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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Supporting Actor (Part 4)

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    DaKardii
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    Jan 12th, 2018
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    #1204060132

    I’m changing my predictions based on which precursors nominations have or haven’t happened.

    Locks

    • Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
    • Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
    • Leslie Odom, Jr. (One Night in Miami)

    Fighting for the last 2 spots

    • Chadwick Boseman (Da 5 Bloods)
    • Jared Leto (The Little Things)
    • Bill Murray (On the Rocks)
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    Marrowbone
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    Dec 12th, 2020
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    #1204062423

    Just to let you know how adorable this kid is. From Alan Kim’s interview with W Magazine 😀

    ⭐Best Actress - Carey Mulligan

    ⭐Best Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung

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    walkinuniverse
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    May 5th, 2020
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    #1204062790

    1. Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)

    2. Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami)

    3. Sacha Baron-Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

    4. Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)

    5. Mark Rylance (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

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    Lucas
    Joined:
    Jun 24th, 2020
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    #1204063130

    Predicting a Daniel sweep. Unless Netflix buys them, I just can’t imagine a single human being watching that Sacha Baron Cohen’s performance and saying to themselves: “yeah! that deserves an award”

    FYC

    Best Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)

    Best Actress: Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)

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    Gabarnes43
    Joined:
    Jan 6th, 2018
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    #1204063201

    If SBC wins for this, I will physically be sick.

    6th Place WGA 2021
    12th Place VES 2021
    61st Place BAFTA nominations 2021

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    Skyler Lindquist
    Joined:
    Oct 1st, 2016
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    #1204063301

    I just got this weird sudden instinct about Bill Murray being this year’s Kathy Bates…

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    Lucas
    Joined:
    Jun 24th, 2020
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    #1204063746

    I just got this weird sudden instinct about Bill Murray being this year’s Kathy Bates…

    The last two spots are between Boseman, Raci, Murray and… Leto

    I don’t think Boseman is completely locked. Let’s pray for Murray 🙏

    FYC

    Best Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)

    Best Actress: Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)

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    JV
    Joined:
    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204063769

    I just got this weird sudden instinct about Bill Murray being this year’s Kathy Bates…

    Let’s stop comparing everyone to Kathy Bates.

    Richard Jewell made AFI + NBR, so it had enough support. On the Rocks was a flop.

    And we can’t rule out the fact that Bates had 3 nominations (and one win) before, while Bill Murray was never the Academy’s favorite.

    The last two spots are between Boseman, Raci, Murray and… Leto I don’t think Boseman is completely locked. Let’s pray for Murray 🙏

    Watch as Mark Rylance gets in BAFTA and rise as phoenix to snatch that Oscar nomination.

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    SN
    Joined:
    Dec 7th, 2014
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    #1204063780

    Rylance is not happening, not even if he somehow gets a BAFTA nod. He needed SAG.

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204063811

    Rylance could get in at BAFTA because of the jury system whilst Sacha Baron Cohen is snubbed.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Eddy Q
    Joined:
    Oct 13th, 2012
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    #1204064364

    Rylance is not happening, not even if he somehow gets a BAFTA nod. He needed SAG.

    I don’t think he’ll get in, but it isn’t the lack of a SAG nom that bothers me; the main issue is that it’s almost impossible for two actors from the same film to be nominated in the same category unless both have decent precursor runs (Woody Harrelson missed the Globes for Three Billboards, but did score SAG and BAFTA noms). Either the consensus around one actor takes him all the way, or there’s a ‘replacement’ at the last hurdle (Paul Scofield over John Turturro for Quiz Show, Michael Shannon over Aaron Taylor-Johnson for Nocturnal Animals). A couple of months ago I thought maybe Rylance could displace Baron Cohen, but now I think the buzz surrounding the latter is too strong.

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    walkinuniverse
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    #1204064392

    Michael Shannon nominated at the Oscars and snubbing Aaron Taylor-Johnson who won the Globe for Nocturnal Animals is one of the wildest stunt of the Supporting category.

    Could it happen this year with SBC and Mark Rylance?

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    SN
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    #1204064402

    I don’t think he’ll get in, but it isn’t the lack of a SAG nom that bothers me; the main issue is that it’s almost impossible for two actors from the same film to be nominated in the same category unless both have decent precursor runs (Woody Harrelson missed the Globes for Three Billboards, but did score SAG and BAFTA noms). Either the consensus around one actor.

    So it is the lack of a SAG nom that bothers you.

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    SN
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    #1204064404

    Michael Shannon nominated at the Oscars and snubbing Aaron Taylor-Johnson who won the Globe for Nocturnal Animals is one of the wildest stunt of the Supporting category.

    Could it happen this year with SBC and Mark Rylance?

    Absolutely not. SBC is much stronger than Aaron Taylor-Johnson was that year.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1204064418

    So it is the lack of a SAG nom that bothers you.

    My point is that a performance like Rylance’s might have had an easier time getting in without a SAG nom if it weren’t for the internal competition. I think we basically agree though.

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