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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 27)

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    Chris Beachum
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    #1204005738

    Continue in Part 27.

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    Victor Cruz
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    #1204005741

    Academy Award for Best Actress

    1. Carey Mulligan
    2. Francés McDormand
    3. Viola Davis
    4. Vanessa Kirby

    5. Andra Day

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    wattsgold
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    Oct 6th, 2018
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    #1204005750

    Carey Mulligan loves you, and we love her.

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    Miles
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    Oct 22nd, 2016
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    #1204005760

    Just thinking about her

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    Victor Cruz
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    #1204005763

    Come on Mulligan win the damn thing. We’re rooting for you.

    The most acclaimed performance of the year.

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    Riley Chow
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    #1204005772

    Frances McDormand has been in the industry for thirty-seven years, got her first nomination thirty-one years ago and has been producing her own work in recent years.  I do not see the industry having a problem with giving her a third Oscar.  She is in the Best Picture frontrunner to boot, not to mention that she has given the most critically-hailed performance by an actress this year.  What more do you want in an Oscar win prediction?

    For a movie called Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, I do not know how you could not be surprised by how little Ma Rainey there was.  Best Actress is a marquee category.  You do not get it by underwhelming.  It should go without saying that Viola Davis is obviously an Oscar-calibre actress—that is not the issue; the material was just not there this time.

    If anyone is going to beat McDormand, it is going to be Carey Mulligan because her film inspires passion and she is her film in a way that Davis for example is not.  McDormand is giving a quiet performance that is prone to be disproportionately strong with critics, which makes her vulnerable to be usurped at the industry awards like Michael Keaton for Birdman (or Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave).  The difference is that there is no Eddie Redmayne (or Matthew McConaughey), because Mulligan’s performance is restrained too.  The AFI and Spirit snubs certainly did not help her case either.  So I continue to default to McDormand.

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    Miles
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    #1204005782

    Right now, I see this being neck and neck between Mulligan and McDormand, with Davis in a distant third. I think Mulligan has the edge, because I only see Promising Young Woman’s buzz growing, but it still remains to be seen how the industry at large will react to that film.

    There is no doubt Viola Davis will end her career with a Lead Actress Oscar, but if I’m a voter, I can’t justify voting for a limited one-note performances over performances from actresses who carry their respective films. It goes without saying that Viola Davis plays that one-note extremely well, but she isn’t given the material she needs to win a Lead Actress Oscar.

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    Victor Cruz
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    #1204005798

    Yup it’s Mulligan vs McDormand.

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    Riley Chow
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    #1204005817

    Her film missed Best Picture there and at AFI.

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    MysticMagix
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    #1204005823

    i predict the globe will go to viola, andra or zendaya. i have a very strong feeling

    A little bit of Magic never hurt anybody.

    ~ MYSTIC

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    KAZ-2.5
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    #1204005825

    Thinking about what you would vote for is a sure fire way to make the wrong prediction. So many people last year couldn’t get over their dislike of Joker so they delusionally kept predicting Adam Driver for a film that only had major win buzz for its supporting actress. The truth is, like it or not, the Golden Globes will probably tell us who will win or at least who the front-runner is.

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    Miles
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    #1204005840

    Thinking about what you would vote for is a sure fire way to make the wrong prediction.

    What I’m saying doesn’t have to do with preference, but rather the size of the role. I’m talking about quantity, not quality.

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    Monsoon 🌊
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    #1204005867

    Y’all can continue to underestimate Viola Davis if you want to. You’ll see.

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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    ENGLAND
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    #1204005890

    McDormand does remind me of Katharine Hepburn in a way.

    She’s getting her 3rd!

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    wolfali
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    #1204005892

    There is nothing wrong with Davis’ performance. She is excellent. However she isn’t the dominating force of that movie and that can hurt her when her two biggest competitors (McDormand and Mulligan) are their films.

    Just last year we saw Renee Zellweger in a film that was essentially based solely on her performance beat Scarlett Johansson in an a co-lead role that a significant number of people thought was overshadowed by her co-star’s performance. Frances McDormand’s film was focused primarily on her character. Emma Stone’s character’s narrative journey was a pinnacle part of La La Land and she was widely considered to be the MVP of her film. Brie Larson, Julianne Moore and Cate Blanchett all were also the most acclaimed and lead aspects of their films.

    Olivia Colman did win in spite of a questionable category placement but she was considered the “breakout story of her film” and many considered her the MVP. Her film also was the most nominated of the night.

    I’m finding it more and more difficult to justify predicting Davis (personally) when she isn’t the centre of the buzz of her film (that’s Boseman).

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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