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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Adapted and Original Screenplay (Part 2)

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    SN
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    Borat will have exactly zero Oscar nominations.

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    JackO
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    One Night in Miami won Adapted Screnplay in Phoenix Film Critics Society. It’s the first win for the movie in this category.

    There’s a reason this group voted for ONIM here. Considering it’s the frontrunner for WGA, it could gain enough momentum to upset at the Oscars, especially if Nomadland wins Best Picture.

    Kemp Powers is coming.

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    ArtIsntEasy
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    I do sort of feel like ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI could rally here…unless they really want to go BIRDMAN/PARASITE with Zhao.

    As for Original, I am still hoping that Emerald Fennell will surge ahead and that Sorkin’s win will be more like Tarantino’s win at the Globes last year.

    ADAPTED:
    Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
    The Father
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Nomadland
    One Night in Miami

    ORIGINAL:
    Judas & The Black Messiah
    Minari
    Promising Young Woman
    Sound of Metal
    Trial of the Chicago 7

    “The art of making art is putting it together...”

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    wolfali
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    Trends can obviously be broken but I had a look at the last Globe winners in Screenplay and:

    2019 – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    2018 – Green Book
    2017 – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    2016 – La La Land
    2015 – Steve Jobs

    Only one of those won and they were the BP winner.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    SN
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    Trends can obviously be broken but I had a look at the last Globe winners in Screenplay and:

    2019 – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    2018 – Green Book
    2017 – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
    2016 – La La Land
    2015 – Steve Jobs

    Only one of those won and they were the BP winner.

    Hope the trend continues.

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    Magnus
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    Trends can obviously be broken but I had a look at the last Globe winners in Screenplay and: 2019 – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 2018 – Green Book 2017 – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri 2016 – La La Land 2015 – Steve Jobs Only one of those won and they were the BP winner.

    Steve Jobs sticks out like a sore thumb lol. Which is a shame because it’s probably the best of all of those.

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    wolfali
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    I wonder if the Academy may be more inclined to award Fennell and Zhao in the Screenplay categories so they can make headlines about how director and both the screenplay categories were won by women.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Butz
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    I wonder if the Academy may be more inclined to award Fennell and Zhao in the Screenplay categories so they can make headlines about how director and both the screenplay categories were won by women.

    This would be the first time since I watch the Oscars that the two best screenplays of the year win in their respective categories. Let’s hope that happens!

    FYC - Oscars 2022:
    NINE DAYS in all categories, including:
    - Best Picture
    - Best Director
    - Best Original Screenplay
    - Best Actor (Winston Duke)
    - Best Supporting Actress (Zazie Beetz)
    - Best Supporting Actor (Benedict Wong)

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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    Calvin
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    I wonder if the Academy may be more inclined to award Fennell and Zhao in the Screenplay categories so they can make headlines about how director and both the screenplay categories were won by women.

    I would love to see that.

    But boy, if that and Director happens I am not looking forward to the stupid takes over how this year was a ‘weak year’ which was the only reason why female filmmakers dominated the awards, instead of them being completely worthy and against plenty of strong competition.

    Still celebrating Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

    FYC Emmys: The Underground Railroad

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    JackO
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    Screenplay and BP go hand in hand. They dont just give away screenplay awards to your fave just because.

    and by BP i mean winning best picture. Some people are about to get some Birdman realness.

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    SN
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    Some people are about to get some Birdman realness.

    You for example.

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    wolfali
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    Screenplay and BP go hand in hand.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    JackO
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    lol theres the get out comparison again. I too remember when PYW was nominated for SAG ensemble and grossed $170M

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    Butz
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    lol theres the get out comparison again. I too remember when PYW was nominated for SAG ensemble and grossed $170M

    I remember Get Out being released during the famous pandemic of 2017.

    FYC - Oscars 2022:
    NINE DAYS in all categories, including:
    - Best Picture
    - Best Director
    - Best Original Screenplay
    - Best Actor (Winston Duke)
    - Best Supporting Actress (Zazie Beetz)
    - Best Supporting Actor (Benedict Wong)

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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