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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

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  • Chris Beachum
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    #1203949507

    Continue in Part 5.

    Reply

    Qoslca
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    Oct 19th, 2018
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    #1203949517

    I saw News of the World last night, and I absolutely loved it. It was masterfully directed and had brilliant, rich, sometimes breathtaking cinematography. It was very reminiscent of True Grit and The Searchers. In fact, Hanks’ performance was very Wayne-ian in itself. It was his best leading role since Captain Phillips, but I don’t think the Academy will consider it strong enough to garner a nomination. With that said, Helena Zegel was by far the standout for me. She portrayed so much depth, heart and emotion, and I’d actually be quite surprised if she doesn’t receive a nomination for Best Actress.

    I expect News of the World will be nominated in almost all below-the-line categories, especially Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Score (James Newton Howard’s score was a real treat to listen to), and Editing (the gunfight scene alone makes it worthy of this). I’m certain it’ll be nominated for Picture and possibly Director, but I just don’t feel it has enough “buzz” to win either of those, although who knows with the preferential ballot for Picture?

    Contrary to what others have said — and who I’m not sure have even seen the film yet — I did not find it to be boring. I could name many other films from this year or the last where I was checking my watch all the way through, but this was not one of them. I did feel the script could have used a little tightening here and there, but it had enough intrigue, suspense and heart to hold my interest.

    Overall, News of the World is a very solid outing from Greengrass and Hanks. I enjoyed it immensely, and would caution not to underestimate its chances come nominations morning.

    My username is an acronym of “Quiet On Set! Lights, Camera, Action.” 🎥


    wolfali
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    #1203949527

    1. Nomadland (Searchlight)
    2. The Father (SPC)
    3. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
    4. Minari (A24)
    5. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
    6. Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
    7. Soul (Disney)
    8. Mank (Netflix)
    9. Promising Young Woman (Focus Features)
    10. Sound of Metal (Amazon)

    11. One Night in Miami (Amazon)
    12. The United States vs Billie Holliday (Hulu)
    13. News of the World (Universal)
    14. Malcolm and Marie (Netflix)
    15. Emma (Focus Features)

     

    1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
    2. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
    3. Florian Zeller, The Father
    4. David Fincher, Mank
    5. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

    6. Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods
    7. Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    8. George Clooney, The Midnight Sky
    9. Paul Greengrass, News of the World
    10. Darius Marder, Sound of Metal

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Luca Giliberti
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    Jun 23rd, 2017
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    #1203949549

    PEOPLE!!!!!

    https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20

    “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars  #Awards #movies”


    Jojo1
    Joined:
    Nov 27th, 2020
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    #1203949553

    PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

    lets goooooo


    estrelas
    Joined:
    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1203949561

    PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

    Thank god I have the movie getting in everywhere. I’m not sold on Lakeith yet due to the competition but anything is possible. Quite excited for this one.


    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203949581

    PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

    Now this is how to campaign a February release film!

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Cabiria
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
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    #1203949593

    PEOPLE!!!!!
    “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

    I knew it when I saw that trailer! Thank God!
    We need more “fresh” contenders now.

    2023:
    "TAR", "Banshees","Batman"


    SN
    Joined:
    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1203949618

    Since the preferential ballot started, there’s at least one film nominated for Picture/Director and at least four technical categories:

    2009 – The Hurt Locker, Avatar
    2010 – The King’s Speech, True Grit
    2011 – The Artist, Hugo
    2012 – Life of Pi, Lincoln
    2013 – Gravity
    2014 – The Grand Budapest Hotel
    2015 – The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road
    2016 – La La Land, Arrival
    2017 – The Shape of Water, Dunkirk
    2018 – Roma, The Favourite
    2019 – Joker, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Irishman

    And even before the prefential ballot, that was also the case almost every year.

    So if you’re not predicting Mank, News of the World or Ma Rainey in Directing, you should reconsider that.


    SN
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    #1203949621

    PEOPLE!!!!!

    https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20

    “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

    I’m so excited for this film!


    SN
    Joined:
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    #1203949647

    Why these films in particular? Maybe it’s Nomadland this year with Picture/Director and then cinematography/editing/sound/production design. And of course screenplay and actress.

    Nomadland in Sound and Production Design? I don’t think so. I think it’s only getting Editing and Cinematography.


    OccultCherry
    Joined:
    Sep 13th, 2020
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    #1203949649

    Since the preferential ballot started, there’s at least one film nominated for Picture/Director and at least four technical categories:

    2009 – The Hurt Locker, Avatar
    2010 – The King’s Speech, True Grit
    2011 – The Artist, Hugo
    2012 – Life of Pi, Lincoln
    2013 – Gravity
    2014 – The Grand Budapest Hotel
    2015 – The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road
    2016 – La La Land, Arrival
    2017 – The Shape of Water, Dunkirk
    2018 – Roma, The Favourite
    2019 – Joker, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, The Irishman

    And even before the prefential ballot, that was also the case almost every year.

    So if you’re not predicting Mank, News of the World or Ma Rainey in Directing, you should reconsider that.

    The direction was the worst part of that painfully, insufferably mediocre film Ma Rainey. Wolfe isn’t coming anywhere near a nomination.

    FYC:

    Picture: Nomadland
    Director: Chloe Zhao
    Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
    Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
    Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
    Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Adapted Screenplay: The Father
    Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman


    John Berchmans
    Joined:
    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1203949749

    PEOPLE!!!!! https://twitter.com/KittyCointreau/status/1343609101725691905?s=20 “We saw #JudasAndTheBlackMessiah last night & was floored by it. Fantastic #film – might be the best film i’ve seen this year. Dan Kaluuya & #lakeithstanfield are superb. Great storytelling. And great online Q&A after. Hope it wins big at the #baftas & #Oscars #Awards #movies”

    Lakeith Stanfield is coming for that Best Actor nomination and we love to see it!

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah


    John Berchmans
    Joined:
    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1203949758

    Maybe this is just me, but it feels like News of the World has absolutely zero buzz. It seems to have just come and gone without any fanfare.

    I too think it will do well below-the-line (Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling, and Sound all seem very likely), but I don’t see it getting anything above-the-line.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah


    SN
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    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1203949766

    WB is a messy studio, but they really know how to campaign. They have a BP nominee almost every year.

    The HBO Max fiasco will probably hurt Judas chances at winning, but I have no doubt it’ll have multiple nominations if it is as good as it looks.

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