Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Adapted and Original Screenplay (Part 2)

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 628 Posts: 842 View Predictions]

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Keep discussing in Part 2.

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[Barbra Please Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 42 Posts: 1522 View Predictions]

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Predicted Screenplays Lineup:

Original Screenplay – Promising Young Woman, Minari, The Trial Of Chicago 7, Sound Of Metal, Soul.

Adapted Screenplay – Nomadland, The Father, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, One Night In Miami, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.

For Your Consideration Darling

Lead Actress

Michelle 'Crazy Talented' Yeoh
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Tang Wei
DECISION TO LEAVE

Nicole Kidman
THE NORTHMAN

Supporting Actor & Actress

Ke Huy Quan
Stephanie Hsu
Jamie Lee Curtis
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

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[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 1061 View Predictions]

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I just want to witness “Judas and the Black Messiah” snatch that 5th spot for Original screenplay.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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[Barbra Please Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 42 Posts: 1522 View Predictions]

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Marcus.H wrote:

I just want to witness “Judas and the Black Messiah” snatch that 5th spot for Original screenplay.

gosh.. i really need to watch it tonight …

For Your Consideration Darling

Lead Actress

Michelle 'Crazy Talented' Yeoh
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Tang Wei
DECISION TO LEAVE

Nicole Kidman
THE NORTHMAN

Supporting Actor & Actress

Ke Huy Quan
Stephanie Hsu
Jamie Lee Curtis
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 88 Posts: 7564 View Predictions]

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New thread predictions

ADAPTED

01. Nomadland
02. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
03. One Night in Miami…
04. The Father
05. First Cow
—
06. News of the World
07. Borat Subesquent Moviefilm
08. The White Tiger
09. I’m Thinking of Ending Things
10. idk? Emma.

ORIGINAL

01. Promising Young Woman
02. The Trial of the Chicago 7
03. Mank
04. Minari
05. Judas and the Black Messiah
—
06. Sound of Metal
07. Palm Springs
08. Never Rarely Sometimes Always
09. Soul
10. Da 5 Bloods

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32963 View Predictions]

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Rooting for one promising young woman to win this whole thing.

But also nominate The 40 Year Old Version you cowards!

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

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Part 2 finally!

Adapted:

The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
News of the World
Nomadland
One Night in Miami

Original:

Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
The Trial of the Chicago 7

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 215 Posts: 32963 View Predictions]

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Adapted:

The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
The White Tiger

Original:

Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

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[DaKardii Joined: Jan 12th, 2018 Topics: 31 Posts: 588 View Predictions]

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POST-GOLDEN GLOBES PREDICTIONS

Best Original Screenplay

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Promising Young Woman
3. Sound of Metal
4. Mank
5. Minari

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. One Night in Miami
2. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
3. News of the World
4. Nomadland
5. The Father

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[Monsoon 🌊 Joined: Aug 11th, 2020 Topics: 23 Posts: 2238 View Predictions]

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Don’t underestimate Borat in Adapted Screenplay.

👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 4240 View Predictions]

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One Night in Miami won Adapted Screnplay in Phoenix Film Critics Society. It’s the first win for the movie in this category.

There’s a reason this group voted for ONIM here. Considering it’s the frontrunner for WGA, it could gain enough momentum to upset at the Oscars, especially if Nomadland wins Best Picture.

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2921 View Predictions]

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JV wrote:

There’s a reason this group voted for ONIM here. Considering it’s the frontrunner for WGA, it could gain enough momentum to upset at the Oscars, especially if Nomadland wins Best Picture.

This logic doesn’t make sense to me. If Nomadland wins Beat Picture wouldn’t it be more likely to win Original Screenplay. 8 out of the last 10 Best Picture winners have won Screenplay.

Also I think News of the World wins WGA. It seems to be well liked by the guilds and already won NBR. I’m pretty sure the three play adaptations will split votes and NOTW being a traditional crowd pleaser will give it the win.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2921 View Predictions]

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Marcus.H wrote:

I just want to witness “Judas and the Black Messiah” snatch that 5th spot for Original screenplay.

It will.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 4240 View Predictions]

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John Berchmans wrote:

This logic doesn’t make sense to me. If Nomadland wins Beat Picture wouldn’t it be more likely to win Original Screenplay. 8 out of the last 10 Best Picture winners have won Screenplay. Also I think News of the World wins WGA. It seems to be well liked by the guilds and already won NBR. I’m pretty sure the three play adaptations will split votes and NOTW being a traditional crowd pleaser will give it the win.

Zhao isn’t Inarritu or Bong. As talented as she is, she’s still a newcomer. Nomadland is only her 3rd movie and I’m not sure if the Academy will be up to give her a sweep like this. And Nomadland isn’t a screenplay movie.

I believe ONIM will win WGA because of the nature of its screenplay being more based on dialogues. News of the World is more story based and Ma Rainey’s is more acting based.

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[crabbie Joined: Feb 26th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 4148 View Predictions]

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Best Adapted Screenplay will be ONIM’s consolation prize

Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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