Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 9)

[marty Joined: Aug 18th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 1205 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

It’s top 6 but it is not winning Best Picture. Sorry.

Erm that’s literally what I said? What are you sorry for?

FYC:

Best Director - Lee Isaac Chung (Minari), Darius Marder (Sound of Metal)

Lead Actor - Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round), Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)

Supporting Actor - Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)

Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)

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[Jazzy Joined: Dec 3rd, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 1158 View Predictions]

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estrelas wrote:

Mank is definitely NOT winning BP under the preferential ballot system.

Unlike what the Golderby forums would have you believe, a movie about the making of what’s generally considered the greatest movie of all time is not going to win just a tech award here and there. What would be the alternative anyway??? A movie with no real plot showing Frances McDormand roaming around aimlessly working odd jobs?

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 3707 View Predictions]

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Jazzy wrote:

Unlike what the Golderby forums would have you believe, a movie about the making of what’s generally considered the greatest movie of all time is not going to win just a tech award here and there. What would be the alternative anyway??? A movie with no real plot showing Frances McDormand roaming around aimlessly working odd jobs?

Mank did not land as well as it was supposed to though. It flopped hard with audiences and critics, and both Pete Hammond and Anne Thompson said several Academy members are not too keen on the movie. A movie like that will suffer a lot under a preferential ballot.

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[galaxy98 Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 11 Posts: 224 View Predictions]

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Best Picture Contenders numbers of nominations predictions:

1.
NOMADLAND – Picture, Director, Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography (Wild card: Supporting Actress – Swankie, Supporting Actor – David Strathairn)

2.
THE TRIAL OF CHICAGO 7 – Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume (Wild card: Sound, Song)

3.
MANK – Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Score, Sound, Makeup, (Wild card: Visual Effects)

4.
MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM – Picture, Actor, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup (Wild card: Supporting Actor – Glynn Turman, Cinematography, Sound)

5.
MINARI – Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay (Wild card: Editing, Cinematography, Score)

6.
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN – Picture, Director, Actress, Original Screenplay (Wild card: Editing, Costume Design)

7.
ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI – Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Makeup, Costume Design, Song (Wild card: Editing, Cinematography, Production Design)

8.
NEWS OF THE WORLD – Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Score, Sound, (Wild card: Director, Supporting Actress – Helena Zengel, Editing)

9.
SOUND OF METAL – Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Sound (Wild card: Director, Supporting Actress – Olivia Cooke, Editing)

–

10.
DA 5 BLOODS – Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Editing, Score (Wild card: Director, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design, Sound)

11.
JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH – Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Editing, Costume Design, Song (Wild card: Supporting Actress – Dominique Fishback)

12.
THE FATHER – Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Editing (Wild card: Production Design)

13.
SOUL – Picture, Original Screenplay, Animated Feature, Score, Sound, (Wild card: Visual Effects)

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18922 View Predictions]

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I just saw Sound of Metal (LOVED IT!) and Olivia Cooke was excellent but she has no chance when she was left off the BAFTA long-list in spite of being British and left out of CC. I’d love to see it but I don’t.

I had ruled Swankie out but her AACTA nod was interesting to say the least. I still don’t see her happening but her chances have improved so to speak.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[Philip Joined: Jan 29th, 2012 Topics: 4 Posts: 1872 View Predictions]

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Jazzy wrote:

Unlike what the Golderby forums would have you believe, a movie about the making of what’s generally considered the greatest movie of all time is not going to win just a tech award here and there. What would be the alternative anyway??? A movie with no real plot showing Frances McDormand roaming around aimlessly working odd jobs?

Except Mank isn’t a good movie.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18922 View Predictions]

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marty wrote:

Erm that’s literally what I said? What are you sorry for?

Sorry I misread.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[DanC Joined: Jun 10th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 54 View Predictions]

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My gut’s telling me that we could have another Foxcatcher / Cold War situation (a movie getting a director nomination without a BP nomination). I wouldn’t be surprised if that happens again with Spike Lee & Da 5 Bloods.

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[Aimerarrow Joined: Feb 11th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 147 View Predictions]

#1204057401

Netflix’s first movie that pops up under NEW Releases: Trial of the Chicago 7 🤣🤣🤣🤣

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18922 View Predictions]

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Aimerarrow wrote:

Netflix’s first movie that pops up under NEW Releases: Trial of the Chicago 7

Marriage Story popped up as a new release soon my one yesterday lmfao..svg” class=”emoji”

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 13 Posts: 5801 View Predictions]

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Jazzy wrote:

Unlike what the Golderby forums would have you believe, a movie about the making of what’s generally considered the greatest movie of all time is not going to win just a tech award here and there. What would be the alternative anyway??? A movie with no real plot showing Frances McDormand roaming around aimlessly working odd jobs?

Mank wont win but its getting underestimated at this point now. Divisiveness doesnt mean much in the nomination stage.

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 4451 View Predictions]

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Maybe the reason why Minari did bad at the box office was that no one can see it. I’ve been waiting for a theater nearby to play it but none of them have any screenings, despite the fact that we’re still in a COVID desert for new releases.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 4451 View Predictions]

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Also, what’s with people on the forums still trying to discount Mank’s Oscar chances when it dominated at the Globes and Critic’s Choice. Mank is locked for 13 Oscar nominations whether you like it or not. Deal with it.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
Best Actress: Viola Davis
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
Best Screenplay: Soul

John's Best of 2021

Best Picture: Nomadland
Best Direction: Nomadland
Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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[SN Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 15 Posts: 1968 View Predictions]

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John Berchmans wrote:

Also, what’s with people on the forums Mank is locked for 13 Oscar nominations whether you like it or not.

LOL no. It’s locked in 9 categories at best and it’ll realistically have 10 or 11.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18922 View Predictions]

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John Berchmans wrote:

Mank is locked for 13 Oscar nominations

LMAO

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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