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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Best Director (Part 3)

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    Chris Beachum
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    Part 3 is now open.

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    OccultCherry
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    #1203883450

    1. Zhao
    2. Fincher
    3. Zeller
    4. Greengrass
    5. Sorkin

    1. Nomadland
    2. Mank
    3. The Trial of the Chicago 7
    4. The Father
    5. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    FYC:

    Picture: Nomadland
    Director: Chloe Zhao
    Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
    Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
    Supporting Actress: Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Adapted Screenplay: The Father
    Original Screenplay: Minari

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    David
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    #1203883513

    Updated Best Picture Predictions:

    1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
    2. Judas and the Black Messiah
    3. Nomadland
    4. Mank
    5. The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
    6. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    7. News of the World
    8. The Father

    9. Soul
    10. One Night in Miami
    11. Minari
    12. Promising Young Woman

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    David
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    #1203883522

    Updated Best Director Predictions:

    1. David Fincher- ‘Mank’
    2. Chloe Zhao- ‘Nomadland’
    3. Shaka King- ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’
    4. Paul Greengrass- ‘News of the World’
    5. Lee Daniels- ‘The United States vs. Billie Holiday’

    6. Florian Zeller- ‘The Father’
    7. Aaron Sorkin- ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’
    8. George C. Wolfe- ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’
    9. Lee Issac Chung- ‘Minari’
    10. Regina King- ‘One Night in Miami’

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    Cordelia
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    #1203883536

    Reminder to underestimate One Night In Miami at your potential. Amazon is a powerhouse of campaigning awards.

     

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    wolfali
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    King won’t get nominated but people underestimating One Night in Miami or Sound of Metal need to look at The Marvelous Mrs. MaiselFleabagCold War and Manchester by the Sea at the Emmys and Oscars.

    In fact I don’t have it in there for now but <i>One Night in Miami </i>could win Drama Picture at the Globes who stan Amazon.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    AjayLopez25
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    #1203883707

    <p style=”text-align: left;”>my Best Picture prediction</p>
    top 10

    Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures)

    Mank (Netflix)

    The Trial Of The Chicago 7 (Netflix)

    One Night In Miami (Amazon Studios)

    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)

    Soul (Disney-Pixar)

    The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)

    Everybody’s Talking About Jamie (20th Century Studios)

    Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)

    The Way Back (Warner Bros.)

    next-in-line:

    Minari (A24)

    The United States Vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)

    Judas And The Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)

    Tenet (Warner Bros.)

    News Of The World (Universal Pictures)

    Supernova (Bleecker Street)

    Cherry (Apple TV+)

    The Invisible Man (Universal Pictures)

    Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix)

    Sound Of Metal (Amazon Studios)

    next-in-line:

    The Life Ahead (Netflix)

    Martin Eden (Kino Lorber)

    The Personal History Of David Copperfield (Searchlight Pictures)

    The Assistant (Bleecker Street)

    Another Round (Samuel Goldwyn Films)

    Never Rarely Sometimes Always (Focus Features)

    Wolfwalkers (GKids-Apple TV+)

    Onward (Disney-Pixar)

    The Prom (Netflix)

    I Am Woman (Quiver Distribution)

    The Boys In The Band (Netflix)

    Wild Thyme Mountain (Bleecker Street)

    Shirley (Neon)

    Let Them All Talk (HBO Max)

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    LLLhawks
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    #1203883855

    Judas and the Black Messiah
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Mank
    News of the World
    Nomadland
    One Night in Miami
    The Father
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    When will they open the rest of the Oscar categories in the prediction center?

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    wolfali
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    1. Nomadland
    2. Mank
    3. One Night in Miami
    4. The Father
    5. The Trial of the Chicago 7
    6. Judas and the Black Messiah
    7. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    8. Soul
    9. The Prom
    10. Promising Young Woman

    11. News of the World
    12. Da 5 Bloods
    13. Minari
    14. Pieces of a Woman
    15. Emma.

    1. Chloe Zhao
    2. David Fincher
    3. Florian Zeller
    4. George C. Wolfe
    5. Lee Isaac Chung

    6. Paul Greengrass
    7. Shaka King
    8. Spike Lee
    9. Aaron Sorkin
    10. Emerald Fennell

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Cordelia
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    1. One Night In Miami

    2. Nomadland

    3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    4. Mank

    5. The Father

    6. Soul

    7. The Trial of The Chicago 7

    8. Judas And The Black Messiah

    9. News Of The World *

    10. The Prom *

    11. Minari

    12. Da 5 Bloods

    13. Hillbilly Elegy

    14. The Sound of Metal

    15. Ammonite

    * Subject to change with incoming reviews, likely moved off the list if not decently acclaimed at minimum.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    Cordelia
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    Watched Mank at Canberra today!

