Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Supporting Actor (Part 3)

[Fletcher Joined: Nov 12th, 2016 Topics: 2 Posts: 463 View Predictions]

#1203987914

Fletcher wrote:

Wait.

Ah, he was nominated for ” American Beauty ”, not American Pie. lol. I got scared

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 4391 View Predictions]

#1203987953

Kaluuya won’t have any trouble getting nominated and winning at the precursors. It’s just not clear if the Judas hype train will be fully rolling by the time the Globes announce their nominations. But I think thanks to Sundance it will be.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Director: George Clooney-The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Actress: Viola Davis-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo-Da Five Bloods
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried-Mank
Best Original Screenplay: Soul
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Midnight Sky

[galaxy98 Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 11 Posts: 180 View Predictions]

#1203989061

No one gonna consider Rudy Giuliani for his realistic and perverted performance in Borat Subsequent Moviefilm? XD

 

[Eddy Q Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 23 Posts: 4661 View Predictions]

#1203989111

galaxy98 wrote:

No one gonna consider Rudy Giuliani for his realistic and perverted performance in Borat Subsequent Moviefilm? XD

He’ll be winning the Razzie for a non-performance à la Donald Trump and George W. Bush.

[Monsoon 🌊 Joined: Aug 11th, 2020 Topics: 30 Posts: 2573 View Predictions]

#1203989166

galaxy98 wrote:

No one gonna consider Rudy Giuliani for his realistic and perverted performance in Borat Subsequent Moviefilm? XD

The liquid dye that dripped from his head gave a better performance.

👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 575 View Predictions]

#1203989180

To be fair: Giuliani gave a fantastic performance as an idiot who is really awful at hiding his attempts to have sex with an underage girl.

FYC:

Lead Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)

Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

Supporting Actor: Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)

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Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

[DaKardii Joined: Jan 12th, 2018 Topics: 111 Posts: 1401 View Predictions]

#1203989769

END OF WEEK 19 PREDICTIONS

Leslie Odom, Jr. (One Night in Miami)
Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

[diego Joined: Dec 10th, 2019 Topics: 7 Posts: 1109 View Predictions]

#1203989878

Kaluuya needs to come and stop SBC. It’s one or the other.

[germanportuguese Joined: May 25th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 42 View Predictions]

#1203989953

Predictions:
Daniel Kaluuya
Leslie Odom Jr.
Paul Raci
Sacha Baron Cohen
Bill Murray

I Had Mark Rylance but took him since he hasn’t really turned up on any of the critics awards list but I may put him back because I feel the academy really likes him. Bo Burnham could surprise or even Orion Lee if First Cow ends up getting academy love. Wish there could be more than 5 nominees because we have some many deserving this year starting with all ones who are apart of great ensembles but get ignored because everyone decides to focus on one or two. The main four in One Night In Miami are all deserving as is the core group of Da 5 Bloods and although I am not a huge fan of Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom there are at least 4 worthy performances in it as well. And not to Mention Trial of Chicago Seven. The one surprise that would make me happiest is if Stanley Tucci squeezes in for Supernova. Overall I predict Daniel Kaluuya to win but I’m rooting for Leslie Odom Jr(he will win for song and they won’t reward him twice)

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 4391 View Predictions]

#1203990175

Eddy Q wrote:

He’ll be winning the Razzie for a non-performance à la Donald Trump and George W. Bush.

Usually the documentary wins at the Razzies piss me off because they’re such obvious political pandering, but in this case I think Giulaini deserves it.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Director: George Clooney-The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Actress: Viola Davis-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo-Da Five Bloods
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried-Mank
Best Original Screenplay: Soul
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Midnight Sky

[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17576 View Predictions]

#1203990383

The Razzies forgot their mandate and jumped the shark a while ago.

[Miguel Marrero Joined: Nov 3rd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 142 View Predictions]

#1203990449

Riley Chow wrote:

