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March 30, 2021 at 10:02 pm #1204167012
Guys Amy Adams won SAG. I know because my grandpa is a SAG voter. Trust me.
John's Best of 2020
Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul
John's Best of 2021
Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black MessiahMarch 30, 2021 at 11:29 pm #1204167115
Jared Leto won SAG, people. I know that, my best friend’s mother’s personal DJ is a SAG member.
Letterboxd: Ray_In_BrugesMarch 30, 2021 at 11:52 pm #1204167123
Fantasy Island won best ensemble, trust me because my cat is a SAG voters.
FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Tang Wei, Decision To Leave
Rebecca Hall, Resurrection
James Hong & Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At OnceMarch 30, 2021 at 11:53 pm #1204167127
So SAG will be the biggest gamble for Mulligan and the last redeeming point for her.March 31, 2021 at 12:29 am #1204167161
But when was the last time someone won both the BAFTA and SAG awards and lost the Oscar?
I believe it was Annette Bening for American Beauty in this category. So it is possible, but unlikely considering it last happened in 2000. Also, Hilary Swank was the other clear competitor throughout the season, whereas this year we have so many that winning both industry precursors would be a very solid sign of Oscar victory.March 31, 2021 at 2:42 am #1204167197This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.March 31, 2021 at 2:46 am #1204167201This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.March 31, 2021 at 5:16 am #1204167279
Until SAG gives us a better picture (whether that it’s Mulligan vs Day or Mulligan vs Day vs Another), here’s the summary of pros and cons for Mulligan and Day based on other people’s comments and observations:
Pros: acclaimed performance, acclaimed movie that scored 4 major above the line noms beside Mulligan, CC win, was nominated before so not a fluke
Cons: divisive role that may not appeal to all members who are trained to vote for more traditional (historical figure, illness) ones.
Pros: acclaimed performance, Globe win, narrative that a black actress should win Actress again, traditional role that AMPAS is comfortable voting for (historical figure)
Cons: not nominated for any other remaining precursor, she is her movie’s only nomination, Davis shares the same narrative so there’s no urgency to award Day in particular (or Davis in partituclar), Zellwegger won just last year for playing another singer and was a sweeper indicating that Day didn’t connect the same way given she only got noms for 2 percursors and won 1.
So, IMO, it should be Mulligan since there’s far more support and she doesn’t share a narrative with another actress in a similar role.March 31, 2021 at 5:30 am #1204167291
If Mulligan wins SAG what we’ll need to see is how well <i>Promising Young Woman </i>does with wins at BAFTA. Similar to Olivia Colman, it’s quite possible that if the actors branch voted for the final nominations like the other branches did that she would have won based on the strength of her film’s support (I doubt the acting jury long-listed Bo Burnham) and the strength of her status in the UK. So if <i>Promising Young Woman </i>manages to win British Film and something like Editing alongside Original Screenplay then it would tell us that she might have won if the acting jury had picked her.
BAFTA really do need to change their eligibility description of British Film. I mean sure Promising Young Woman has two British producers and a British actor leading it but it is not a British film in the same sense something like The Dig or The Father or Rocks is lol.
FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.March 31, 2021 at 5:37 am #1204167299This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.Not now
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