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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 8)

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    Cocastique
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    #1204077600

    Is it possible that people do not vote for Boseman because they think that others will do the job ? Then they can vote for performances they actually liked instead of giving a pity vote ?

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    Monsoon 🌊
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    #1204077806

    Is it possible that people do not vote for Boseman because they think that others will do the job ?

    No. His win is signed, sealed, & delivered.

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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    Cocastique
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    #1204077901

    No. His win is signed, sealed, & delivered.

    Sad. I would’ve loved to see Ahmed win. Another time.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1204077967

    Is it possible that people do not vote for Boseman because they think that others will do the job ?

    That doesn’t happen. I think most people are smart enough to realise that if everyone did that then the ‘favourite’ wouldn’t win. I don’t even think that was the reason Glenn Close lost two years ago despite people constantly raising that argument. The only way I would vote like this would be if there were two people I deemed equally worthy, so I might choose the one less likely to win (or more likely if the race came down to one of my faves and another less deserving candidate).

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    JackO
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    #1204078096

    Is it possible that people do not vote for Boseman because they think that others will do the job ? Then they can vote for performances they actually liked instead of giving a pity vote ?

    Nah. He is the lockiest lock of any category at the oscars. That sounds like something that would happen to Hopkins. Instead of putting him #2, they may put another performance they like better.

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    wolfali
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    #1204078193

    People are still floating around Lindo as an option and I love that (he delivered one of the performances of the year) but what evidence is there that he still has a chance at a nomination? IMO not only are the top 5 in the predictions centre and Rahim are ahead of him but so is Stanfield. Ben-Adir might even be too.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    24fanatic
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    #1204078541

    Tahar Rahim gives a brilliant performance in The Mauritanian. Both he and Jodie Foster deserve noms.

    Lead Actor is super competitive, but if I were a voter I’d have a hard time not voting for Tahar (especially with his movie coming out immediately before the ballots arrive).

    My ballot would look like:

    Tahar Rahim – The Mauritanian
    Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal
    Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods
    Steven Yeun – Minari
    Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    * I still haven’t seen The Father.

    At this point I would be upset to see Gary Oldman score a nom for Mank over any of these performances.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204078736

    Just finished watching Judas and the Black Messiah. I’ll give my full review tomorrow but Stanfield absolutely deserves to be here. I thought he did an even better job than Kaluuya and Kaluuya was also incredibly good. Hopefully the Oscars do the right thing and give him the recognition he deserves.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    Calvin
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    #1204079061

    If Rahim gets in at BAFTA and Yeun doesn’t get in that sixth slot (could be Mikkelsen, could be Ben-Adir, could be Lindo, you just never know) then I’ll predict Rahim to get that fifth spot. Helps that he adds another bit of diversity.

    If Yeun and Rahim both get into BAFTA (also possible), I’ll do the unthinkable and predict them both in over Oldman. I still think Oldman is a safe bet. But I also think an argument could be made for The Mauritanian and Minari’s hype being stronger than ever. I know Boseman/Hopkins/Ahmed/Rahim/Yeun would just be such a wild lineup…yet I could still see it happen.

    FYC:

    Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

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    Bassett
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    #1204079217

    Lindo truly is the biggest snub of the year and I’m so disappointed that SAG failed to nominate him. I usually expect them to fix HFPA’s mess (nominating Nyong’o, Coel, pushing Parasite etc) and I just don’t understand why his performance didn’t resonate with them

    I’m happy to see Chadwick clearing the competition but Lindo deserved to be considered too

    FYC :

    Best Actress - Viola Davis, Frances McDormand
    Best Actor - Delroy Lindo, Chadwick Boseman
    Best Supporting Actor - Colman Domingo, Glynn Turman
    Best Picture - Nomadland
    Best Director - Chloé Zhao
    SAG Ensemble - Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Best Cinematography - Nomadland

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    manakamana
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    #1204079321

    Y’all keep underestimating Minari and Yeun at your own perils.

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    Monsoon 🌊
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    #1204079589

    Yeun has the advantage of being in a film that will have a ton of passion votes. Along with Ahmed, he’s also been campaigning like hell. I think his spot is secure. It helps that SAG nominated his performance too.

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204079625

    I know this question has been asked so frequently, but I wonder who’s the one getting snubbed if both Rahim and Yeun get in.

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    wolfali
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    #1204079687

    I know this question has been asked so frequently, but I wonder who’s the one getting snubbed if both Rahim and Yeun get in.

    Oldman.

    Rahim getting in imo would be the equivalent of Ruth Negga building momentum for a critically acclaimed performance in a so so film at the televised awards and overtaking Adams (who started off in 4th) even though she was in a BP nominee and one of the most nominated films of the year.

    I think to me what makes me particularly worried about Oldman’s chances is that Mank doesn’t seem to be very strong with actors. Amanda Seyfried got snubbed at SAG and the film missed ensemble. Whilst <i>The Mauritanian </i>(which obviously is a non factor outside of acting) seems to have disproportionately strong support with actors (especially the British bloc ones). I feel like that’s evidenced by Benedict Cumberbatch’s long-list at BAFTA for a largely thankless role. You could say Cumberbatch got in there because he’s Cumberbatch and he’s British but if that’s then why did British veteran Charles Dance miss? Or British TV actor Tom Burke?

    Mank has support and will get into Best Picture and Director and a bunch of technicals but its support amongst actors seem precarious enough for Oldman to miss imo. Especially considering how Amanda Seyfried feels like she’s barely in Supporting Actress herself.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Monsoon 🌊
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    #1204079699

    I know this question has been asked so frequently, but I wonder who’s the one getting snubbed if both Rahim and Yeun get in.

    Hopefully Oldman 🤞🏾

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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