Home Forums Movies Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 6)

Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 6)

CREATE A NEW TOPIC
CREATE A NEW POLL
Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 497 total)
Created
3 months ago
Last Reply
3 months ago
496
replies
70055
views
71
users
wolfali
91
John Berchmans
59
SN
50
  • Profile picture
    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971465

    Films in the prediction centre ranked by IMDB votes (those that have been out for two weeks or less are in bold):

    1. Tenet – 255,279 votes
    2. Soul – 112,128 votes

    3. The Trial of the Chicago 7 – 80,337 votes
    4. Palm Springs – 68,281 votes
    5. I’m Thinking of Ending Things – 56,476 votes
    6. Da 5 Bloods – 36,511 votes
    7. Mank – 30,562 votes
    8. Emma – 28,087 votes
    9. Hillbilly Elegy – 20,028 votes
    10. On the Rocks – 18,719 votes

    11. Sound of Metal – 18,086 votes
    12. The Prom – 17,667 votes
    13. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – 15,316 votes
    14. The Personal History of David Copperfield – 12,210 votes
    15. Never Rarely Sometimes Always – 11,709 votes
    16. First Cow – 7,470 votes
    17. Promising Young Woman – 6,467 votes
    18. Pieces of a Woman – 4,787 votes
    19. Ammonite – 4,627 votes
    20. News of the World – 1,005 votes

    By user average score:

    1. Soul – 8.2
    2. Sound of Metal – 7.8
    2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 – 7.8
    4. Tenet – 7.5
    5. Never Rarely Sometimes Always – 7.4
    5. Palm Springs – 7.4
    7. Promising Young Woman – 7.4
    8. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – 7.2
    8. News of the World – 7.2
    10. First Cow – 7.1
    10. Mank – 7.1

    12. Pieces of a Woman – 7.0
    13. Emma – 6.7
    13. Hillbilly Elegy – 6.7
    15. I’m Thinking of Ending Things – 6.6
    16. Ammonite – 6.5
    16. Da 5 Bloods – 6.5
    16. On the Rocks – 6.5
    19. The Personal History of David Copperfield – 6.4
    20. The Prom – 6.0

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

    Profile picture
    gorman
    Joined:
    Dec 24th, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971569

    https://www.indiewire.com/2021/01/oscars-2021-best-editing-predictions-1234598218/

    This article suggests Nomadland is not eligible for Editing because Zhao edited the movie herself. This seems odd, but if it’s true it’s surely an issue for the films Picture winning chances, even if it is exempt for anomalous reasons. Might have been mentioned elsewhere and I’ve just missed it but worth mentioning.

    Profile picture
    Eddy Q
    Joined:
    Oct 13th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971599

    I mentioned it on the crafts categories thread. But to reiterate what I said there, Nomadland‘s editing being ineligible may be less of an issue than if it were in contention but then snubbed.

    Profile picture
    gorman
    Joined:
    Dec 24th, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971625

    I mentioned it on the crafts categories thread. But to reiterate what I said there, Nomadland‘s editing being ineligible may be less of an issue than if it were in contention but then snubbed.

    I definitely agree with that, although I think it would have probably got in. Why is it ineligible exactly?

    Profile picture
    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971695

    Soul is unstoppable and Mank got what it derserves lol. But wow only Soul got above 8 this year…..Getting above 7.7 with more than 10,000 votes are very great for drama films on IMDB.

    We underestimating Sound of Metal?

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

    Profile picture
    ArtIsntEasy
    Joined:
    Dec 17th, 2011
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971717

    We underestimating Sound of Metal?

    Maybe it’s just wishful thinking but I decided to put it in 10th place on my BP lineup.

    “The art of making art is putting it together...”

    Profile picture
    Dan Backslide
    Joined:
    Apr 24th, 2016
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971736

    We underestimating Sound of Metal?

    It’s a risk, but as of now it have it in picture, actor, supporting actor, supporting actress, screenplay, and winning sound.

    It seems like it’s poised to be a better overall contender than One Night in Miami, it’s got the acclaim, and Amazon really pushes hard for their top contenders.

    Profile picture
    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971746

    We underestimating Sound of Metal?

    Well, IMDB is not the metric of Oscars race obviously.

    However, it’s always interesting to look at and talk about IMDB ratings (not the early ones) because they can reflect closer to what most people think about a film. People here hate Green Book so much but we know GP love it and it got 8.2 there; You hate Bohemian Rhapsody but it got Oscars love and a 8 on IMDB.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

    Profile picture
    SN
    Joined:
    Dec 7th, 2014
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971768

    https://www.indiewire.com/2021/01/oscars-2021-best-editing-predictions-1234598218/

    This article suggests Nomadland is not eligible for Editing because Zhao edited the movie herself. This seems odd, but if it’s true it’s surely an issue for the films Picture winning chances, even if it is exempt for anomalous reasons. Might have been mentioned elsewhere and I’ve just missed it but worth mentioning.

