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Oscars 2020 Predictions (Part 3)

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    JackO
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    With now 76% on Rotten Tomatoes I wonder if Joker will be too divisive for the Academy…

    Nah. Critics dont vote oscar. Critics scores are only important for little tiny films that need buzz, not huge movies like Joker.

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    Bee
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    Joker will be massive and even with the polarising response, it has passionate lovers that’ll vote for it.

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    bellajoe
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    It’s worth noting fans also may not unanimously praise Joker, it is said to be super divisive (even without the dumb “it inspires violence” crap a lot of critics are preaching).

    Lol at that poster making fun of people predicting Avengers… while predicting Hustlers.

    Does anyone here think The Report may break out more than just supporting actress? It’s Oscar bait, albeit playing to the older tastes of the academy, but bait nonetheless. Driver is on a roll recently, so maybe voters will tune in for him. I think its writer/director are holding it back, but I have it in picture solely because I don’t know what else to put.

     

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    Foolio
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    It’s one thing to sit at 76 % with middling reviews and a whole different story to sit at 76 % with sharply divisive reviews. That’s pretty much the difference between Harriet and Joker right now. We all know which one has an open path to multiple nods and even some wins.

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    M: The Original
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    With now 76% on Rotten Tomatoes I wonder if Joker will be too divisive for the Academy…

    Best Actor is its primary concern for category recognition.

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    TheDreamingHead
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    Where’s The Aeronauts in everyone’s prediction?

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    Pulp
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    Divisive films that do well at oscars are usually divisive with reviews a lot more than general audiences, and are usually crowd pleasers like Green Book, Bohemian Rhapsody or even Three Billboards. But I think Joker could be even more divisive among audiences than critics, I doubt it will totally shut out of awards season like this film, but the divisiveness seems more like mother!, or Vox Lux than Green Book or Three Billboards. It’ll still make a lot of money, so it won’t be a total non starter like those films, but if the reactions aren’t great from audiences then it can forget about any noms but Phoenix. Honestly I think that’s all it’s getting anyway, even if regular people love it.

    #FreeTheBannedFour

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    Pulp
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    Where’s The Aeronauts in everyone’s prediction?

    waiting for the tech categories to be added. I’m not sure if I’ll actually predict it anywhere, but it’s probably a pretty strong visual effects contender, maybe something like production design or sound too. I don’t see why people aren’t higher on Felicity Jones though, I’m not predicting her but she’s a contender with the race being so weak.

    #FreeTheBannedFour

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    TheDreamingHead
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    waiting for the tech categories to be added. I’m not sure if I’ll actually predict it anywhere, but it’s probably a pretty strong visual effects contender, maybe something like production design or sound too. I don’t see why people aren’t higher on Felicity Jones though, I’m not predicting her but she’s a contender with the race being so weak.

    Yeah Idk why. Everyone was so bold on it, especially Eddie and Felicity, and then it just … vanished even before its premiere at TIFF.

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    Pulp
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    Yeah Idk why. Everyone was so bold on it, especially Eddie and Felicity, and then it just … vanished even before its premiere at TIFF.

    Yeah and it’s not like it’s getting bad reviews, people seem to like it quite a bit, and Felicity is being singled out by everyone. I don’t think anyone was ever expecting it to get huge raves. It’s not a surefire box office hit, but it has potential to make a lot of money if they market it as a fun family friendly adventure film.

    #FreeTheBannedFour

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    ARegularGuy
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    I think Jojo Rabbit‘s chances are all but gone at this point, save for maybe a Best Adapted Screenplay nom.

    With the lukewarm reviews and Disney’s worry about the film hurting their image (see: https://www.indiewire.com/2019/08/disney-fears-taika-waititi-nazi-jojo-rabbit-edgy-studio-1202165495/) I doubt it will get a major awards push from the studio and more of their efforts will be put into Ford v Ferrari, which apparently is well liked by Disney brass.

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Darlings, what if Hustlers is finally this year’s Bridesmaids and gets nominated for Screenplay and Supporting Actress for Stripper Lopez? Of course it isn’t winning anything, but it could get nominated, as surreal as it seems.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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    Nikhil
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    It’s one thing to sit at 76 % with middling reviews and a whole different story to sit at 76 % with sharply divisive reviews. That’s pretty much the difference between Harriet and Joker right now. We all know which one has an open path to multiple nods and even some wins.

    This. To get a nomination you need a ton of number ones on the ballot which means your film needs passionate supporters. It’s the reason I’m not completely counting out Joker or Jojo from certain categories.

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Darlings, we all know how Rotten Tomatoes works. Harriet should have had a higher score to be even in the conversation for Best Picture. Its rating means that it is a very average (and probably boring as hell) biopic. So, it’s getting ignored and so will be Erivo.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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