critics Choice, LAFCA, and NBR. But Christopher Walken (Catch Me If You Can) had two huge wins at BAFTA and SAG. With my personal favorite, NBR winner Dennis Quaid (Far From Heaven), not even being nominated, this was a huge head-scratcher. I think I ultimately predicted Cooper because it had four noms, all in major categories (Lead Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay) to the two noms Catch Me If You Can received (Supporting Actor, Original Score). It was Walken’s first nom since winning Supporting Actor for 1978’s The Deer Hunter. Had Walken never won, I think he would have taken this. What a race.

    Supporting Actress was probably the most predictable of the four, since Oscar champ Catherine Zeta-Jones (Chicago) came in with wins at BAFTA, SAG, and Critics Choice. Zeta-Jones went Lead at Globes, and Streep won Supporting (About Schmidt). That it had been so long since Streep won anything coupled with the speech of the night, it made her a serious threat to Zeta-Jones. Plus, again, Julianne Moore was a double-nominee. 

    Has there even been a year where all four acting races were this exciting going into the race? These days, we’re lucky if we get a single acting race that’s a toss-up (Redmayne/Keaton this year, Nyong’o/Lawrence last year). Plus, each category contained some major snubs: Richard Gere (Chicago) and Leonardo DiCaprio (Catch Me If You Can) in Lead Actor, Meryl Streep (The Hours) in Lead Actress, Dennis Quaid (Far From Heaven) and Andy Serkis (LOTR: The Two Towers) in Supporting Actor, and Michelle Pfeiffer (White Oleander) and Cameron Diaz (Gangs of New York) in Supporting Actress. 
    ———-

    2001
    – Jim Broadbent, Iris
    – Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind

    2000
    – Julia Roberts, Erin Brockovich

    1999
    – Kevin Spacey, American Beauty
    – Angelina Jolie, Girl, Interrupted

    1998
    – Judi Dench, Shakespeare In Love

    1997
    – Jack Nicholson, As Good As It Gets

    1996
    – Geoffrey Rush, Shine
    – Frances McDormand, Fargo

    1995
    – Nicolas Cage, Leaving Vas Vegas   

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