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Oscars 2020 Predictions (Part 3)

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  • LLLhawks
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    Noone can beat Michael Stuhlbarg who appeared in 3 best picture nominees: Call me by your name, Ladybird and The Post

    Scarlett might match that if Jojo Rabbit, Marriage Story and Endgame all get nominated. That’s a big might though ofc.

    I just love movies. And awards.

    Anonymous
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    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Darlings, Endgame isn’t getting nominated. Even Hustlers is going to have a better shot. I have to laugh.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

    Mr. Tintin
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    #1203090493

    Darlings, Endgame isn’t getting nominated. Even Hustlers is going to have a better shot. I have to laugh.

    Disney has already started it’s campaign, and they will be loud. It will be nominated.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/movieweb.com/amp/avengers-endgame-oscars-campaign-disney/

    Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

    Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

    Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

    JackO
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    If it underperforms in quality

    – There will be a backlash critically

    – Then audiences will say “eh it’s not THAT bad”, it will get high streaming numbers

    – Second wave of reviews outside of the festival more favourable

    – Netflix pushes Marriage Story way more than it

    – The film gains underdog status despite being Scorcese

    – This narrative leads to Netflix reprioritising it

    – It overperforms on Oscar nominations because of this underdog status

    Yeah you dont get to be predicted across the board sight unseen and be called an underdog. Usually in these cases when a late breaker underperforms buzz wise, it underperforms Oscar wise. It already has status because it is scorsese, it isnt going to magically get more because people view it negatively.

    John Berchmans
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    Disney has already started it’s campaign, and they will be loud. It will be nominated. https://www.google.com/amp/s/movieweb.com/amp/avengers-endgame-oscars-campaign-disney/

    No it won’t. Joker’s nearly a lock, and there is no way we’ll get two comic book movies nominated in the same year. Plus, no one’s actually talking about Endgame’s oscar potential the same way they were for Black Panther last year. And I’m saying this as someone who stanned Endgame hard on these forums for a while.

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Uncut Gems, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Benny and Josh Safdie, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Phoenix, Sandler, Pattinson, Driver, Bale
    Actress: Nyong'o, Johansson
    S. Actor: Dafoe, Kang-Ho, Rockwell, Pacino, Hopkins
    S. Actress: Dern, McKensie, Yeo-Jeong, Julia Fox
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman, Toy Story 4
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari, Uncut Gems, Us

    Eric Darling
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    Noone can beat Michael Stuhlbarg who appeared in 3 best picture nominees: Call me by your name, Ladybird and The Post

    1) Stuhlbarg appeared in Call Me By Your Name, The Post and The Shape of Water, not Ladybird

    2) A handful of other actors have been in 3 Best Picture nominees: John C. Reilly did it in 2002 (Chicago, Gangs of New York and The Hours), while there were a number of them in the 30s (Claudette Colbert, Charles Laughton, Adolph Menjou and Thomas Mitchell)

    thatnerdgreg
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    No it won’t. Joker’s nearly a lock, and there is no way we’ll get two comic book movies nominated in the same year. Plus, no one’s actually talking about Endgame’s oscar potential the same way they were for Black Panther last year. And I’m saying this as someone who stanned Endgame hard on these forums for a while.

    Right now, I don’t think either film is getting nominated. I believe Endgame (which deserves a nomination) is seen as too much of a comic book blockbuster to be embraced by the Academy, while Joker will be too divisive to overcome comic book bias, even if it it’s a fresh take on the genre.

    John Berchmans
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    Right now, I don’t think either film is getting nominated. I believe Endgame (which deserves a nomination) is seen as too much of a comic book blockbuster to be embraced by the Academy, while Joker will be too divisive to overcome comic book bias, even if it it’s a fresh take on the genre.

    Being divisive won’t be a problem of it plays to the right audience. The majority of critics really love this film, and I think the same will be true for academy voters. Plus, controversy has had very little effect on Oscar results the last two years.

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Uncut Gems, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Benny and Josh Safdie, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Phoenix, Sandler, Pattinson, Driver, Bale
    Actress: Nyong'o, Johansson
    S. Actor: Dafoe, Kang-Ho, Rockwell, Pacino, Hopkins
    S. Actress: Dern, McKensie, Yeo-Jeong, Julia Fox
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman, Toy Story 4
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari, Uncut Gems, Us

    Hammad Asif
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    #1203091166

    Top Contenders for Cinematography?

    Ad Astra looks amazing.

    What are some more?

    Kubrick-Scorsese-Nolan-Coens-PTA-Fincher-Hitchock-Spike Lee-Tarantino
    19yr old Film School Student

    babypook
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    #1203091170

    Roger Deakins comes to mind, irrespective of the film’s reception.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    John Berchmans
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    Top Contenders for Cinematography?

    Ad Astra looks amazing.

    What are some more?

    1917 is the dominant frontrunner thanks to it’s one-shot nature and the fact that Roger Deakins is no longer cursed thanks to Blade Runner 2049. A Hidden Life and The Lighthouse are also safe bets right now, the former because Terrence Malick films almost always get in, and the latter because it’s filmed in such a clever and unique way. The last two nominees will probably be Picture nomineees: my bets right now are on Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and The Irishman.

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Uncut Gems, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Benny and Josh Safdie, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Phoenix, Sandler, Pattinson, Driver, Bale
    Actress: Nyong'o, Johansson
    S. Actor: Dafoe, Kang-Ho, Rockwell, Pacino, Hopkins
    S. Actress: Dern, McKensie, Yeo-Jeong, Julia Fox
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman, Toy Story 4
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari, Uncut Gems, Us

    MKnight98
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    #1203091205

    I think the technical/craft categories should be added to the center now.

    Babygirl
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    #1203091243

    Being divisive won’t be a problem of it plays to the right audience. The majority of critics really love this film, and I think the same will be true for academy voters. Plus, controversy has had very little effect on Oscar results the last two years.

    “Really love” is a strong word for a film that’s literally on the edge of going to the 60s on MC.

    John Berchmans
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    #1203091301

    “Really love” is a strong word for a film that’s literally on the edge of going to the 60s on MC.

    What I mean is that all the critics who like it are giving it 9’s or 10’s. For comparison, Jojo Rabbit is 1% higher than Joker on Rotten Tommatoes bur 17 points lower on metacritic, meaning the critics who like it don’t like it nearly as much as the ones who like Joker. Both will still be nominated for Picture regardless.

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Uncut Gems, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Benny and Josh Safdie, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Phoenix, Sandler, Pattinson, Driver, Bale
    Actress: Nyong'o, Johansson
    S. Actor: Dafoe, Kang-Ho, Rockwell, Pacino, Hopkins
    S. Actress: Dern, McKensie, Yeo-Jeong, Julia Fox
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman, Toy Story 4
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari, Uncut Gems, Us

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