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Oscars 2020 Predictions (Part 3)

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  • Babygirl
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    #1203091243

    Being divisive won’t be a problem of it plays to the right audience. The majority of critics really love this film, and I think the same will be true for academy voters. Plus, controversy has had very little effect on Oscar results the last two years.

    “Really love” is a strong word for a film that’s literally on the edge of going to the 60s on MC.

    John Berchmans
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    #1203091301

    “Really love” is a strong word for a film that’s literally on the edge of going to the 60s on MC.

    What I mean is that all the critics who like it are giving it 9’s or 10’s. For comparison, Jojo Rabbit is 1% higher than Joker on Rotten Tommatoes bur 17 points lower on metacritic, meaning the critics who like it don’t like it nearly as much as the ones who like Joker. Both will still be nominated for Picture regardless.

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Adam Driver, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Actress: Scarlett Johansson, Lupita Nyong'o
    S. Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell, Al Pacino, Alan Alda
    S. Actress: Laura Dern, Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari

    JackO
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    #1203091314

    1917 is the dominant frontrunner thanks to it’s one-shot nature and the fact that Roger Deakins is no longer cursed thanks to Blade Runner 2049. A Hidden Life and The Lighthouse are also safe bets right now, the former because Terrence Malick films almost always get in, and the latter because it’s filmed in such a clever and unique way. The last two nominees will probably be Picture nomineees: my bets right now are on Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and The Irishman.

    You are missing Ford vs Ferrari. Hidden Life is not getting in. Malick films havent been nominated since tree of life lol

    Mr. Tintin
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    #1203091324

    Roger Deakins comes to mind, irrespective of the film’s reception.

    I think Avengers: EndgameOnce Upon A Time In Hollywood, and Parasite seem solid as contenders. I’m holding out on 1917 till its release.

    Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

    Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

    Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

    LegendOfMatt
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    #1203091363

    Lucy in the Sky currently has a 35 on Metacritic, so if you still have it in your predictions, I would suggest swapping it out. Too bad, I thought it had some potential.

    MKnight98
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    #1203091511

    I think Avengers: Endgame, Once Upon A Time In Hollywood, and Parasite seem solid as contenders. I’m holding out on 1917 till its release.

    Endgame for Cinematography? That’s not gonna happen. Flat out, probably not even a top 15 contender for that category. The reason being probably, the Cinematography branch voters aren’t gonna go for Marvel Studio’s brand of cinematography. Not even Rachel Morrison’s Panther camera work was honored, even at the guild-awards level.

    Victor Cruz
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    #1203091568

    Irishman officially 3 and half hours lol

    Coming to flop all across the board.

    Victor Cruz
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    #1203091570

    Time for the Avenger stans to understand that Avengers Endgame is just a visual effects contender

    Cordelia
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    #1203091576

    Avengers: Endgame will be paraded around in For Your Consideration by Disney because they’d want their crown jewel of Marvel to get Oscars, but that won’t happen* in any way other than technical awards.

    *unless literally every unseen Oscars contender isn’t happening, which is absurdly unlikely.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Weathering With You, Parasite, The Lighthouse
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Lighthouse
    Best Animated Feature: Weathering With You, Promare
    Best International Film: Weathering With You, Parasite

    MKnight98
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    #1203091584

    Time for the Avenger stans to understand that Avengers Endgame is just a visual effects contender

    its absolutely in contention for sounds and Score.

    Eric Darling
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    #1203091673

    its absolutely in contention for sounds and Score.

    Black Panther broke the mold for the Score category (it was the first Marvel score to be nominated), but that was at least unique. I don’t see how Endgame’s score stands out compared to most other Marvel scores and I would be surprised at a nomination.

    MKnight98
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    #1203091677

    Black Panther broke the mold for the Score category (it was the first Marvel score to be nominated), but that was at least unique. I don’t see how Endgame’s score stands out compared to most other Marvel scores and I would be surprised at a nomination.

    *portals plays softly in the distance*

    John Berchmans
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    #1203092131

    its absolutely in contention for sounds and Score.

    I agree with that analysis. Endgame will break out a little more than previous non-Black Panther marvel films did, due to it’s massive box office, high critical acclaim, and an aggressive campaign from Disney, but any nominations other then those 4 seem unlikely to me. It will probably hit the same sweet spot that Last Jedi did after Force Awakens overperformed with a film editing nom.

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Adam Driver, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Actress: Scarlett Johansson, Lupita Nyong'o
    S. Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell, Al Pacino, Alan Alda
    S. Actress: Laura Dern, Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari

    Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    John Berchmans
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    #1203098057

    Darlings, it’s been a tremendous pleasure.

    https://www.goldderby.com/forum/television/2019-emmy-awards-ceremony-reactions-part-4/page/7/#post-1203097801

    Farewell Thatcher. It’s been an honor.

    null

    BP: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari, Marriage Story,
    BD: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips, Noah Baumbach
    Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Adam Driver, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Actress: Scarlett Johansson, Lupita Nyong'o
    S. Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell, Al Pacino, Alan Alda
    S. Actress: Laura Dern, Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    AS: Jojo Rabbit, Joker, The Irishman
    OS: Parasite, Marriage Story, Ford v Ferrari

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