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Oscars 2020 Predictions (Part 3)

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  • Lexa
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    #1203070620

    I think Bombshell is gonna bomb.

    John Berchmans
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    It could also be Bombshell that does it, not necessarily Little Women. Streep is reportedly a co-star in the movie, and Pugh might not be flashy enough to attract awards appeal. Regardless it could definitely happen cuz the field is wide open, only Dern is a lock and JLo is not happening.

    The problem with Bombshell is it doesn’t really seems like a major contender at the moment. Right now, I only have it in Makeup, Actress, and Supporting Actress (for Robbie).

    Academy-Award winners:

    Parasite: Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Original Screenplay

    Joker: Best Actor - Joaquin Phoenix

    Jojo Rabbit: Best Adapted Screenplay

    Cinephile
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    Just imagining what a bloodbath SAG ensemble will be this year.

    – ouatih
    – the irishman
    – parasite
    – marriage story
    – jojo rabbit

    – little women???
    – the farewell???
    – waves???
    – knives out???

    Hoster1
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    #1203070749

    I don’t see Jojo or Parasite happening at SAG, but I think Knives Out has a decent chance if it’s a hit.

    moviefan617
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    I think Bombshell is gonna bomb.

    Awards season can be so excruciating because people do things like this and post one sentence without backing up their thought process or providing insight, but usually just do this to titilate or stir the pot. If you’re gonna make a claim, back it up with something or otherwise your post is basically worthless.

    Show Me The Receipts!
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    SAG Ensemble Prediction:
    Cats
    Hustlers
    The Irishman
    Little Women
    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Alt: Waves

    My name is NOT Susan.

    Josh5890
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    I saw The Farewell this week and loved it. Realistically, I could see it getting up to: Picture Director Orig Screenplay (definitely feels like a winner here) Actress Score Do people think it could get any more? I’d love it but it seems doubtful.

    I’m not ruling anything out for The Farewell at this time. That film was a crowd pleaser. I saw it twice and both times I left the theater there was a good buzz. Hopefully it grabs more than just a screenplay nom.

    Foolio
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    Awards season can be so excruciating because people do things like this and post one sentence without backing up their thought process or providing insight, but usually just do this to titilate or stir the pot. If you’re gonna make a claim, back it up with something or otherwise your post is basically worthless.

    I think I love you.

    LegendOfMatt
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    I think Knives Out could definitely pop up in SAG ensemble, but not end up being a BP nominee, like Crazy Rich Asians did last year. Right now, I see it as a potential Original Screenplay nominee, but not much beyond that. Maybe some below the line categories like Production Design.

    Nikhil
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    I think Knives Out could definitely pop up in SAG ensemble, but not end up being a BP nominee, like Crazy Rich Asians did last year. Right now, I see it as a potential Original Screenplay nominee, but not much beyond that. Maybe some below the line categories like Production Design.

    Just a thought: SAG doesn’t just like big ensembles- they recently have been embracing very diverse ensembles. It makes sense to me the actors branch is trying to be more inclusive especially after the controversy a few years ago. It’s also quite possible they are just the most progressive major guild.

    A summary of the last few years:
    2018
    Black Panther
    Blackkklansman
    Crazy Rich Asians
    Bohemian Rhapsody
    A Star is Born

    2017
    Three Billboards
    The Big Sick
    Get Out
    Mudbound
    Lady Bird

    2016
    Hidden Figures
    Fences
    Moonlight
    Captain Fantastic
    Manchester by the Sea

    2015
    Spotlight
    Beasts of No Nation
    Straight Outta Compton
    Trumbo
    The Big Short

    11/20 feature racially diverse casts
    In the last three years, 3 of 5 nominees were films with racially diverse casts.

    If the trend continues, I think this bodes well for Waves, Just Mercy, Parasite, and The Farewell. I’m not saying Knives Out won’t produce a nomination, and this sample is obviously limited, but I would wager 2 out of our 5 ensemble nominees this year are going to come from those four films.

    People earlier were saying they want folks to include more of their reasoning, so that is why I think our SAG ensemble noms will be:

    Waves
    The Farewell
    Just Mercy
    OUATIH
    Little Women

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

    Mr. Tintin
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    SAG Ensemble Nominees:

    Avengers: Endgame

    Little Women

    Marriage Story

    Once Upon A Time In Hollywood

    Waves

    Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

    Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

    Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

    EsOS
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    Bombshell has legit no reason to flop. A-list cast, powerful and timely subject matter, Oscar winning screen-writer and one of the best teasers of the year (imo). It’ll do just fine.

    Banned for making a fake movie poster

    JackO
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    #1203071026

    Just imagining what a bloodbath SAG ensemble will be this year.

    – ouatih
    – the irishman
    – parasite
    – marriage story
    – jojo rabbit

    – little women???
    – the farewell???
    – waves???
    – knives out???

    Honestly other than Once Upon and Marriage Story, I dont really see any other films as “locks”. Jojo flopping really opened things up.

    Victor Cruz
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    Sep 8th, 2013
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    #1203071032

    I don’t understand why JOJO is still in the conversation. It was panned.

    Gabarnes43
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    Jan 6th, 2018
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    #1203071046

    SAG Ensemble predictions:

    • Downton Abby
    • The Irishman
    • Little Women
    • Marriage Story
    • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    FYC Oscars- Little Women, Saoirse Ronan, Joaquin Phoenix, Scarlett Johansson/Florence Pugh

    FYC EMMYS- Schitts Creek, Dead to Me/ THE MORNING SHOW, Jennifer Aniston, Reese Witherspoon, Gugu Mbatha Raw, Killing Eve

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