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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

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    SN
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    #1203952813

    Mank is so incredibly safe for Best Picture. There is literally no chance that it misses the nomination. It has no chance of winning, of course, but Foxcatcher this isn’t.

    I know Mank is disappointing a bit so far, but I still can’t see it being snubbed in Picture and Director. As I mentioned before here, every year there’s at least one Picture/Director nominee with plenty of technical nominations. For now, seems like Mank is positioned to be that film this year. I think it’s more an Irishman situation than a First Man situation. First Man actually did quite well with the critics awards.

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    wolfali
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    #1203952827

    Daniel looks like a *WINNING* performance.

    Kaluuya should win the Oscar just for that trailer alone lol.

    I made this joke before but who would have known that being a guest star on Doctor Who could inadvertently lead you to become a frontrunner to win an Oscar more than a decade later.

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    Miles
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    #1203952944

    Mank is not Foxcatcher. It’s The Irishman/Roma, films that earned a ton of nominations below the line, but don’t win Best Picture because they’re films that people respect but don’t “like”.

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    Nameizmann
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    #1203953081

    Mank is not Foxcatcher. It’s The Irishman/Roma, films that earned a ton of nominations below the line, but don’t win Best Picture because they’re films that people respect but don’t “like”.

    I agree except Mank feels like it has much less passionate supporters than Roma/Irishman.

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203953088

    Mank is not Foxcatcher. It’s First Man.

    It’ll most likely be nominated for Best Picture. No two situations are alike. Put your feelings aside.

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    wolfali
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    #1203953098

    With this new Covid variant spreading I wonder what will happen to films like The Father and <i>Nomadland </i>at all the awards and films like Sound of Metal (which in the UK is not being distributed by Amazon) and Promising Young Woman at BAFTA. Will they allow the films to have limited streaming releases or screener releases but then have a theatrical release date in the US, UK etc after the eligibility cut off point or will they just miss Oscar and BAFTA eligibility?

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203953101

    With this new Covid variant spreading I wonder what will happen to films like The Father and <i>Nomadland </i>at all the awards and films like Sound of Metal (which in the UK is not being distributed by Amazon) and Promising Young Woman at BAFTA. Will they allow the films to have limited streaming releases or screener releases but then have a theatrical release date in the US, UK etc after the eligibility cut off point or will they just miss Oscar and BAFTA eligibility?

    I imagine they’re going to go ahead and release their movies anyway. They’ve gotten this far and I can’t see them just wasting all that buzz.

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    wolfali
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    #1203953120

    I imagine they’re going to go ahead and release their movies anyway. They’ve gotten this far and I can’t see them just wasting all that buzz.

    But the thing is for example in the UK there is no guarantee cinemas will be open for <i>Promising Young Woman</i> and <i>Sound of Metal </i>to be released in January and February. And there’s every possibility cinemas in the States will shut.

    Do they go straight to streaming in the UK and US or do BAFTA (in the case of PYW and SoM) and the AMPAS give their films special consideration.

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203953127

    But the things is for example in the UK there is no guarantee cinemas will be open for <i>Promising Young Woman</i> and <i>Sound of Metal </i>to be released in January and February. And there’s every possibility cinemas in the States will shut. Do they go straight to streaming in the UK and US or do BAFTA (in the case of PYW and SoM) and the AMPAS give their films special consideration.

    My guess is they go to streaming if that’s the situation they end up in.

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    The Girls' Room
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    #1203953280

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    watch I May Destroy You

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    wolfali
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    #1203953292

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    I think so. It has been getting more and more buzz.

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    SN
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    #1203953299

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    The distributor doesn’t help. I think it’ll be lucky to have a Best Actor nomination.

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    gorman
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    #1203953454

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    I think it’s a bit of a sleeper at the minute. Major crowd-pleaser and will get plenty of views as the frontrunner for International Feature. Mikkelsen is getting a lot of praise and I think his performance (in the final scene alone) has more passion than some in/ around the top 5 now like Oldman or Hanks. He’s also pretty overdue for a nom. I think he’ll get in.

    I also have it getting in for Director right now and I don’t think Screenplay or a tech or two are out of the question. Picture also isn’t impossible, but I’d say it’s still unlikely.

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    Rishabh Chaturvedi
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    #1203953508

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    I’m honestly all here for Thomas Vinterburg pulling off another Pawlikowski for Cold War in Best Director, not to mention Mikkelsen in Actor, even though it’s admittedly unlikely to happen.

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    Hoster1
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    #1203953516

    Cold War received a MASSIVE campaign from Amazon when all of their award plays that year flopped. Not to mention the enormous critial acclaim. Another Round has a flop distributor.

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