Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 6)

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 295 Posts: 366 View Predictions]

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Continue here in Part 6.

Reply

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 182 Posts: 19463 View Predictions]

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So they’re already campaigning.

God I just hope this film doesn’t whitewash history like Chicago 7. It’s a very important story.

I have every confidence they won’t whitewash. Shaka King is not an elitist with dodgy white savioury politics like Sorkin.

FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2745 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

I have every confidence they won’t whitewash. Shaka King is not an elitist with dodgy white savioury politics like Sorkin.

Yeah, I have some confidence too. Not everyone is a proudly elitist liberal like Aaron Sorkin.

[gorman Joined: Dec 24th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 612 View Predictions]

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Loving those stills from Malcolm and Marie. A trailer must be imminent. I have zero idea how good it will be despite being excited for it but I think it could make quite a few races more exciting if it is – Actress, Screenplay and Cinematography feel possible. Maybe Picture, Director and Actor too if it’s really acclaimed. I feel like Netflix might be looking/ hoping for something with a bit of passion and popular/ online support considering its three best shots all seem to be falling a little flat buzz-wise right now, and Malcolm and Marie is probably their best shot at that.

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2923 View Predictions]

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In regards to what Wolfali was saying about Judas’ screenplay chances, I don’t think a late release date will hurt it too much. Late release films have won Screenplay categories several times since the preferential ballot (Her and Django in Original, Call Me By Your Name and The Big Short in Adapted). 1917 was nominated last year despite not being screened until very late. It’s also worth noting that buzz for Screenplay categories tends to flip on a dime. OUATiH and Little Women were the frontrunners to win Original and Adapted last year until WGA flipped the script and gave the wins to Parasite and Jojo Rabbit: then the BAFTA’s and Oscars followed suit. Three Billboards was also widely seen as the frontrunner to win Original in 2018 before Get Out won WGA. Green Book also won Original out of absolutely nowhere: that’s 3 upset wins in a row in that category.

I see something similar happening to Judas: it may not have buzz yet, but after yesterday’s events and the events of June 2020, and in light of how important Black voices have been for the last 6 months, Judas has a story that voters will strongly embrace. I think it will follow a similar path to Parasite and Jojo Rabbit and win all of the late season prizes: WGA, BAFTA, and then the Oscar.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2923 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

I have every confidence they won’t whitewash. Shaka King is not an elitist with dodgy white savioury politics like Sorkin.

Judas will be the BlackkKlansman to TTotC7’s Green Book: a more boldly political film that isn’t afraid to shake it’s viewers up.

Not that I have anything against Green Book, but it’s objectively not as good of a film because of how watered down it is.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1053 View Predictions]

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Pieces of a FLop not even top 10 in the US. Getting beaten by 30 Minutes or Less.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 182 Posts: 19463 View Predictions]

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JackO wrote:

Pieces of a FLop not even top 10 in the US. Getting beaten by 30 Minutes or Less.

In that case let me slot in Emma Roberts for Holidate! Oh and Enola Holmes over The Trial of the Chicago 7!

FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 1053 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

In that case let me slot in Emma Roberts for Holidate.

Imagine being proud of having no one watch your movie lol Thats definitely a take.

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2745 View Predictions]

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Do you enjoy being so insufferable?!

For some reason this clown is blocked for me. I only know he exists because people reply him lol

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 3114 View Predictions]

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SN wrote:

For some reason this clown is blocked for me. I only know he exists because people reply him lol

Didn’t you put him on ignore by any chance?!

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 3 Posts: 2745 View Predictions]

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estrelas wrote:

Didn’t you put him on ignore by any chance?!

Yeah, maybe. I probably did that like some years ago and don’t remember right now. You should do the same lol

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 3114 View Predictions]

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SN wrote:

Yeah, maybe. I probably did that like some years ago and don’t remember right now. You should do the same lol

I should put quite a few people on ignore tbh 😅

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2923 View Predictions]

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JackO wrote:

Imagine being proud of having no one watch your movie lol Thats definitely a take.

Not every movie is going to be super popular. In fact, the whole point of awards season is that it’s supposed to recognize these smaller films that otherwise wouldn’t receive that much attention. If awards didn’t exist than the entire Hollywood industry would just be massive blockbusters and other films designed to make money. And it would be creatively bankrupt.

At the end of the day, does the amount of people that have seen a film impact your opinion of it? Because if it does, and you judge your movies solely based on how much other people like them, then why bother watching movies at all?

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 1 Posts: 1424 View Predictions]

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