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April 18, 2021 at 12:47 pm #1204207755
I can still see a bit of hope for Day, but I’d be surprised if a newcomer with no career narrative and a critically panned film would be preferred over names like Viola Davis or Carey Mulligan. We don’t really know if she won by 2 or 10 votes at the Golden Globes, but like I mentioned that event feels like ages ago, and as she was snubbed by SAG & BAFTA, her lack of visibility in the 1,5 month is also alarming.
Andra’s visibility isn’t a problem. She has been campaigning hard since her Globe win. She even presented at the BAFTAs.
April 18, 2021 at 12:50 pm #1204207761And Mulligan was literally screwed over by her campaign crew (wrong GG category submission) and the BAFTA jury. I wish she’d have the visibility to take this, but I’m kind of done hoping.
Mulligan and PYW were submitted at the Globes by Focus and Fennell in the Comedy categories and were switched to Drama by the HFPA. Carey losing the Globe was not due to a mistake “by her campaign crew.”
April 18, 2021 at 12:51 pm #1204207765I can still see a bit of hope for Day, but I’d be surprised if a newcomer with no career narrative and a critically panned film would be preferred over names like Viola Davis or Carey Mulligan. We don’t really know if she won by 2 or 10 votes at the Golden Globes, but like I mentioned that event feels like ages ago, and as she was snubbed by SAG & BAFTA, her lack of visibility in the 1,5 month is also alarming.
Day doesn’t suffer from a lack of visibility, as she’s campaigning like crazy and making her presence fully known in the race. She’s very competitive for the Oscar win, and her film’s reception isn’t what is being judged, but best actress.
April 18, 2021 at 12:55 pm #1204207776Im looking at the globes and the way I see it was their entire goal seemed to be getting certain actresses nommed. They had three separate chances to take the easy way out in the actresses categories and they took none of them. They might’ve only succeeded with day, but still
April 18, 2021 at 1:02 pm #1204207788Mulligan and PYW were submitted at the Globes by Focus and Fennell in the Comedy categories and were switched to Drama by the HFPA. Carey losing the Globe was not due to a mistake “by her campaign crew.”
Thank you for the clarification!
FYC 2022 Emmys:
Best Actress in a Drama Series: Sandra Oh in "Killing Eve"
Best Actress in a Comedy Series: Sandra Oh in "The Chair"
Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series: Kim Joo-ryoung in "Squid Game"
April 18, 2021 at 1:06 pm #1204207796Day doesn’t suffer from a lack of visibility, as she’s campaigning like crazy and making her presence fully known in the race. She’s very competitive for the Oscar win, and her film’s reception isn’t what is being judged, but best actress.
Maybe not in the literal sense, but she was absent from these awards shows (since March 8th), and voters may be more supportive of SAG/BAFTA/BFCA winners if they feel Day has no chance for the win.
FYC 2022 Emmys:
Best Actress in a Drama Series: Sandra Oh in "Killing Eve"
Best Actress in a Comedy Series: Sandra Oh in "The Chair"
Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series: Kim Joo-ryoung in "Squid Game"
April 18, 2021 at 1:17 pm #1204207806This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.April 18, 2021 at 1:27 pm #1204207820I’m not saying that Andra Day doesn’t have a chance of winning (I don’t even think I can say Kirby doesn’t have a chance of winning, miniscule as it may be) but she has such a hill to climb compared to the others.
1) No actress has won the Oscar without a corresponding SAG nomination.
2) No actress has won the Oscar with just a Globe win since the 4 major precursors have been in play.
3) Actresses who are the only nominee for their films tend to sweep.
I know it’s a close year and she fits the mold of an Oscar winning performance but she just has too many hurdles I think.
If she did win though…THAT would be a monumental victory. Up there with Marcia Gay Hardens
April 18, 2021 at 1:33 pm #1204207825Which scenario is more likely in your opinion?
Somebody upsets Youn for best supporting actress
or
Day, Kirby, McDormand wins over Mulligan, Davis?
April 18, 2021 at 1:37 pm #1204207840Which scenario is more likely in your opinion? Somebody upsets Youn for best supporting actress or Day, Kirby, McDormand wins over Mulligan, Davis?
Day kirby mcdormand wins over mulligan. Youn’s name has already been engraved on the statue
April 18, 2021 at 1:38 pm #1204207842Which scenario is more likely in your opinion?
Somebody upsets Youn for best supporting actress
or
Day, Kirby, McDormand wins over Mulligan, Davis?
I honestly can’t see someone upsetting Youn so it would have to be the latter option.
But of those three, I think McDormand stands the best chance.
April 18, 2021 at 1:45 pm #1204207858What do people mean when Day has been campaigning like crazy? I don’t see how she is doing more excessive campaigning than Davis or Mulligan. I’m just curious because I am not all that familiar with Day’s campaign strategies.
Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.
April 18, 2021 at 1:53 pm #1204207886Mulligan was the last of them to win a prize before SAG yet that couldn’t even give her the edge over Viola, same for Bakalova. Both would won SAG had they won GG, proving how a BFCA win is irrelevant. The Academy snubbed Pike and Foster but nominated Day instead, she was raved and is a strong contender here whether you want to admit it or not.
She’s among the four contenders who can pretty much take it.
FYC 2022 Emmys:
Best Actress in a Drama Series: Sandra Oh in "Killing Eve"
Best Actress in a Comedy Series: Sandra Oh in "The Chair"
Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series: Kim Joo-ryoung in "Squid Game"
April 18, 2021 at 3:26 pm #1204208003And the winner is……… Viola Day!!!!!! It’s gonna be a tie!!!!
April 18, 2021 at 3:36 pm #12042080111.Mulligan
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