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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 42)

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204167012

    Guys Amy Adams won SAG. I know because my grandpa is a SAG voter. Trust me.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    boredandricho (they/them)
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    Mar 16th, 2021
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    #1204167018

    Guys Amy Adams won SAG. I know because my grandpa is a SAG voter. Trust me.

     

    leak  the rest come on 🙂

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    marty
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    Aug 18th, 2020
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    #1204167022

    Guys Amy Adams won SAG. I know because my grandpa is a SAG voter. Trust me.

    The attempt. The film winners won’t even be announced to the nominees till April 1.

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    SN
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    #1204167026

    Guys Amy Adams won SAG. I know because my grandpa is a SAG voter. Trust me.

    Sounds legit

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    Bonehead
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    #1204167082

    Guys Amy Adams won SAG. I know because my grandpa is a SAG voter. Trust me.

    Sure, why not?

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    Butz
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    #1204167115

    Jared Leto won SAG, people. I know that, my best friend’s mother’s personal DJ is a SAG member.

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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    Barbra Please
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    Oct 21st, 2018
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    #1204167123

    Fantasy Island won best ensemble, trust me because my cat is a SAG voters.

    FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION

    Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
    Tang Wei, Decision To Leave
    Rebecca Hall, Resurrection

    James Hong & Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once

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    TheDreamingHead
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    #1204167127

    So SAG will be the biggest gamble for Mulligan and the last redeeming point for her.

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    boredandricho (they/them)
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    #1204167129

    Fantasy Island won best ensemble, trust me because my cat is a SAG voters.

    my dog says music won…

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    ShinySeaDiamond
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    #1204167161

    But when was the last time someone won both the BAFTA and SAG awards and lost the Oscar?

    I believe it was Annette Bening for American Beauty in this category. So it is possible, but unlikely considering it last happened in 2000. Also, Hilary Swank was the other clear competitor throughout the season, whereas this year we have so many that winning both industry precursors would be a very solid sign of Oscar victory.

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    #1204167197
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    loudtoilet
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    #1204167279

    Until SAG gives us a better picture (whether that it’s Mulligan vs Day or Mulligan vs Day vs Another),  here’s the summary of pros and cons for Mulligan and Day  based on other people’s comments and observations:

    Mulligan

    Pros: acclaimed performance, acclaimed movie that scored 4 major above the line noms beside Mulligan, CC win, was nominated before so not a fluke

    Cons: divisive role that may not appeal to all members who are trained to vote for more traditional (historical figure, illness) ones.

    Day

    Pros: acclaimed performance, Globe win, narrative that a black actress should win Actress again, traditional role that AMPAS is comfortable voting for (historical figure)

    Cons: not nominated for any other remaining precursor,  she is her movie’s only nomination, Davis shares the same narrative so there’s no urgency to award Day in particular (or Davis in partituclar),  Zellwegger won just last year for playing another singer and was a sweeper indicating that Day didn’t connect the same way given she only got noms for 2 percursors and won 1.

    So, IMO,  it should be Mulligan since there’s far more support and she doesn’t share a narrative with another actress in a similar role.

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    wolfali
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    #1204167291

    If Mulligan wins SAG what we’ll need to see is how well <i>Promising Young Woman </i>does with wins at BAFTA. Similar to Olivia Colman, it’s quite possible that if the actors branch voted for the final nominations like the other branches did that she would have won based on the strength of her film’s support (I doubt the acting jury long-listed Bo Burnham) and the strength of her status in the UK. So if <i>Promising Young Woman </i>manages to win British Film and something like Editing alongside Original Screenplay then it would tell us that she might have won if the acting jury had picked her.

    BAFTA really do need to change their eligibility description of British Film. I mean sure Promising Young Woman has two British producers and a British actor leading it but it is not a British film in the same sense something like The Dig or The Father or Rocks is lol.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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