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1. Zhao
2. Fincher
3. Zeller
4. Greengrass
5. Sorkin1. Nomadland
2. Mank
3. The Trial of the Chicago 7
4. The Father
5. Ma Rainey’s Black BottomFYC:
Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Supporting Actress: Olivia Colman
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Original Screenplay: MinariUpdated Best Picture Predictions:
1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Judas and the Black Messiah
3. Nomadland
4. Mank
5. The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
6. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
7. News of the World
8. The Father9. Soul
10. One Night in Miami
11. Minari
12. Promising Young WomanUpdated Best Director Predictions:
1. David Fincher- ‘Mank’
2. Chloe Zhao- ‘Nomadland’
3. Shaka King- ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’
4. Paul Greengrass- ‘News of the World’
5. Lee Daniels- ‘The United States vs. Billie Holiday’6. Florian Zeller- ‘The Father’
7. Aaron Sorkin- ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’
8. George C. Wolfe- ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’
9. Lee Issac Chung- ‘Minari’
10. Regina King- ‘One Night in Miami’Reminder to underestimate One Night In Miami at your potential. Amazon is a powerhouse of campaigning awards.
For Your Consideration:
Best Picture: Wolfwalkers
Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers
King won’t get nominated but people underestimating One Night in Miami or Sound of Metal need to look at The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Fleabag, Cold War and Manchester by the Sea at the Emmys and Oscars.
In fact I don’t have it in there for now but <i>One Night in Miami </i>could win Drama Picture at the Globes who stan Amazon.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
<p style=”text-align: left;”>my Best Picture prediction</p>
top 10Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures)
Mank (Netflix)
The Trial Of The Chicago 7 (Netflix)
One Night In Miami (Amazon Studios)
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
Soul (Disney-Pixar)
The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)
Everybody’s Talking About Jamie (20th Century Studios)
Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
The Way Back (Warner Bros.)
next-in-line:
Minari (A24)
The United States Vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)
Judas And The Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
Tenet (Warner Bros.)
News Of The World (Universal Pictures)
Supernova (Bleecker Street)
Cherry (Apple TV+)
The Invisible Man (Universal Pictures)
Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix)
Sound Of Metal (Amazon Studios)
next-in-line:
The Life Ahead (Netflix)
Martin Eden (Kino Lorber)
The Personal History Of David Copperfield (Searchlight Pictures)
The Assistant (Bleecker Street)
Another Round (Samuel Goldwyn Films)
Never Rarely Sometimes Always (Focus Features)
Wolfwalkers (GKids-Apple TV+)
Onward (Disney-Pixar)
The Prom (Netflix)
I Am Woman (Quiver Distribution)
The Boys In The Band (Netflix)
Wild Thyme Mountain (Bleecker Street)
Shirley (Neon)
Let Them All Talk (HBO Max)
Judas and the Black Messiah
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
The Father
The Trial of the Chicago 7When will they open the rest of the Oscar categories in the prediction center?
I just love movies. And awards.
1. Nomadland
2. Mank
3. One Night in Miami
4. The Father
5. The Trial of the Chicago 7
6. Judas and the Black Messiah
7. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
8. Soul
9. The Prom
10. Promising Young Woman11. News of the World
12. Da 5 Bloods
13. Minari
14. Pieces of a Woman
15. Emma.1. Chloe Zhao
2. David Fincher
3. Florian Zeller
4. George C. Wolfe
5. Lee Isaac Chung6. Paul Greengrass
7. Shaka King
8. Spike Lee
9. Aaron Sorkin
10. Emerald FennellFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
1. One Night In Miami
2. Nomadland
3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
4. Mank
5. The Father
6. Soul
7. The Trial of The Chicago 7
8. Judas And The Black Messiah
9. News Of The World *
10. The Prom *
11. Minari
12. Da 5 Bloods
13. Hillbilly Elegy
14. The Sound of Metal
15. Ammonite
* Subject to change with incoming reviews, likely moved off the list if not decently acclaimed at minimum.
For Your Consideration:
Best Picture: Wolfwalkers
Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers
Watched Mank at Canberra today!
… I am not sure how I feel, or if I like it.
