Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 7)

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 4555 View Predictions]

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JackO wrote:

lol people are dropping Da 5 Bloods because of racist GG while ignoring all the love SAG gave it. It will get in on strength of Boseman double noms.

SAG only nominated it for Best Cast to give Boseman his 4th nom, I think, and they also snubbed Delroy Lindo, which is pretty major. Lindo feels unlikely to make the Oscars after missing GG and SAG: he’s this year’s Robert De Niro for sure.

An ensemble nom for Da Five Bloods is good but it only represents Da Five Bloods’ strength with actors, not with the whole academy. There’s usually at least one ensemble nomination that kisses Best Picture every year, and while Minari could be that film, Da Five Bloods feels much more vulnerable. I think it’s only getting in for Boseman and maybe 1-2 technical noms at the Oscars.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

[Gabe Guarin Joined: Feb 23rd, 2017 Topics: 40 Posts: 2435 View Predictions]

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John Berchmans wrote:

SAG only nominated it for Best Cast to give Boseman his 4th nom, I think, and they also snubbed Delroy Lindo, which is pretty major. Lindo feels unlikely to make the Oscars after missing GG and SAG: he’s this year’s Robert De Niro for sure. An ensemble nom for Da Five Bloods is good but it only represents Da Five Bloods’ strength with actors, not with the whole academy. There’s usually at least one ensemble nomination that kisses Best Picture every year, and while Minari could be that film, Da Five Bloods feels much more vulnerable. I think it’s only getting in for Boseman and maybe 1-2 technical noms at the Oscars.

I don’t trust the Academy to like Minari that much. Remember, they’re still very much conservative. As for Lindo, the De Niro comparison is off because there was no urgency to reward him again while there is an urgency to nominate Lindo. Da 5 Bloods’ strength with actors is important because the actors’ branch is the biggest branch in the Academy.

[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 17 Posts: 2623 View Predictions]

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Gabe Guarin wrote:

I don’t trust the Academy to like Minari that much. Remember, they’re still very much conservative. As for Lindo, the De Niro comparison is off because there was no urgency to reward him again while there is an urgency to nominate Lindo. Da 5 Bloods’ strength with actors is important because the actors’ branch is the biggest branch in the Academy.

Where’s the urgency to nominate Lindo?

[Ruby Sparks Joined: Sep 26th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 188 View Predictions]

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Call me crazy, but I’m still not sure about Mank getting into Best Picture. I think it will have the most nominations but narrowly miss out a la Dreamgirls.