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Oscars 2020 Predictions (Part 3)

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  • Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Darlings, Downton Abbey is not getting in the Oscar race for God (Thatcher)’s sake.

    I was your Prime Minister once.

    EsOS
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    So Jojo Rabbit is almost back in certified fresh territory on RT. Really don’t know what to do with this one.

    FYC: Octavia Spencer (Luce) - Best Supporting Actress

    thatnerdgreg
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    So Jojo Rabbit is almost back in certified fresh territory on RT. Really don’t know what to do with this one.

    This is actually really interesting. Before it seemed like it was a hit with audience members, but hated by critics. If it gets more critics supporting it, then it could actually get back in to the awards conversation. After all, we saw last year with Vice and Bohemian Rhapsody that you can still get in even if your film is extremely divisive, just as long as you have a lot people who are genuinely very passionate about it. Bohemian Rhapsody showed that passion can even make the film a major contender. The same could be said about Green Book, but I felt that the film itself wasn’t as divisive as the other examples I brought up, as it seemed most of the controversy came from stuff that happened behind the scenes. Anyway, I’ll continue to keep an eye on Jojo Rabbit for now. It might not be as dead as we thought it once was.

    John Berchmans
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    So Jojo Rabbit is almost back in certified fresh territory on RT. Really don’t know what to do with this one.

    But the Metacritic score is still almost as bad as Bohemian Rhapsody. I still don’t think it’s a contender anymore.

    For Your Consideration.

    Best Picture: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari
    Best Director: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips
    Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Best Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell
    Best Supporting Actress: Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit, Joker
    Best Original Screenplay: Parasite, Ford v Ferrari

    Honey
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    #1203071545

    But the Metacritic score is still almost as bad as Bohemian Rhapsody. I still don’t think it’s a contender anymore.

    Still, the RT average rating is higher than Just Mercy, Ford V Ferrari, Judy, Harriet, The Aeronauts and couple of other Oscar contenders.

    John Berchmans
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    #1203071555

    Still, the RT average rating is higher than Just Mercy, Ford V Ferrari, Judy, Harriet, The Aeronauts and couple of other Oscar contenders.

    That’s a very specific metric though. Ford v Ferrari’s actual RT score is 15% higher.

    For Your Consideration.

    Best Picture: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari
    Best Director: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips
    Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Best Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell
    Best Supporting Actress: Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit, Joker
    Best Original Screenplay: Parasite, Ford v Ferrari

    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203071569

    But the Metacritic score is still almost as bad as Bohemian Rhapsody. I still don’t think it’s a contender anymore.

    But if Jojo Rabbit finds enough people who feel as passionately about it as audiences did about Bohemian Rhapsody, then it could still possibly get in. Of course, unlike Bohemian Rhapsody which was about one of the most beloved men of all time, Jojo Rabbit includes one of the most hated men of all time in a major role. So it won’t be able to rely on love for the movie’s subject like Bohemian Rhapsody did. I still hope Jojo can make a comeback. The trailers looked great, Taika is a wonderful director, and I love the cast (except for Rebel Wilson)

    John Berchmans
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    #1203071588

    But if Jojo Rabbit finds enough people who feel as passionately about it as audiences did about Bohemian Rhapsody, then it could still possibly get in. Of course, unlike Bohemian Rhapsody which was about one of the most beloved men of all time, Jojo Rabbit includes one of the most hated men of all time in a major role. So it won’t be able to rely on love for the movie’s subject like Bohemian Rhapsody did. I still hope Jojo can make a comeback. The trailers looked great, Taika is a wonderful director, and I love the cast (except for Rebel Wilson)

    Bohemian Rhapsody also made over $900M worldwide. Jojo Rabbit will be lucky to make 1/20th of that gross. It will probably bomb.

    For Your Consideration.

    Best Picture: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari
    Best Director: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips
    Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Best Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell
    Best Supporting Actress: Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit, Joker
    Best Original Screenplay: Parasite, Ford v Ferrari

    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203071600

    Bohemian Rhapsody also made over $900M worldwide. Jojo Rabbit will be lucky to make 1/20th of that gross. It will probably bomb.

    JackO
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    #1203071639

    So Jojo Rabbit is almost back in certified fresh territory on RT. Really don’t know what to do with this one.

    Still seems divisive to me. Maybe it isnt a dumpster fire like before but dont really see an avenue for it anymore.

    MarinaBelo2
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    #1203071643

    Is Jojo Rabbit a typical safe Oscar-bait movie? Because if it is, it can totally get in regardless of quality.

    Mr. Tintin
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    #1203072049

    Is Jojo Rabbit a typical safe Oscar-bait movie? Because if it is, it can totally get in regardless of quality.

    Judging from the subject matter and Taika Waititi, I doubt it.

    Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

    Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

    Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

    Greg
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    #1203072063

    With now 76% on Rotten Tomatoes I wonder if Joker will be too divisive for the Academy…

    JustGuy89
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    #1203072068

    Why do y’all care for RT scores? Didn’t vice get into BP earlier this year? And that movie was a mess and had a low score

    John Berchmans
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    #1203072085

    As long as Joker stays above 70% I’m not too worried: plenty of films have made it into Picture with low-mid 70’s scores. If if drops into the 60’s it will have to be this year’s Bohemian Rhapsody: massive box office and an overwhelming wave of fan support.

    For Your Consideration.

    Best Picture: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari
    Best Director: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips
    Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Best Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell
    Best Supporting Actress: Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit, Joker
    Best Original Screenplay: Parasite, Ford v Ferrari

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