December 30, 2020 at 12:32 pm #1203953525
I love how much love Mads gets here – deservedly so! However I think Picture and Director are out of the question. Screenplay could have been possible but the Original category is quite competitive already. I think the best case are a win in International Feature and a 5th-spot-welcome-to-the-club-nomination for Mads.
FYC - Oscars 2022:
NINE DAYS in all categories, including:
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Actor (Winston Duke)
- Best Supporting Actress (Zazie Beetz)
- Best Supporting Actor (Benedict Wong)
Letterboxd: Ray_In_BrugesDecember 30, 2020 at 12:36 pm #1203953529
If Netflix was smart they’d be putting their main money behind Da 5 Bloods. Just sayin’.December 30, 2020 at 12:38 pm #1203953537
I’d have to agree with Caterpillar Brows.
Director: Chloe Zhao
Leading Actress: Frances McDormand
Leading Actor: Anthony Hopkins
Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung
Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Adapted Screenplay: The Father
Original Screenplay: Promising Young WomanDecember 30, 2020 at 12:40 pm #1203953543This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 30, 2020 at 12:42 pm #1203953546This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 30, 2020 at 12:57 pm #1203953578
How would it backfire?
There’s a relatively convincing argument that Chicago 7 and Ma Rainey are safer and more crowd-pleasing choices that could feasibly challenge for BP and win other categories. However, I’m inclined to agree with you that Da 5 Bloods is actually probably their most likely competitor if they backed it. It’s got the kind of bite and passion that (I think) Chicago 7 lacks and it’s much more cinematic and bold than Ma Rainey, and Lee has a narrative in Director, Lindo in Actor and it could also win techs to push it closer to the line in Picture.
That said, it’s probably proven too divisive already – but out of all their options I do think it’s their best bet. A risky one, but one I’d admire/ understand. Chicago and Ma Rainey are safer though, and Mank is more starry and industry-friendly, so I doubt we’ll see it get a massive push.December 30, 2020 at 1:02 pm #1203953586
Let’s talk about MPA ratings. Since 2009, there are at least three non R-rated films (PG-13, PG or G) on Best Picture. The Father, Minari, News of the World and Soul are the most likely non R contenders this year. If you’re not predicting three of them at least, you should reconsider that.December 30, 2020 at 1:12 pm #1203953606This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 30, 2020 at 1:43 pm #1203953661
On the topic of what Nomadland/The Father/Minari will do if theaters are forced to shut down in February, I think it’s much more likely that they would just release exclusively on streaming than delay and kill all of their Oscar buzz. A24 has a partnership with Apple so Minari would probably go to Apple TV+. I’m assuming Nomadland and The Father would be PVOD (maybe Nomadland goes to Hulu?).
John's Best of 2020
Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul
John's Best of 2021
Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black MessiahDecember 30, 2020 at 1:46 pm #1203953670
Let’s talk about MPA ratings. Since 2009, there are at least three non R-rated films (PG-13, PG or G) on Best Picture. The Father, Minari, News of the World and Soul are the most likely non R contenders this year. If you’re not predicting three of them at least, you should reconsider that.
The Father is a lock for a Picture nomination.
FYC: All things The Crown, Hacks and I May Destroy You (and Hannah Waddingham and Julianne Nicholson whilst you're at it)!!December 30, 2020 at 2:17 pm #1203953712
5. Isaac Chung
The topic ‘Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)’ is closed to new replies.