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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 13)

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1204099248

    Yeah I am fairly confident in Colman and Foster making it in despite both getting snubbed at BAFTA. Both films did really well with the general membership, which gives you a hint that both of them would have been nominated under the old system.

    Youn is obviously locked for a nomination as well, and now Bakalova is the only nominee who has made it to every single precursor. I think she is safely in as well, which is incredible.

    The fifth slot for me seems like a race between Amanda Seyfried and Dominique Fishback. It’s not just her well-deserved Bafta nod, it’s also Judas hitting PGA yesterday. Someone did an analysis where an empty slot usually goes to a Best Picture contender, so I am sticking with Seyfried. Fishback shouldn’t be underestimated either, and not just because of her Bafta nod.

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    Aimerarrow
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    #1204099268

    Not when all of the people that you are nominated against have no shot at being at the Oscars. So instead of actually beating people that matter, you win over a lesser contender. So what will you say if the 2 “frontrunners” lose to a non nominee. The only nomination that Minari got from the general voters and not a jury was Score. It also missed out on a best film longlist spot.

    Unfortunately I have to agree with this. Minari was saved by that jury and I expect her to get most of the votes from the American bloc (evident by SAG, PGA, the high buzz in this country in general and a possible DGA nom)

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    wolfali
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    #1204099270

    I have a weird feeling Dominique Fishback could pull a Lesley Manville. Although of course Fishback is not an iconic British veteran.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Atypical
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    #1204099293

    Bakalova nailing everything is such a serve tho! She was doubted at every single turn for her impressive work b/c of the snobbish views surrounding her respective film (just like Close was). I can live with Close’s iconic 8th Oscar nomination and future honorary Oscar win (fingers crossed!) if it means Bakalova can upend all expectations and go all the way to a win. She’s moving the Academy membership forward, which should be applauded instead of derided.

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    abelfenty
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    #1204099305

    Hot take but I don’t see either Youn or Bakalova winning BAFTA. I actually think Kosar Ali might take it.

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    methaddiction
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    #1204099308

    Imagine if Maria actually did win the Globe though she would definitely be seen as the frontrunner right now.

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    wolfali
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    #1204099325

    I actually think Kosar Ali might take it.

    Sadly I think this is happening too.

    I love Rocks. It’s one of my favourite films of the year and Bukky Bakray gives one of my favourite performances of the year.

    However it is so perplexing how Kosar Ali has gotten so much awards buzz for this performance.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204099341

    I think Seyfried is going to get snubbed for Dominique Fishback. Judas is surging at the perfect time and is now locked for a Best Picture nomination after making the PGA lineup, as well as a Supporting Actor win. Meanwhile Seyfried lost all of her buzz and if she makes it in she would be a filler nominee. I thought she’d be fine after missing SAG but missing BAFTA too feels like the death knell for her chances.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    John Berchmans
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    #1204099353

    Also Bakalova is absolutely making it in at the Oscars now. And she may be the frontrunner to win.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    crabbie
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    #1204099371

    Not when all of the people that you are nominated against have no shot at being at the Oscars. So instead of actually beating people that matter, you win over a lesser contender. So what will you say if the 2 “frontrunners” lose to a non nominee. The only nomination that Minari got from the general voters and not a jury was Score. It also missed out on a best film longlist spot.

    I’ll admit the Minari snub is troubling but it’s not like the general body doesn’t care about the performances despite their apathy for the film. Minari has been gaining momentum after the longlist has been revealed anyways. Plenty of time has passed that has built buzz and an incentive to see Minari for the members.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    Woody
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    Feb 9th, 2020
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    #1204099373

    The jury watched The Father, they watched all the films on the longlist and they had access to screeners so Hopkins didn’t just get in on his prestige and who knows why Coleman was snubbed.

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    Naiad Lyne
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    #1204099379

    I think Seyfried is going to get snubbed for Dominique Fishback. Judas is surging at the perfect time and is now locked for a Best Picture nomination after making the PGA lineup, as well as a Supporting Actor win. Meanwhile Seyfried lost all of her buzz and if she makes it in she would be a filler nominee. I thought she’d be fine after missing SAG but missing BAFTA too feels like the death knell for her chances.

    Yeah, no SAG and BAFTA noms hurt  her. Oh well. I’ll still be carrying a torch for her Oscar nom until the end.

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    SN
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    #1204099438

    Foster snub doesn’t change anything. She would 100% have gotten in under the old system. She could still pull a Chistoph Waltz, which wouldn’t have been nominated under this new system.

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    JackO
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    #1204099457

    heres how olivia colman can still win!

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204099496

    heres how olivia colman can still win!

    Wait weren’t you the one to expect Close to sweep this award season for Razziebelly Elegy?

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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