Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 6)

[lorelei lor Joined: Dec 20th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 313 View Predictions]

#1204003002

He’s coming!

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1890 View Predictions]

#1204004338

What if Riz Amed is the Best Actor winner and we’ve been underestimating him all along.

[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17583 View Predictions]

#1204004353

Chadwick Boseman has been putting up too much of a fight at the critic awards. That is supposed to Riz Ahmed’s stronghold. Delroy Lindo splitting the vote is not helping either.

Kingsley Ben-Adir is getting the fifth slot, by the way. Nobody cares about Gary Oldman for some reason. (I do.) He deserves, but we see this happen sometimes after someone gets an Oscar and the sinking of Mank is obviously not helping. Steven Yeun is not going to get the number-ones from people (who never saw or cared for Burning) for a passive supporting performance. Ben-Adir’s Breakthrough performance in the meaty role of Malcolm X has what it takes to capitalize on the open slot. I do not know what it going on with the flopping of One Night in Miami… at the precursors and I even have it missing the Best Picture nomination, but Best Actor is a weird race, so he can overcome it.

Tom Hanks is crying that he did not have this field when he competed for Captain Phillips, as is Jake Gyllenhaal for Nightcrawler and so forth. I think that Mads Mikkelsen almost had what it takes, but the role was just a little shy of being meaty enough for an Antonio Banderas-style rallying for career achievement.

[Miles Joined: Oct 22nd, 2016 Topics: 22 Posts: 3847 View Predictions]

#1204004373

I think Oldman is vulnerable but I don’t feel comfortable predicting anyone else at the moment. If anyone is going to overtake him, I think it’s going to be Stanfield, but most of the praise I’ve seen has gone towards Kaluuya and Fishback. I think Judas and the Black Messiah has what it takes to be a SAG ensemble contender but it remains to be seen how many voters will care about non-Kaluuya performances.

Ben-Adir has been flopping at critics groups (not a single mention) which is so odd considering how well Odor Jr. is doing down in supporting and how freaking great he is as Malcolm X. As hard as I try, there really is no explaining his performance’s lack of passion from critics casting their ballots (the same critics that raved about him in their reviews). I could see a world where he gets in for supporting at the Globes (1-2 open slots there and when the Globes change categories on someone, they like to follow through) but does that complicate things for him? I really want to see him be nominated but I’m not willing to bet on it right now.

[Dorsey Joined: Dec 31st, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 591 View Predictions]

#1204007200

Odom Jr has name recognition from Hamilton while Ben-Adir does not. Easy as that. I liked his performance a hell of a lot better than Oldman’s but he’s not happening.

FYC: Riz Ahmed + Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
Sidney Flanigan (Never Rarely Sometimes Always)
Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

[Victor Joined: Jun 18th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 1724 View Predictions]

#1204007350

Is Gary Oldman really getting that 5th slot a la JLaw in Joy?

[LLLhawks Joined: Dec 28th, 2018 Topics: 33 Posts: 929 View Predictions]

#1204007648

Chadwick Boseman
Riz Ahmed
Delroy Lindo
Kingsley Ben-Adir
Steven Yeun

Spoiler: John David Washington

I’m not saying that that’s gonna be the lineup, but can you just imagine how MENTAL that group would be?

I just love movies. And awards.

[manakamana Joined: Jul 28th, 2011 Topics: 19 Posts: 1553 View Predictions]

#1204007659

Ahmed, Boseman, and Lindo seem strong and Hopkins still seems safe enough, in spite of his film’s overperformance (crazy he’s 4th now compared to how confident people were about his chances earlier in the year).

I have Yeun in fifth over Mank because I’m not sensing passion for Mank and its buzz seems muted. Meanwhile, Minari is overperforming and Yeun is a recognizable face stateside from The Walking Dead and overseas (at least among artistic AMPAS international voters invited) from stuff like Burning.

[Dan Backslide Joined: Apr 24th, 2016 Topics: 63 Posts: 5679 View Predictions]

#1204007682

Victor wrote:

Is Gary Oldman really getting that 5th slot a la JLaw in Joy?

No, because unlike JLaw, he’s actually deserving.

[maxinho Joined: Jan 28th, 2019 Topics: 2 Posts: 566 View Predictions]

#1204007685

My Best Actor ranking:

1. Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)
2. Antonio de la Torre (The Endless Trench)
3. Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
4. Adarsh Gourav (The White Tiger)
5. Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)
6. John Magaro (First Cow)
7. Steven Yeun (Minari)
8. Kingsley Ben-Adir (One Night In Miami…)
9. Jude Law (The Nest)
10. Gary Oldman (Mank)
11. Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods)
12. Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
13. Jesse Plemons (I’m Thinking of Ending Things)
14. Roberto Benigni (Pinocchio)
15. Andy Samberg (Palm Springs)

 

[Victor Joined: Jun 18th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 1724 View Predictions]

#1204007809

Dan Backslide wrote:

No, because unlike JLaw, he’s actually deserving.

Yeah i know, it’s more for the situation
He’s hanging by a thread, but everyone who’s a threat to him doesn’t seem to catch up.

[MysticMagix Joined: Feb 23rd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 225 View Predictions]

#1204007813

LLLhawks wrote:

Chadwick Boseman Riz Ahmed Delroy Lindo Kingsley Ben-Adir Steven Yeun Spoiler: John David Washington I’m not saying that that’s gonna be the lineup, but can you just imagine how MENTAL that group would be?

 

Would be the first time no white actor was nominated

A little bit of Magic never hurt anybody.

~ MYSTIC

[Noe Joined: Feb 20th, 2014 Topics: 18 Posts: 2719 View Predictions]

#1204008764

Riz Ahmed next film, Flee, an animated documentary in which he is an executive producer and does voice acting, is already receiving high praises at Sundance.

This man 🔥

[Dan Backslide Joined: Apr 24th, 2016 Topics: 63 Posts: 5679 View Predictions]

#1204008782

Victor wrote:

Yeah i know, it’s more for the situation He’s hanging by a thread, but everyone who’s a threat to him doesn’t seem to catch up.

Well even removing quality from the mix, Oldman’s situation is very different from Lawrence’s. Her film was an enormous bust and she was the only part of it gettin any award talk. Oldman’s film, while it’s buzz has lowered quite a bit, is still considered a player in both above and below the line categories.

[Noe Joined: Feb 20th, 2014 Topics: 18 Posts: 2719 View Predictions]

#1204008863

Noe wrote:

Riz Ahmed next film, Flee, an animated documentary in which he is an executive producer and does voice acting, is already receiving high praises at Sundance.

This man

🔥 And NEON just made the first deal of the festival for Flee!