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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director (Part 9)

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    estrelas
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    Mank is locked for 13 Oscar nominations whether you like it or not. Deal with it.

    This is one of the most delusional takes I’ve read in a while. Mank is locked for like 6 nominations (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Score, Production Design, Costumes Design). All the others are either very likely or on the bubble. Not locked.

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    jvcruzeiro
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    The last time a movie won Best Picture without winning SAG or PGA or WGA (At least one) was in 2004. Million Dollar Baby, which only won DGA and Best Director at Globes. It was also shut out at BAFTA due to late screeners.

    So let’s state that Nomadland will have a hard time winning Best Picture, since Chicago 7 is pretty much PGA’s piece of cake. And, unlike Million Dollar Baby, Nomadland isn’t even nominated to SAG and WGA.

    I know people like to shit on Golden Globes, but if Promising Young Woman manages to win Drama Film at Golden Globes, it would be pretty big for the movie, because WGA will probably be Chicago 7 x PYW as well, and Emerald will win First Feature at DGA.

    SAG is widely open, so something like Minari or Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom winning isn’t impossible either.

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    Monsoon 🌊
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    Mank is definitely getting a ton of Oscar nominations. It’s right up their alley. Especially on the technical side.

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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    Philip
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    The last time a movie won Best Picture without winning SAG or PGA or WGA (At least one) was in 2004. Million Dollar Baby, which only won DGA and Best Director at Globes. It was also shut out at BAFTA due to late screeners.

    So let’s state that Nomadland will have a hard time winning Best Picture, since Chicago 7 is pretty much PGA’s piece of cake. And, unlike Million Dollar Baby, Nomadland isn’t even nominated to SAG and WGA.

    I know people like to shit on Golden Globes, but if Promising Young Woman manages to win Drama Film at Golden Globes, it would be pretty big for the movie, because WGA will probably be Chicago 7 x PYW as well, and Emerald will win First Feature at DGA.

    SAG is widely open, so something like Minari or Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom winning isn’t impossible either.

    Nomadland wasn’t eligible at WGA.

    Chicago 7 is right up PGA’s alley? How?

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    jvcruzeiro
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    Nomadland wasn’t eligible at WGA. Chicago 7 is right up PGA’s alley? How?

    I know Nomadland wasn’t eligible. That’s not the point.

    PGA likes crowdpleasing and acessible movies. It seems obvious to me that Chicago 7 is winning there.

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    Miles
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    I know Nomadland wasn’t eligible. That’s not the point.

    Well it is very important to note that it isn’t eligible because if it was eligible it might win. So the stat you’re bringing up doesn’t mean much

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    SN
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    Fun fact: no female directed film ever won the Drama Golden Globe. Is Chicago 7 really winning?

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    Philip
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    I know Nomadland wasn’t eligible. That’s not the point.

    PGA likes crowdpleasing and acessible movies. It seems obvious to me that Chicago 7 is winning there.

    The Shape of Water is crowdpleasing and accessible? Birdman? The Big Short? 1917?

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    Cordelia
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    The Shape of Water is crowdpleasing and accessible? Birdman? The Big Short? 1917?

    The Shape of Water absolutely is a crowdpleaser, it has a happy ending and a fairly universal message of love. Birdman is a stylistic exercise that’s relatively easy to grasp. The Big Short literally explains its most complicated concepts in the most blunt way possible. 1917 is a story-light and not confronting war action video game. These aren’t alienating films.

     

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    Philip
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    The Shape of Water absolutely is a crowdpleaser, it has a happy ending and a fairly universal message of love. Birdman is a stylistic exercise that’s relatively easy to grasp. The Big Short literally explains its most complicated concepts in the most blunt way possible. 1917 is a story-light and not confronting war action video game. These aren’t alienating films.

    I forgot, screwing a sea creature is totally accessible lol.

    None of those movies are general audience friendly.

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    KAZ-2.5
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    1917 is totally general audience friendly. It’s box office proves that.

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    Cocastique
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    I hope to GOD Nomadland won’t win. Actually, I hope to GOD neither Nomadland, PYW, Mank or Trial of the Chicago 7 win.

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    Philip
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    1917 is totally general audience friendly. It’s box office proves that.

    I don’t know anyone outside my film friends that saw it. Ask them if they even heard of 1917 and and would say no.

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    Cocastique
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    I don’t know anyone outside my film friends that saw it. Ask them if they even heard of 1917 and and would say no.

    And ? Your circle of friends isn’t proof to anything. When I saw it, the theater was absolutely packed. And many of my friends or people at college talked about it and said they loved it.

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    Monsoon 🌊
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    #1204057984

    Fun fact: no female directed film ever won the Drama Golden Globe. Is Chicago 7 really winning?

    Unfortunately yes.

    👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
    👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

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