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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Picture and Director

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    Chris Beachum
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    Moving into October, we will have separate threads for each major category at the Oscars.

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    Bassett
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    Rooting for the first female-directed AND female-led Best Picture winner in history

    FYC :

    Best Actress - Viola Davis
    Best Actor - Delroy Lindo
    Best Supp Actress - Glenn Close
    Best Supp Actor - Chadwick Boseman

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    Jays
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    Director
    1. Fincher
    2. Zhao
    3. Villeneuve
    4. Greengrass
    5. Zeller/Sorkin

    Fincher vs. Zhao. Would be surprised if Fincher loses, especially since his loss for TSN has only gotten more embarrassing as times gone by.

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    diego
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    1. David Ficher, Mank
    2. Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
    3. Florian Zeller, The Father
    4. Paul Greengrass, News of the World
    5. Shaka King, Judas and the Black Messiah/George C. Wolfe, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

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    David
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    October Predictions Director:

    1. David Fincher- ‘Mank’
    2. Chloé Zhao- ‘Nomadland’
    3. Shaka King- ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’
    4. Paul Greengrass- ‘News of the World’
    5. Aaron Sorkin- ‘Trial of the Chicago 7’ (still iffy on this one)
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    Cordelia
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    I have no idea who’s getting nominated for Director, and that’s kind of exciting.

    By this time last year, Shawn Sam Mendes, Quentin Tarantino, Martin Scorcese, and Boon Joon-ho were all locks. The only question was who would get that 5th slot that Todd Phillips got.

    Meanwhile, I currently only really have Zhao and Fincher as locks.

    My three current predictions for others are Regina King, Florian Zeller, and Ron Howard. I am not so naive to think they will stick. In the case of the first two, while they’re debut directors with considerably acclaimed movies, they’re both stage adaptations in a very “stagey” format. In the case of Ron Howard, he is an inconsistent director with a movie I am not confident in the quality of.

    However, there are other options. If The French Dispatch is this year cycle, Wes is a comfortable contender. If Dune delivers (which I am less and less confident about each day), Denis is potentially a lock as the one big-budget director of this bunch. Spike Lee and Paul Greengrass could happen from legacy momentum. Shaka King and George C. Wolfe could happen if Judas and the Black Messiah/Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom strike big.

    In fact, writing this, I’m changing my Florian Zeller predition for a George C Wolfe. I’m blowing my sexy odds I got for Florian Zeller because I’m not sure that’s a directing film.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    Stank83
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    I understand the passion around Nomadland, but in Directing it’s Fincher’s year.

    1. Fincher
    2. Zhao
    3. Lee
    4. Zeller
    5. Greengrass

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    William Gillquist
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    My Predictions as of now:

    #1 – Zhao

    #2 – Fincher

    #3 – Sorkin

    #4 – King

    #5 – Zeller

    FYC Oscars: Chloe Zhao (Nomadland), Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Mark Rylance (Trail of the Chicago 7), Viola Davis and Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom), Soul (Best Picture, Best Animated Feature Film, and Best Original Screenplay)

    FYC Grammys: Circles (Album of the Year), Good News (Record and Song of the Year), Future Nostalgia (Album of the Year), Don't Start Now (Record and Song of the Year), Everything I Wanted (Record and Song of the Year)

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    John Berchmans
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    Picture

    1: Nomadland

    2: Mank

    3: The Trial of the Chicago 7

    4: The Father

    5: One Night in Miami

    6: Hillbilly Elegy or Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    7: Judas and the Black Messiah

    8: News of the World

    9: Stillwater

    Director

    1: David Fincher

    2: Chloe Zhao

    3: Ron Howard

    4: Florian Zeller

    5: Shaka King

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Brayfers
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    Best Picture:

    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Mank

    Nomadland

    One Night in Miami

    The Father

    Judas and the Black Messiah

    Dune

    Soul

    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    News of the World

    Best Director:

    David Fincher, Mank

    Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

    Denis Villeneuve, Dune

    Florian Zeller, The Father

    (Shaka King, Judas and the Black Messiah)

     

     

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    The Person Formerly Known As Linguini
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    Picture

    1. Nomadland

    2. Mank

    3. Chicago 7

    4. One Night In Miami

    5. Judas and the Black Messiah

    6. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    7. News of the World

    8. Hillbilly Elegy

    9. The Father

    10. Minari/Da 5 Bloods

    Director

    1. Zhao

    2. Fincher

    3. Sorkin/Greengrass

    4. Howard

    5. Shaka King

    rubbish

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    BloodPlains
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    I actually think they will spread picture and director. I see Fincher getting director and Nomadland getting picture as the more probable of that option.

    Director this year is chaos. I think Sorkin has the third spot. After that, it’s a free-for-all.