    … I am not sure how I feel, or if I like it.

    The part I was worried about – the aesthetic – actually kinda worked. The idea of a modern digital perspective trying and failing to achieve the aesthetic of a film from that era, having to use digital effects for film grain or cigarette burns, works with the themes of  Hollywood’s artificiality and the nature of retrospective re-examination…

    However, I was pretty disappointed by a lot of it. The script is just not that compelling. I did not care about the titular Herman Mankiewicz AT ALL. Oldman was fine, but I found his role and character arc to be a bore. The film is heavily about politics of the era, presented in a very clear analogue to both the then-current politics of the script’s writing and current Trumpian politics. I kinda think it fails both at making me invested in the time period it is depicting AND making a scintillating point about the more contemporary events it’s an analogue to. The dialogue is sometimes genuinely snappy in a way that recalls the best films and screenwriting of its era… but damn it doesn’t always work. I feared this would be an inane Orson Welles hitjob, but maybe that would’ve been a better movie than this inside joke of a film. It feels more like a pat on the back to old cinema history than a character exploration.

    What DID deliver for me, in a big way, was Amanda Seyfried. Her performance, even though I wish she was in it more, was phenomenal. If the movie was about Marion Davies, it would have been amazing and GRIPPING. The elements of her life brought here are gripping and way more fascinating than what Mankiewitz goes through, and looking at her life story she’s got a lot more interesting events to cover. For a film I am not enthusiastic about otherwise, I am really high on Amanda Seyfried.

    This film isn’t a crowdpleaser. It isn’t that accessible – it’s very inside baseball jargon heavy. It is going to work really well for some people, but some people are just going to bounce off it hard.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    Butz
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    My weekly predictions (winners in italics):

    Best Picture:

    • The Father
    • Judas and the Black Messiah (if there are 9 nominees)
    • Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    • Mank
    • Minari (if there are 10 nominees)
    • News of the World
    • Nomadland
    • One Night in Miami
    • Soul
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Other possibilities: Ammonite, Da 5 Bloods, The Midnight Sky, The United States vs. Billie Holiday

    Best Director:

    • David Fincher (Mank)
    • Paul Greengrass (News of the World)
    • Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
    • George C. Wolfe (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
    • Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)

    Other possibilities: Lee Isaac Chung (Minari), Lee Daniels (The United States vs. Billie Holiday), Regina King (One Night in Miami), Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah), Florian Zeller (The Father)

    FYC:

    Lead Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)

    Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

    Supporting Actor: Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)

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    LLLhawks
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    The idea of Regina King, Shaka King, George C. Wolfe and Chloe Zhao making that line-up is just way too good to be true, WAYYYYYYY too insane… but I will root for that anyway.

    I refuse to let go of the 100/1 odds i got for judas and the black messiah until the movie comes and it actually sucks.

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    Miss
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    Apr 1st, 2018
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    #1203884328

    https://www.indiewire.com/feature/best-movies-2020-films-1202217382/

    IndieWire’s The Best Movies of 2020

    1. “First Cow”
    2. “Lovers Rock”
    3. “Collective”
    4. “Nomadland”
    5. “Never Rarely Sometimes Always”
    6. “Time”
    7. “The Climb”
    8. “The Mole Agent”
    9. “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”
    10. “Bacurau”
    11. “Bloody Nose, Empty Pockets”
    12. “The Assistant”
    13. “Sound of Metal”
    14. “Soul”
    15. “Mank”
    16. “Mayor”
    17. “Mangrove”
    18. “The Vast of Night”
    19. “Dick Johnson Is Dead”
    20. “She Dies Tomorrow”

    Let the year-end lists begin! “First Cow” about to be the critical darling of 2020. Underestimate it in screenplay at your own peril..

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    John Berchmans
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    What DID deliver for me, in a big way, was Amanda Seyfried. Her performance, even though I wish she was in it more, was phenomenal. If the movie was about Marion Davies, it would have been amazing and GRIPPING. The elements of her life brought here are gripping and way more fascinating than what Mankiewitz goes through, and looking at her life story she’s got a lot more interesting events to cover. For a film I am not enthusiastic about otherwise, I am really high on Amanda Seyfried.

    Seyfried is so winning.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Director: George Clooney-The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
    Best Actress: Viola Davis-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo-Da Five Bloods
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried-Mank
    Best Original Screenplay: Soul
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Midnight Sky

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