    I don’t get it. Cuaron won Editing for Gravity and he was eligible for Roma if I’m not mistaken.

    Profile picture
    Marcus.H
    Joined:
    Oct 21st, 2017
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971777

    Nothing about the race but here are the IMDB ratings of every BP winner over the past 20 years:

    Only 4 films got ratings below 7.7

    8.2 /A Beautiful Mind(2001)
    7.1 /Chicago(2002) [The Pianist -8.5]
    8.9 /The Lord of the Rings(2003)
    8.1 /Million Dollar Baby(2004)
    7.7 /Crash(2005)
    8.5 /The Departed(2006)
    8.1 /No Country for Old Men(2007)
    8.0 /Slumdog Millionaire(2008)
    7.5 /The Hurt Locker(2009) [Avatar -7.8]
    8.0 /The King’s Speech(2010)
    7.9 /The Artist(2011)
    7.7 /Argo(2012)
    8.1 /12 Years a Slave(2013)
    7.7 /Birdman(2014)
    8.1 /Spotlight(2015)
    7.4 /Moonlight(2016) [La la land -8.0]
    7.3 /Shape of Water(2017) [3 billboards -8.2]
    8.2 /Green Book(2018)
    8.6 /Parasite(2019)

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

    Profile picture
    Victor
    Joined:
    Jun 18th, 2020
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971787

    Nothing about the race but here are the IMDB ratings of every BP winner over the past 20 years:

    Only 4 films got ratings below 7.7
    8.2 /A Beautiful Mind(2001)
    7.1 /Chicago(2002)
    8.9 /The Lord of the Rings(2003)
    8.1 /Million Dollar Baby(2004)
    7.7 /Crash(2005)
    8.5 /The Departed(2006)
    8.1 /No Country for Old Men(2007)
    8.0 /Slumdog Millionaire(2008)
    7.5 /The Hurt Locker(2009)
    8.0 /The King’s Speech(2010)
    7.9 /The Artist(2011)
    7.7 /Argo(2012)
    8.1 /12 Years a Slave(2013)
    7.7 /Birdman(2014)
    8.1 /Spotlight(2015)
    7.4 /Moonlight(2016)
    7.3 /Shape of Water(2017)

    8.2 /Green Book(2018)
    8.6 /Parasite(2019)

    Chicago 7.1 and Crash 7.7?
    Guess Imdb just don’t like musicals

    For Your Emmy Consideration:
    Matthew Rhys for "Perry Mason" as Leading Actor in a Drama Series
    Ethan Hawke for "The Good Lord Bird" as Leading Actor in a Limited Series
    Elizabeth Olsen and Kathryn Hahn for "Wandavision" as Leading and Supporting actress in Limited Series
    Tobias Menzies for "The Crown" as Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.
    MJ Rodriguez for "Pose" as Leading Actress in a Drama Series.

    Profile picture
    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971836

    It’s a risk, but as of now it have it in picture, actor, supporting actor, supporting actress, screenplay, and winning sound. It seems like it’s poised to be a better overall contender than One Night in Miami, it’s got the acclaim, and Amazon really pushes hard for their top contenders.

    We have it in the exact same categories lol.

    I think if it ends up being a big Picture contender it could also slip into Editing.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

    Profile picture
    Eddy Q
    Joined:
    Oct 13th, 2012
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971943

    I don’t get it. Cuaron won Editing for Gravity and he was eligible for Roma if I’m not mistaken.

    There was another credited editor on both films. As far as I’m aware, no director has ever been nominated for editing their own feature solo except for the Coens under the alias Roderick Jaynes. I guess it’s to satisfy guild requirements or something? I’m not sure. Even now I’m waiting for this supposed ineligibility to turn out to be a false report lol.

    Edit: actually the Indiewire article says Zhao’s editing ‘will not be submitted for consideration’. Is this a decision on the part of the Nomadland team, as opposed to an ineligibility by Academy ruling? So confusing.

    Profile picture
    Hoster1
    Joined:
    Aug 8th, 2016
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203971965

    If she’s truly ineligible then it won’t matter because it’s literally an anomaly.

    Profile picture
    Gabarnes43
    Joined:
    Jan 6th, 2018
    Topics:
    Posts:
    #1203972230

    Predicting 2 women to be nominated for directing for the first time in the same year (Zhao and Fennell). Zhao seems like a lock to win atm

    6th Place WGA 2021
    12th Place VES 2021
    61st Place BAFTA nominations 2021

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 497 total)

The topic ‘Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 6)’ is closed to new replies.

Similar Topics
Jake - Apr 10, 2021
Movies
gatorfan - Apr 9, 2021
Movies
Chris B... - Apr 9, 2021
Movies