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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

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  • Miles
    Joined:
    Oct 22nd, 2016
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    #1203952944

    Mank is not Foxcatcher. It’s The Irishman/Roma, films that earned a ton of nominations below the line, but don’t win Best Picture because they’re films that people respect but don’t “like”.


    Nameizmann
    Joined:
    Jan 16th, 2020
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    #1203953081

    Mank is not Foxcatcher. It’s The Irishman/Roma, films that earned a ton of nominations below the line, but don’t win Best Picture because they’re films that people respect but don’t “like”.

    I agree except Mank feels like it has much less passionate supporters than Roma/Irishman.


    Gabe Guarin
    Joined:
    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1203953088

    Mank is not Foxcatcher. It’s First Man.

    It’ll most likely be nominated for Best Picture. No two situations are alike. Put your feelings aside.


    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203953098

    With this new Covid variant spreading I wonder what will happen to films like The Father and <i>Nomadland </i>at all the awards and films like Sound of Metal (which in the UK is not being distributed by Amazon) and Promising Young Woman at BAFTA. Will they allow the films to have limited streaming releases or screener releases but then have a theatrical release date in the US, UK etc after the eligibility cut off point or will they just miss Oscar and BAFTA eligibility?

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Gabe Guarin
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    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1203953101

    With this new Covid variant spreading I wonder what will happen to films like The Father and <i>Nomadland </i>at all the awards and films like Sound of Metal (which in the UK is not being distributed by Amazon) and Promising Young Woman at BAFTA. Will they allow the films to have limited streaming releases or screener releases but then have a theatrical release date in the US, UK etc after the eligibility cut off point or will they just miss Oscar and BAFTA eligibility?

    I imagine they’re going to go ahead and release their movies anyway. They’ve gotten this far and I can’t see them just wasting all that buzz.


    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203953120

    I imagine they’re going to go ahead and release their movies anyway. They’ve gotten this far and I can’t see them just wasting all that buzz.

    But the thing is for example in the UK there is no guarantee cinemas will be open for <i>Promising Young Woman</i> and <i>Sound of Metal </i>to be released in January and February. And there’s every possibility cinemas in the States will shut.

    Do they go straight to streaming in the UK and US or do BAFTA (in the case of PYW and SoM) and the AMPAS give their films special consideration.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Gabe Guarin
    Joined:
    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1203953127

    But the things is for example in the UK there is no guarantee cinemas will be open for <i>Promising Young Woman</i> and <i>Sound of Metal </i>to be released in January and February. And there’s every possibility cinemas in the States will shut. Do they go straight to streaming in the UK and US or do BAFTA (in the case of PYW and SoM) and the AMPAS give their films special consideration.

    My guess is they go to streaming if that’s the situation they end up in.


    The Girls' Room
    Joined:
    Jun 20th, 2018
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    #1203953280

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    watch I May Destroy You


    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1203953292

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    I think so. It has been getting more and more buzz.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    SN
    Joined:
    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1203953299

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    The distributor doesn’t help. I think it’ll be lucky to have a Best Actor nomination.


    gorman
    Joined:
    Dec 24th, 2017
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    #1203953454

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    I think it’s a bit of a sleeper at the minute. Major crowd-pleaser and will get plenty of views as the frontrunner for International Feature. Mikkelsen is getting a lot of praise and I think his performance (in the final scene alone) has more passion than some in/ around the top 5 now like Oldman or Hanks. He’s also pretty overdue for a nom. I think he’ll get in.

    I also have it getting in for Director right now and I don’t think Screenplay or a tech or two are out of the question. Picture also isn’t impossible, but I’d say it’s still unlikely.


    Rishabh Chaturvedi
    Joined:
    Oct 10th, 2016
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    #1203953508

    Does anyone think Another Round could be a surprise bigger player here for noms? It’s certainly worthy.

    I’m honestly all here for Thomas Vinterburg pulling off another Pawlikowski for Cold War in Best Director, not to mention Mikkelsen in Actor, even though it’s admittedly unlikely to happen.


    Hoster1
    Joined:
    Aug 8th, 2016
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    #1203953516

    Cold War received a MASSIVE campaign from Amazon when all of their award plays that year flopped. Not to mention the enormous critial acclaim. Another Round has a flop distributor.


    Butz
    Joined:
    Oct 15th, 2020
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    #1203953525

    I love how much love Mads gets here – deservedly so! However I think Picture and Director are out of the question. Screenplay could have been possible but the Original category is quite competitive already. I think the best case are a win in International Feature and a 5th-spot-welcome-to-the-club-nomination for Mads.

    For Your Consideration:
    The Banshees of Inisherin in ALL categories, including:
    - Best Picture
    - Best Director
    - Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
    - Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)
    - Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)
    - Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon)
    - Best Supporting Actress (Sheila Flitton)
    - Best Original Screenplay

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges


    Gabe Guarin
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    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1203953529

    If Netflix was smart they’d be putting their main money behind Da 5 Bloods. Just sayin’.

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