Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 758 Posts: 1187 View Predictions]

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Continue in Part 5.

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[Qoslca Joined: Oct 19th, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 313 View Predictions]

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I saw News of the World last night, and I absolutely loved it. It was masterfully directed and had brilliant, rich, sometimes breathtaking cinematography. It was very reminiscent of True Grit and The Searchers. In fact, Hanks’ performance was very Wayne-ian in itself. It was his best leading role since Captain Phillips, but I don’t think the Academy will consider it strong enough to garner a nomination. With that said, Helena Zegel was by far the standout for me. She portrayed so much depth, heart and emotion, and I’d actually be quite surprised if she doesn’t receive a nomination for Best Actress.

I expect News of the World will be nominated in almost all below-the-line categories, especially Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Score (James Newton Howard’s score was a real treat to listen to), and Editing (the gunfight scene alone makes it worthy of this). I’m certain it’ll be nominated for Picture and possibly Director, but I just don’t feel it has enough “buzz” to win either of those, although who knows with the preferential ballot for Picture?

Contrary to what others have said — and who I’m not sure have even seen the film yet — I did not find it to be boring. I could name many other films from this year or the last where I was checking my watch all the way through, but this was not one of them. I did feel the script could have used a little tightening here and there, but it had enough intrigue, suspense and heart to hold my interest.

Overall, News of the World is a very solid outing from Greengrass and Hanks. I enjoyed it immensely, and would caution not to underestimate its chances come nominations morning.

My username is an acronym of “Quiet On Set! Lights, Camera, Action.” 🎥

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36950 View Predictions]

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1. Nomadland (Searchlight)
2. The Father (SPC)
3. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
4. Minari (A24)
5. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
6. Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
7. Soul (Disney)
8. Mank (Netflix)
9. Promising Young Woman (Focus Features)
10. Sound of Metal (Amazon)

11. One Night in Miami (Amazon)
12. The United States vs Billie Holliday (Hulu)
13. News of the World (Universal)
14. Malcolm and Marie (Netflix)
15. Emma (Focus Features)

 

1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
2. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
3. Florian Zeller, The Father
4. David Fincher, Mank
5. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

6. Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods
7. Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
8. George Clooney, The Midnight Sky
9. Paul Greengrass, News of the World
10. Darius Marder, Sound of Metal

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Luca Giliberti Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 7697 View Predictions]

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PEOPLE!!!!!

https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20

“We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars  #Awards #movies”

[Jojo1 Joined: Nov 27th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 611 View Predictions]

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Luca Giliberti wrote:

PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

lets goooooo

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 6558 View Predictions]

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Luca Giliberti wrote:

PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

Thank god I have the movie getting in everywhere. I’m not sold on Lakeith yet due to the competition but anything is possible. Quite excited for this one.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 240 Posts: 36950 View Predictions]

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Luca Giliberti wrote:

PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

Now this is how to campaign a February release film!

FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

[Cabiria Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 2 Posts: 1480 View Predictions]

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Luca Giliberti wrote:

PEOPLE!!!!!
“We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

I knew it when I saw that trailer! Thank God!
We need more “fresh” contenders now.

2023:
"TAR", "Banshees","Batman"

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

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Since the preferential ballot started, there’s at least one film nominated for Picture/Director and at least four technical categories:

2009 – The Hurt Locker, Avatar
2010 – The King’s Speech, True Grit
2011 – The Artist, Hugo
2012 – Life of Pi, Lincoln
2013 – Gravity
2014 – The Grand Budapest Hotel
2015 – The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road
2016 – La La Land, Arrival
2017 – The Shape of Water, Dunkirk
2018 – Roma, The Favourite
2019 – Joker, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Irishman

And even before the prefential ballot, that was also the case almost every year.

So if you’re not predicting Mank, News of the World or Ma Rainey in Directing, you should reconsider that.

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

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Luca Giliberti wrote:

PEOPLE!!!!!

https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20

“We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

I’m so excited for this film!

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

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Why these films in particular? Maybe it’s Nomadland this year with Picture/Director and then cinematography/editing/sound/production design. And of course screenplay and actress.

Nomadland in Sound and Production Design? I don’t think so. I think it’s only getting Editing and Cinematography.

[OccultCherry Joined: Sep 13th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 408 View Predictions]

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SN wrote:

Since the preferential ballot started, there’s at least one film nominated for Picture/Director and at least four technical categories:

2009 – The Hurt Locker, Avatar
2010 – The King’s Speech, True Grit
2011 – The Artist, Hugo
2012 – Life of Pi, Lincoln
2013 – Gravity
2014 – The Grand Budapest Hotel
2015 – The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road
2016 – La La Land, Arrival
2017 – The Shape of Water, Dunkirk
2018 – Roma, The Favourite
2019 – Joker, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Irishman

And even before the prefential ballot, that was also the case almost every year.

So if you’re not predicting Mank, News of the World or Ma Rainey in Directing, you should reconsider that.

The direction was the worst part of that painfully, insufferably mediocre film Ma Rainey. Wolfe isn’t coming anywhere near a nomination.

FYC:

Picture: Nomadland
Director: Chloe Zhao
Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2921 View Predictions]

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Luca Giliberti wrote:

PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

Lakeith Stanfield is coming for that Best Actor nomination and we love to see it!

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2921 View Predictions]

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Maybe this is just me, but it feels like News of the World has absolutely zero buzz. It seems to have just come and gone without any fanfare.

I too think it will do well below-the-line (Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling, and Sound all seem very likely), but I don’t see it getting anything above-the-line.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 4 Posts: 3535 View Predictions]

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WB is a messy studio, but they really know how to campaign. They have a BP nominee almost every year.

The HBO Max fiasco will probably hurt Judas chances at winning, but I have no doubt it’ll have multiple nominations if it is as good as it looks.