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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

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    Butz
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    #1203953525

    I love how much love Mads gets here – deservedly so! However I think Picture and Director are out of the question. Screenplay could have been possible but the Original category is quite competitive already. I think the best case are a win in International Feature and a 5th-spot-welcome-to-the-club-nomination for Mads.

    FYC - Oscars 2022:
    NINE DAYS in all categories, including:
    - Best Picture
    - Best Director
    - Best Original Screenplay
    - Best Actor (Winston Duke)
    - Best Supporting Actress (Zazie Beetz)
    - Best Supporting Actor (Benedict Wong)

    Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203953529

    If Netflix was smart they’d be putting their main money behind Da 5 Bloods. Just sayin’.

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    OccultCherry
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    Sep 13th, 2020
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    #1203953537

    I’d have to agree with Caterpillar Brows.

    FYC:

    Picture: Nomadland
    Director: Chloe Zhao
    Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
    Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
    Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
    Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Adapted Screenplay: The Father
    Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman

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    #1203953543
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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203953550

    That could backfire spectacularly. Though I agree they shouldn’t leave it in the dust.

    How would it backfire?

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    gorman
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    #1203953578

    How would it backfire?

    There’s a relatively convincing argument that Chicago 7 and Ma Rainey are safer and more crowd-pleasing choices that could feasibly challenge for BP and win other categories. However, I’m inclined to agree with you that Da 5 Bloods is actually probably their most likely competitor if they backed it. It’s got the kind of bite and passion that (I think) Chicago 7 lacks and it’s much more cinematic and bold than Ma Rainey, and Lee has a narrative in Director, Lindo in Actor and it could also win techs to push it closer to the line in Picture.

    That said, it’s probably proven too divisive already – but out of all their options I do think it’s their best bet. A risky one, but one I’d admire/ understand. Chicago and Ma Rainey are safer though, and Mank is more starry and industry-friendly, so I doubt we’ll see it get a massive push.

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    SN
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    #1203953586

    Let’s talk about MPA ratings. Since 2009, there are at least three non R-rated films (PG-13, PG or G) on Best Picture. The Father, Minari, News of the World and Soul are the most likely non R contenders this year. If you’re not predicting three of them at least, you should reconsider that.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203953661

    On the topic of what Nomadland/The Father/Minari will do if theaters are forced to shut down in February, I think it’s much more likely that they would just release exclusively on streaming than delay and kill all of their Oscar buzz. A24 has a partnership with Apple so Minari would probably go to Apple TV+. I’m assuming Nomadland and The Father would be PVOD (maybe Nomadland goes to Hulu?).

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    wolfali
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    #1203953670

    Let’s talk about MPA ratings. Since 2009, there are at least three non R-rated films (PG-13, PG or G) on Best Picture. The Father, Minari, News of the World and Soul are the most likely non R contenders this year. If you’re not predicting three of them at least, you should reconsider that.

    The Father is a lock for a Picture nomination.

    FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!

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    SN
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    #1203953694

    The Father is a lock for a Picture nomination.

    Yeah, and I’m pretty confident about Minari too.

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    Stank83
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    Mar 8th, 2020
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    #1203953712

    1. Fincher
    2. Zhao
    3. Lee
    4. Zeller
    5. Isaac Chung

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    JackO
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    Jun 2nd, 2011
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    #1203953760

    1. Fincher
    2. Zhao
    3. Lee
    4. Zeller
    5. Isaac Chung

    Fincher isn’t winning

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203953845

    How big of a contender do we think Chicago 7 will be?

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