I have had Daniel Kaluuya winning since he moved down to supporting. He is a likeable guy, it seems like a loud performance, it seems like resonant material and this category lacks a frontrunner. Just from reading the tealeaves, I previously had Sacha Baron Cohen winning. Then I saw his performance. You try to separate your own opinions from your predictions, but nobody is perfect. It seems that people here agree with me too, so the case for him being an also-ran or potential snub seemed legitimate. But then he handily bested his internal competition. I thought that there would be some kind of a fight, but it was decisive, pretty much out of the gate with the critic awards. He still has everything going for him on paper, which is why I was predicting him for the win in the first place, so if Kaluuya falters, he will take it. I am concerned that Judas and the Black Messiah is screening too late for SAG and just too late in general, plus it does have a wildcard factor, whereas we know that The Trial of the Chicago 7 is going to do well, well, everywhere. And as much as Kaluuya is a likeable guy, the academy might just find him too young and people might just rather give it to someone more in the club, like how Brad Pitt won last year or how Frances McDormand held off Margot Robbie. There is not really any reason to doubt that the sweeps are stopping after the last few years, so if Baron Cohen gets on a roll, he could be unstoppable. Maybe I am predicting more with my heart than my head here. Leslie Odom Jr. will be nominated, but One Night in Miami… has kind of been the big loser in these year-end critic shenanigans. It got good reviews from critics (83 Metascore), but then it did not factor into their top-ten lists or the Best Picture nominations at the regional awards like at all. I know that Mank has been dropping, but we knew that Mank was in trouble from its reviews. And it has actually held up considerably, hovering around tenth in the aggregates of top-tens and Best Picture citations. One Night in Miami… is outside the top thirty in the top-ten aggregate. Everyone seems to approve of it (98% Tomatometer), but it lacks passion. Anyway, this apathy has extended to Odom, who keeps losing not only to the critics’ pick, but also a terrible accent and a posthumous cameo. It remains to be seen if Paul Raci can get nominated at any of the major precursors, but the field is so scattered below him that he has essentially become a lock for the Oscar nomination. Dominating the critic awards and then losing all of the televised ones is nothing new, per Willem Dafoe in The Florida Project, although I suppose that we should not count him out or we will have really learned nothing from writing off Mark Rylance, another quiet performance from an older, first-time nominee. Smart money on the remaining slot is definitely Chadwick Boseman. I cannot bring myself to predict him because he makes too much sense as someone who hits SAG and misses the Oscar. This is very much a performance that people are going to use to round out their ballots, which gets penalized in Oscar balloting specifically. However, what I have not properly accounted for is how weak this year is. A contender that normally places seventh probably would place fifth this year. Bill Murray has a perfect storm of factors to hit all of the precursors and then miss at the end, but he also could just run out of steam much earlier than that. I previously had David Strathairn with reservations, but I had to give into them once I saw Nomadland. I have never had Stanley Tucci because that was weird. Glynn Turman has his one win and his one runner-up placement, but that strikes me very much as those groups going out of their way to boost him because they know that he is not happening. I guess that I should mention The Trial of the Chicago 7 because it seemed like it might have been able to get a second earlier in the season, but there has not been proper consensus on the second and it is really hard to get a second anyway, so that ship has sailed. I feel so clever for eliminating all of these options, but I am actually the fool because I now have an empty slot, so I have thrown in Demián Bichir as a placeholder. You want the Oscars to be competitive enough that people get pushed out (and they usually are; just ask Song Kang Ho and Willem Dafoe about last year), but they are going to have to pull someone from the next tier in this year instead.

100% agreed

I have Cohen winning, even Raci before Kaluuya. No way he beats Sasha at BAFTA or Globes. Seems like his year with Borat 2 and the timely hype surrounding Trial of Chicago 7.

[Miles Joined: Oct 22nd, 2016 Topics: 22 Posts: 3819 View Predictions]

#1203990501

My take on the race:

LOCKS
Sacha Baron Cohen / THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Leslie Odom, Jr / ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI
Daniel Kaluuya / JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH

IN THE MIX
Chadwick Boseman / DA 5 BLOODS
Paul Raci / SOUND OF METAL
Bill Murray / ON THE ROCKS
Glynn Turman / MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM

COULD HAPPEN
Mark Rylance / THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Frank Langella / THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II / THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7
David Strathairn / NOMADLAND
Bo Burnham / PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN

[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 119 View Predictions]

#1203992390

Finally forced myself to watch TOTC7. Didn’t hate it as much as I was expecting to. Would be happy with a supporting nom for Yahya Abdul-Mateen II and Mark Rylance. Frank Lagella was outstanding. Quite liked the cinematography and direction more than I thought.

That said…oh my god. SBC’s accent was just putrid. How is he one of the frontrunners and top 2 in the combined odds? How is he winning so many critics awards??? Hoping that Daniel Kaluuya takes the televised precursors and saves us all from the hell of SBC winning anything for that performance. We all frankly deserve better.

[CateNicole Joined: Jun 20th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 1861 View Predictions]

#1203992691

My personal preferences in this race thus far:

1. Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
2. Thomas Bo Larsen, Another Round
3. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
4. Aldis Hodge, One Night in Miami
5. Eli Goree, One Night in Miami

6. Clarke Peters, Da 5 Bloods
7. Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
8. Glynn Turman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
9. Colman Domingo, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
(Mark Rylance, The Failure of the Sorkin Propaganda)
10. Matthew Macfadyen, The Assistant

FYC: Michaela Coel and Rosamund Pike