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December 3, 2020 at 8:23 pm #1203893355
Mulligan must come through for that nomination.
For the sake of my mental health.December 3, 2020 at 9:37 pm #1203893417I am not as confident as others in Mulligan. Every year there is an acclaimed lead performance from a fringe contender that can’t make it in. Toni Collette, Ethan Hawke, etc. To me, she seems like this years’ example.
I think something Carey Mulligan has in common with Collette and Hawke is that she’s a “underrated” talent and not someone who is a huge personality, if that makes sense. Whereas “legends”/Oscar favorites Denzel Washington and Willem Dafoe were able to sneak into Lead Actor in extremely underseen films, Collette and Hawke weren’t able to do so in films (and with performances) that were showered with critical love.
Denzel Washington is so famous and so charismatic that a nomination like that is possible for him. Not saying there is ill will towards Carey Mulligan, but she normally flies under the radar in Hollywood and is not remarkably memorable in interviews. Even if it isn’t a major factor, I think there is something to be said about who voters are/are not compelled to vote for because of their careers/media image.
December 3, 2020 at 9:44 pm #1203893424I think Mulligan will make it in. Her film is likely to be nominated in a few other categories including Best Picture. I don’t think she’ll be a sole nominee.
At this point, I think PYW might perform similarly to Get Out, another social commentary “genre film.” Picture/Actress/Screenplay(possible winner)/Director.
My profile on Letterboxd https://letterboxd.com/Icecreamb
December 3, 2020 at 11:50 pm #1203893489Any news on The United States vs Billie Holiday? That’s my most anticipated story this year
FYC:
Riz Ahmed- Best Actor for Sound Of Metal
Daniel Kaluuya - Best Supporting Actor for Judas and the Black Messiah
Amanda Seyfried - Best Supporting Actress for MankDecember 4, 2020 at 12:03 am #12038934991. Viola Davis
2. Vanessa Kirby
3. Frances McDormand
4. Andra Day *
5. Carey Mulligan6. Kate Winslet
7. Sophia Loren
8. Zendaya *
9. Meryl Streep (LTAT)
10. Meryl Streep (Prom)* – Pending reactions and/or delays
December 4, 2020 at 12:05 am #1203893505Also, Viola come and win this already because we are tired of these Kirby x Davis debates and it’s not even 2021 yet.
December 4, 2020 at 12:06 am #1203893510The lady’s improving is available now on Youtube! Damn, I never knew she could belt.
MARIAH CAREY
December 4, 2020 at 12:29 am #1203893524I think Mulligan will make it in. Her film is likely to be nominated in a few other categories including Best Picture. I don’t think she’ll be a sole nominee.
At this point, I think PYW might perform similarly to Get Out, another social commentary “genre film.” Picture/Actress/Screenplay(possible winner)/Director.
lol come on now. Get Out was in the cultural zeitgeist for a year. PYW has disappeared since sundance.
December 4, 2020 at 12:36 am #1203893530The real contender y’all refuse to see
… for that indie spirit nom.
Pantheon of acting: Uta / Elizabeth / Richard / Sandy (Virginia Woolf), Bibi / Liv (Persona), Sandrine (La Ceremonie), Brie (Short Term 12), Jodie (Silence of the Lambs), Jodie (Killing Eve), Nicole (The Others), Eva (Penny Dreadful), Timothée (CMBYN), Lupita (Us)
December 4, 2020 at 1:12 am #1203893539Ah love Aubrey!! Excited to see that.
I just watched The Assistant, and Garner is really good! Macfayden is brilliant. A great film that really surprised me. It made me think of Weinstein and Miramax as a whole in a much less vague way.
December 4, 2020 at 1:43 am #12038935521. Kirby
2. Davis
3. Mulligan
4. McDormand
5. Zendaya6. Streep (Let Them All Talk)
7. Streep (The Prom)
8. Winslet
9. Loren
10. Taylor-JoyIf Billie Holliday arrives I’ll slot Day over Zendaya.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
December 4, 2020 at 1:45 am #1203893554Ah love Aubrey!! Excited to see that. I just watched The Assistant, and Garner is really good! Macfayden is brilliant. A great film that really surprised me. It made me think of Weinstein and Miramax as a whole in a much less vague way.
All of this! In a just world both were making their lineups this year. Macfadyen was spine-chilling despite his screen time and Garner made me so claustrophobic.
I say that it’s a shame they won’t go very far (outside of the Spirits and maybe the Globes because I think the timeliness of her film can cause a potential shock Garner nomination). Had it been Saoirse Ronan we probably wouldn’t be talking about who is winning Actress this year…
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
December 4, 2020 at 1:49 am #1203893560That’s currently my top ten:
1. Davis
2. Kirby
3. McDormand
4. Mulligan
5. Andra Day
6. Meryl (LTAT)
7. Kate Winslet
8. Meryl (Prom)
9. Sophia Loren
10. Zendaya (likely to move up, not sure if she can overtake Mulligan or Andra Day though, if Day delivers, a lot depends on the overall film and on whether its subject matter feels important)
December 4, 2020 at 2:17 am #1203893578Cryptic tweet about Zendaya 👀
https://twitter.com/scottfeinberg/status/1334621602797916165?s=21
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