The part I was worried about – the aesthetic – actually kinda worked. The idea of a modern digital perspective trying and failing to achieve the aesthetic of a film from that era, having to use digital effects for film grain or cigarette burns, works with the themes of Hollywood’s artificiality and the nature of retrospective re-examination…
However, I was pretty disappointed by a lot of it. The script is just not that compelling. I did not care about the titular Herman Mankiewicz AT ALL. Oldman was fine, but I found his role and character arc to be a bore. The film is heavily about politics of the era, presented in a very clear analogue to both the then-current politics of the script’s writing and current Trumpian politics. I kinda think it fails both at making me invested in the time period it is depicting AND making a scintillating point about the more contemporary events it’s an analogue to. The dialogue is sometimes genuinely snappy in a way that recalls the best films and screenwriting of its era… but damn it doesn’t always work. I feared this would be an inane Orson Welles hitjob, but maybe that would’ve been a better movie than this inside joke of a film. It feels more like a pat on the back to old cinema history than a character exploration.
What DID deliver for me, in a big way, was Amanda Seyfried. Her performance, even though I wish she was in it more, was phenomenal. If the movie was about Marion Davies, it would have been amazing and GRIPPING. The elements of her life brought here are gripping and way more fascinating than what Mankiewitz goes through, and looking at her life story she’s got a lot more interesting events to cover. For a film I am not enthusiastic about otherwise, I am really high on Amanda Seyfried.
This film isn’t a crowdpleaser. It isn’t that accessible – it’s very inside baseball jargon heavy. It is going to work really well for some people, but some people are just going to bounce off it hard.
For Your Consideration:
Best Picture: Wolfwalkers
Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers
My weekly predictions (winners in italics):
Best Picture:
- The Father
- Judas and the Black Messiah (if there are 9 nominees)
- Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
- Mank
- Minari (if there are 10 nominees)
- News of the World
- Nomadland
- One Night in Miami
- Soul
- The Trial of the Chicago 7
Other possibilities: Ammonite, Da 5 Bloods, The Midnight Sky, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Best Director:
- David Fincher (Mank)
- Paul Greengrass (News of the World)
- Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
- George C. Wolfe (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
- Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)
Other possibilities: Lee Isaac Chung (Minari), Lee Daniels (The United States vs. Billie Holiday), Regina King (One Night in Miami), Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah), Florian Zeller (The Father)
FYC:
Lead Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)
Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
Supporting Actor: Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
The idea of Regina King, Shaka King, George C. Wolfe and Chloe Zhao making that line-up is just way too good to be true, WAYYYYYYY too insane… but I will root for that anyway.
I refuse to let go of the 100/1 odds i got for judas and the black messiah until the movie comes and it actually sucks.
I just love movies. And awards.
https://www.indiewire.com/feature/best-movies-2020-films-1202217382/
IndieWire’s The Best Movies of 2020
1. “First Cow”
2. “Lovers Rock”
3. “Collective”
4. “Nomadland”
5. “Never Rarely Sometimes Always”
6. “Time”
7. “The Climb”
8. “The Mole Agent”
9. “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”
10. “Bacurau”
11. “Bloody Nose, Empty Pockets”
12. “The Assistant”
13. “Sound of Metal”
14. “Soul”
15. “Mank”
16. “Mayor”
17. “Mangrove”
18. “The Vast of Night”
19. “Dick Johnson Is Dead”
20. “She Dies Tomorrow”Let the year-end lists begin! “First Cow” about to be the critical darling of 2020. Underestimate it in screenplay at your own peril..
What DID deliver for me, in a big way, was Amanda Seyfried. Her performance, even though I wish she was in it more, was phenomenal. If the movie was about Marion Davies, it would have been amazing and GRIPPING. The elements of her life brought here are gripping and way more fascinating than what Mankiewitz goes through, and looking at her life story she’s got a lot more interesting events to cover. For a film I am not enthusiastic about otherwise, I am really high on Amanda Seyfried.
Seyfried is so winning.
John's Best of 2020
Best Picture: Soul
Best Director: George Clooney-The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Actress: Viola Davis-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo-Da Five Bloods
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried-Mank
Best Original Screenplay: Soul
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Midnight Sky
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