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    Foolio
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    PICTURE

    Frontrunners

    Nomadland
    Mank
    The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Judas and the Black Messiah

    Next in line

    News of the World
    Hillbilly Elegy
    One Night in Miami
    The Father

    On the brink

    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Dune
    Stillwater

    Strong possibilities

    Da 5 Bloods
    Soul
    Minari
    Ammonite
    French Exit
    On the Rocks
    The United States vs. Billie Holiday

    Possibilities

    Cherry
    I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    Kajillionaire
    Tenet
    The World to Come
    Never, Rarely, Sometimes, Always
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Pieces of a Woman
    Those Who Wish Me Dead
    The Personal History of David Copperfield
    The Midnight Sky

    Longer shots

    Shirley
    Good Joe Bell
    Respect
    The Courier
    Promising Young Woman
    The Boys in the Band
    No Time to Die
    Fever Dream
    Rebecca
    C’mon C’mon
    Harry Haft

    Theoretical possibilities

    Eternal Beauty
    The White Tiger
    There Is No Evil
    Without Remorse
    Sylvie’s Love
    Herself
    Prisoner 760
    Let Them All Talk
    All Day and a Night
    Louis Wain
    Worth
    The 40-Year-Old Version
    The Prom
    The Good House
    Falling
    Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
    Happiest Season
    Passing
    Green Knight
    The Woman in the Window
    Land
    The Witches

    DIRECTOR

    Frontrunners

    Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
    David Fincher, Mank
    Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Next in line

    Denis Villeneuve, Dune
    Shaka King, Judas and the Black Messiah
    Regina King, One Night in Miami

    On the brink

    Ron Howard, Hillbilly Elegy
    Florian Zeller, The Father
    Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods
    Paul Greengrass, News of the World
    George C. Wolfe, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Strong possibilities

    Christopher Nolan, Tenet
    Charlie Kaufman, I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
    Eliza Hittman, Never, Rarely, Sometimes, Always

    Possibilities

    Anthony & Joe Russo, Cherry
    Tom McCarthy, Stillwater
    Sofia Coppola, On the Rocks
    Miranda July, Kajillionaire
    Taylor Sheridan, Those Who Wish Me Dead
    Josephine Decker, Shirley

    Longer shots

    Azazel Jacobs, French Exit
    Francis Lee, Ammonite
    Armano Ianucci, The Personal History of David Copperfield
    Mona Fastvold, The World to Come
    Reinaldo Marcus Green, Good Joe Bell
    Lee Daniels, The United States vs Billie Holiday
    Kornel Mundruczo, Pieces of a Woman
    Dominic Cooke, The Courier
    Liesl Tommy, Respect
    George Clooney, The Midnight Sky
    Steven Soderbergh, Let Them All Talk
    Joe Mantello, The Boys in the Band
    Cary Joji Fukunaga, No Time to Die
    Mohammad Rasoulof, There Is No Evil

    Theoretical possibilities

    Claudia Llosa, Fever Dream
    Sara Colangelo, Worth
    Eugene Ashe, Sylvie’s Love
    Phyllida Lloyd, Herself
    Radha Blank, The 40-Year-Old Version
    Ryan Murphy, The Prom
    Jonathan Butterell, Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
    Joe Robert Cole, All Day and a Night
    Maya Forbes & Wally Wolodarsky, The Good House
    Rebecca Hall, Passing
    Kevin Macdonald, Prisoner 760
    Michael Showalter, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
    Ben Wheatley, Rebecca
    Ramin Bahrani, The White Tiger
    Clea DuVall, Happiest Season
    Mike Mills, C’mon c’mon
    David Lowery, Green Knight
    Barry Levinson, Harry Haft
    Robin Wright, Land
    Robert Zemeckis, The Witches
    Stefano Sollima, Without Remorse

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    The Person Formerly Known As Linguini
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    I actually think they will spread picture and director. I see Fincher getting director and Nomadland getting picture as the more probable of that option. Director this year is chaos. I think Sorkin has the third spot. After that, it’s a free-for-all.

    It’s not like the voters sit together and decide what to give to whom. The Directors branch is a faction. If they go for Fincher then there’s no guarantee the rest of the academy will choose to go for Nomadland, or vice versa.

    rubbish

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    BloodPlains
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    It’s not like the voters sit together and decide what to give to whom. The Directors branch is a faction. If they go for Fincher then there’s no guarantee the rest of the academy will choose to go for Nomadland, or vice versa.

    I forgot about that. Even then, I still feel that it won’t be the same film winning both categories. I feel like they’ll want to reward Fincher with director, but won’t believe the film has strong enough meaning for a best picture win.

    Then again, Zhao might win as a way to recognize her effort as a whole (directing, writing and editing) and Mank might be that stellar. Right now, we mostly have to predict on feeling. I just don’t feel like we’ll have a dominant year for any film.

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