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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Adapted and Original Screenplay (Part 2)

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    Chris Beachum
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    Keep discussing in Part 2.

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    Barbra please
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    Predicted Screenplays Lineup:

    Original Screenplay – Promising Young Woman, Minari, The Trial Of Chicago 7, Sound Of Metal, Soul.

    Adapted Screenplay – Nomadland, The Father, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, One Night In Miami, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.

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    Marcus.H
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    I just want to witness “Judas and the Black Messiah” snatch that 5th spot for Original screenplay.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    Barbra please
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    I just want to witness “Judas and the Black Messiah” snatch that 5th spot for Original screenplay.

    gosh.. i really need to watch it tonight …

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    New thread predictions

    ADAPTED

    01. Nomadland
    02. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    03. One Night in Miami…
    04. The Father
    05. First Cow

    06. News of the World
    07. Borat Subesquent Moviefilm
    08. The White Tiger
    09. I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    10. idk? Emma.

    ORIGINAL

    01. Promising Young Woman
    02. The Trial of the Chicago 7
    03. Mank
    04. Minari
    05. Judas and the Black Messiah

    06. Sound of Metal
    07. Palm Springs
    08. Never Rarely Sometimes Always
    09. Soul
    10. Da 5 Bloods

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    wolfali
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    Rooting for one promising young woman to win this whole thing.

    But also nominate The 40 Year Old Version you cowards!

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    SN
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    Part 2 finally!

    Adapted:

    The Father
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    News of the World
    Nomadland
    One Night in Miami

    Original:

    Judas and the Black Messiah
    Mank
    Minari
    Promising Young Woman
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

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    wolfali
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    Adapted:

    The Father
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Nomadland
    One Night in Miami
    The White Tiger

    Original:

    Mank
    Minari
    Promising Young Woman
    Sound of Metal
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    DaKardii
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    POST-GOLDEN GLOBES PREDICTIONS

    Best Original Screenplay

    1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
    2. Promising Young Woman
    3. Sound of Metal
    4. Mank
    5. Minari

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    1. One Night in Miami
    2. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    3. News of the World
    4. Nomadland
    5. The Father
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    Monsoon 🌊
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    Don’t underestimate Borat in Adapted Screenplay.

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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    JV
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    One Night in Miami won Adapted Screnplay in Phoenix Film Critics Society. It’s the first win for the movie in this category.

    There’s a reason this group voted for ONIM here. Considering it’s the frontrunner for WGA, it could gain enough momentum to upset at the Oscars, especially if Nomadland wins Best Picture.

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    John Berchmans
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    There’s a reason this group voted for ONIM here. Considering it’s the frontrunner for WGA, it could gain enough momentum to upset at the Oscars, especially if Nomadland wins Best Picture.

    This logic doesn’t make sense to me. If Nomadland wins Beat Picture wouldn’t it be more likely to win Original Screenplay. 8 out of the last 10 Best Picture winners have won Screenplay.

    Also I think News of the World wins WGA. It seems to be well liked by the guilds and already won NBR. I’m pretty sure the three play adaptations will split votes and NOTW being a traditional crowd pleaser will give it the win.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    John Berchmans
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    I just want to witness “Judas and the Black Messiah” snatch that 5th spot for Original screenplay.

    It will.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    JV
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    This logic doesn’t make sense to me. If Nomadland wins Beat Picture wouldn’t it be more likely to win Original Screenplay. 8 out of the last 10 Best Picture winners have won Screenplay. Also I think News of the World wins WGA. It seems to be well liked by the guilds and already won NBR. I’m pretty sure the three play adaptations will split votes and NOTW being a traditional crowd pleaser will give it the win.

    Zhao isn’t Inarritu or Bong. As talented as she is, she’s still a newcomer. Nomadland is only her 3rd movie and I’m not sure if the Academy will be up to give her a sweep like this. And Nomadland isn’t a screenplay movie.

    I believe ONIM will win WGA because of the nature of its screenplay being more based on dialogues. News of the World is more story based and Ma Rainey’s is more acting based.

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    crabbie
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    Best Adapted Screenplay will be ONIM’s consolation prize

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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