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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 41)

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    John Berchmans
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    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1204141302

    Is Another Round worth watching? Saw its available on Hulu.

    Oh damn, I didn’t know that. I’ll have to give it a watch before my Hulu subscription expires.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    wattsgold
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    Oct 6th, 2018
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    #1204141345

    From the other thread. I forget it was Pike who won the comedy Globe. I still think that helps Bakalova since Pike isn’t a contender anywhere else. Anyway, Andra Day for best actress

    You do you. The Pike erasure is shameful. We’ve past the basic notion of sanity with you a long time ago.

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    linecelts
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    Jun 18th, 2011
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    #1204141354

    Tariq Khan actually wrote a great article about Viola’s chances at SAG!

    I read it too and that’s why I still think Viola will win SAG……..

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    MysticMagix
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    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1204141360

    Just watched rocks. The way that bukky should be winning the oscar. What a natural raw performance..felt like a documentary.

    Shes so winning  BAFTA

    A little bit of Magic never hurt anybody.

    ~ MYSTIC

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    Ash
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    Jan 31st, 2017
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    #1204141371

    Queen viola coming back to win sag we love to see it

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    Lady Jane Grey
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    Mar 11th, 2021
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    #1204141421

    Ma Rainey isn’t winning two lead acting awards without a Picture nomination. That has never happened.

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204141444

    So what happens if Viola Davis wins SAG? How do you think it’ll affect the Best Actress Oscar race?

    It opens things up a bit more. I don’t think Viola Davis is win competitive for this Oscar but a win for her SAG would suggest one of two things. Either Andra Day wins the Oscar or SAG was unsure of who would win the Oscar and went with the person they thought was the frontrunner (which they’ve done before).

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    Rowan
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    Mar 29th, 2015
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    #1204141446

    Ma Rainey isn’t winning two lead acting awards without a Picture nomination. That has never happened.

    Things have never happened until they have happened. 91 years of English language movies winning Best Picture until last year. 92 years of no Asian Lead Actor nominees until this year. 40-ish years of no Golden Globe Drama Actress winners snubbed until this year. There are exceptions to every rule.

    I don’t know who’s going to win, but “never happened before” should be a factor to be considered alongside all other factors, not a hard line rule.

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    ClairesCrown
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    Jan 18th, 2021
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    #1204141466

    Interesting that we could totally end up with:

    GG – Day

    CC – Mulligan

    SAG – Davis

    BAFTA – Kirby or McDormand

     

    I think if Kirby does win BAFTA & Davis takes SAG we will have a very limited idea, although Kirby will become frontrunner for me in that situation because of the surge the late BAFTA win will have & Oscar voters have sat through 2 months of being reminded Day was snubbed from both.

    FYC EMMYS: THE CROWN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. OLIVIA COLMAN - D. ACTRESS & HBC - D. SUPP. ACTRESS) & IT’S A SIN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. LYDIA WEST - LIM. ACTRESS & KEELEY HAWES - LIM. SUPP. ACTRESS) & I MAY DESTROY YOU IN ALL CATEGORIES

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204141500

    Interesting that we could totally end up with: GG – Day CC – Mulligan SAG – Davis BAFTA – Kirby or McDormand I think if Kirby does win BAFTA & Davis takes SAG we will have a very limited idea, although Kirby will become frontrunner for me in that situation because of the surge the late BAFTA win will have & Oscar voters have sat through 2 months of being reminded Day was snubbed from both.

    Bukky Bakray will win BAFTA. Carey would win if she had been picked by the jury considering how well her movie did in the non juried categories.

    Mulligan will supposedly have the support from the British branch. Even if she loses SAG, she still could win.

     

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    ClairesCrown
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    #1204141521

    Bukky Bakray will win BAFTA. Carey would win if she had been picked by the jury considering how well her movie did in the non juried categories. Mulligan will supposedly have the support from the British branch. Even if she loses SAG, she still could win.

     

    Very true, is a potential SAG loss a big enough hurdle for Mulligan to stop her from winning when the other nominees are so weak?

    FYC EMMYS: THE CROWN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. OLIVIA COLMAN - D. ACTRESS & HBC - D. SUPP. ACTRESS) & IT’S A SIN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. LYDIA WEST - LIM. ACTRESS & KEELEY HAWES - LIM. SUPP. ACTRESS) & I MAY DESTROY YOU IN ALL CATEGORIES

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    lhdang2000
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    Nov 23rd, 2020
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    #1204141553

    Very true, is a potential SAG loss a big enough hurdle for Mulligan to stop her from winning when the other nominees are so weak?

    I would say Mulligan is not winning if she loses SAG. Cassandra is one of those roles that require a lot of passion and love because the traditional voters would not default to it like Billie Holiday, Fran, Ma Rainey and Martha.

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    Milk Money
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    Oct 2nd, 2013
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    #1204141571

    With her type of film, I think Mulligan needed the Globe to really take a hold of this race. A SAG win may not be enough, especially with no chance at BAFTA to cement it.

    I do think Viola may take SAG though.

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    SN
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    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1204141575

    Things have never happened until they have happened. 91 years of English language movies winning Best Picture until last year. 92 years of no Asian Lead Actor nominees until this year. 40-ish years of no Golden Globe Drama Actress winners snubbed until this year. There are exceptions to every rule.

    I don’t know who’s going to win, but “never happened before” should be a factor to be considered alongside all other factors, not a hard line rule.

    That’s not how things work. You could use this logic to predict anything you want, even something that doesn’t make sense. But stats have something to say and this case is that Ma Rainey missing Picture and Screenplay is a sign it doesn’t have much passion outside of Chadwick’s performance.

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    DCurrie
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    Sep 18th, 2011
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    #1204141598

    Well we’ve posted gifs of the other 4 so why not post the gif of the other nominee here lol.

    This gif does some things for me that it probably shouldn’t. 🤭😩😂

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