March 8, 2021 at 2:26 am #1204093649
+1 for Mulligan. But who’s the darkhorse?March 8, 2021 at 2:26 am #1204093651
AACTA- Carey Mulligan
Critics Choice- Carey Mulligan
Golden Globe- Andra Day
BAFTA- Carey Mulligan
SAG- Carey Mulligan
Oscar- Carey Mulligan
6th Place WGA 2021
12th Place VES 2021
61st Place BAFTA nominations 2021March 8, 2021 at 3:05 am #1204093682
Mulligan won, now stop pushing the overrated Day (already snub ed by SAGs and BAFTA). I have no idea Why the HFP let her win… I am almost sure The Academy will leave her at home.March 8, 2021 at 3:29 am #1204093705
People, Sag will vote for a first time winner this year.
In other words: Carey MulliganMarch 8, 2021 at 3:37 am #1204093717
Davis could still win SAG they like her and the film more but BAFTA is definitely going to Mulligan.March 8, 2021 at 4:04 am #1204093764
I think Carey is winning SAG too. As for Supporting Actress…it’s a mess lmao.March 8, 2021 at 4:14 am #1204093782
GG: Day CCA: Mulligan Predictions: SAG: Mulligan BAFTA: McDormand Oscar: Mulligan
No way is McDormand taking BAFTA. I’m fully expecting a Mulligan clean sweep from now & even if that isn’t the case the BAFTAs won’t resist the chance to create another British first time Oscar winner.
FYC EMMYS: THE CROWN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. OLIVIA COLMAN - D. ACTRESS & HBC - D. SUPP. ACTRESS) & IT’S A SIN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. LYDIA WEST - LIM. ACTRESS & KEELEY HAWES - LIM. SUPP. ACTRESS) & I MAY DESTROY YOU IN ALL CATEGORIESMarch 8, 2021 at 4:32 am #1204093805
Remember when Queen Frances denied Brenda Blethyn, Emily Watson, Kristin Scott Thomas, and Sally Hawkins (two of them starred in the Best Picture winner), let’s hope this time she’s finally leaving the best actress award to a great British actress and rightfully take the Best Picture win herself instead.
A Fervent Believer in the Church of Two-Time Academy Award Winner Viola Davis.March 8, 2021 at 4:38 am #1204093815
Some of you better remember Halle Berry💬💬💬💬💬💭💭💭💭💭💭March 8, 2021 at 5:17 am #1204093864
Can we please be done with the nicknames? It was funny when Thatcher did it the first time but they’re really overused now that everybody does them and frankly not funny.
Letterboxd: Ray_In_BrugesMarch 8, 2021 at 5:30 am #1204093889
If Mulligan gets nominated at BAFTA (which is still 50/50 because juries can be ruthless) then she is absolutely winning there under the general membership vote.
Whilst she isn’t anywhere as popular as Olivia Colman in the UK, she is quite well respected and we know that BAFTA (and most specifically the actors branch) loved <i>Promising Young Woman </i>because it’s long-listed 13 times and they all long-listed Bo Burnham. We’ve also seen lots of famous British actors and writers come out in support of this film online. I anticipate either it or The Father will pull a <i>The Favourite</i>/1917/Three Billboards where they are showered with love from BAFTA as the “big British* Oscar contending film”.
If she’s nominated I truly would be shocked if she loses.
Now as for SAG I think it’s solely a two horse race between Davis and Mulligan. If Mulligan wins it’s likely over (although I will say Day would be second in my predictions because Globe winner). If Davis wins it becomes more interesting. What both Mulligan and Davis should hope for though is that Vanessa Kirby makes the Oscars lineup. Otherwise I can see a scenario where SAG goes for Kirby like they did for Elba and Blunt and whilst that would be good news for Andra Day, it would not be good news for either Davis or Mulligan.
What I find interesting is how both Mulligan and Day have the typical strikes that bite performers in the back at the last minute. Day is a newcomer (something the actors branch tends to embrace less nowadays) and her film will not be a Best Picture nominee and she’ll likely be the sole nominee of her film and no non-veteran has won Best Actress as the sole nominee since Charlize Theron and without a Picture nom since Marion Cotillard. I think Mulligan could very well win with the support of men in the Academy but just like with <i>The Wife</i>, there’s a non zero chance that male voters will steer away from <i>Promising Young Woman</i> because they’re uninterested in the premise (although I’d say this is less of an issue for Mulligan if the film performs well on nominations day).
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")March 8, 2021 at 6:12 am #1204093976
It’s amazing to see the good will (sans two-three people) directed at Carey. Good for the absence of ties. Now, I am really curious to see who prevails at SAG.March 8, 2021 at 6:19 am #1204093995
1. Carey Mulligan
2. Andra Day
3. Viola Davis
4. Frances McDormand
5. Vanessa Kirby
6. Amy Adams
7. Rosamund Pike
Happy International Women’s Day for all women in this forum!March 8, 2021 at 6:47 am #1204094111
Hot take: When SAG hasn’t matched with Best Actress, I feel like the Oscar winner was always the runnerup at SAG with the exception of Olivia Colman. I feel like Gaga was second there due to the radio industry and star power. Everyone else(Lange, Swank, Kidman, Cotillard, Streep) all came in second at SAG.
The topic ‘Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 37)’ is closed to new replies.