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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 17)

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    Pinkpie48
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    Feb 11th, 2021
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    #1204179632

    Glenn is barely campaigning anymore and praised Youn to the heavens yesterday. She’s done.

    Youn will win. If there is an upset, Bakalova or Colman will win.

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    Beastialg
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    Sep 15th, 2011
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    #1204179650

    Predictions after SAG

    1) Youn
    2) Bakalova
    ———
    3) Close
    ———
    4) Colman
    5) Seyfried

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    DrewN92
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    #1204179711

    Given that only Youn or Bakalova from the Oscar nominees can win BAFTA, I don’t see anyone else in the Oscar lineup winning over them unless BAFTA goes a different route by awarding someone like Fishback which I won’t be predicting.

    I think this should be Youn’s easily, especially after her heart-warming acceptance speech and it makes the most sense as the place to award Minari. My only concern is the international blocs don’t seem to love Minari as much as American industry, but I still think she should be fine. I think Bakalova needed SAG given that her role is not your typical Oscar-winning role and her movie is not a BP contender.

    1. Youn (SAG)
    2. Bakalova (CC)

    3. Colman (AACTA)


    4. Seyfried (BP nominee)
    5. Close

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    John Smisek
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    #1204179741

    Whoever takes BAFTA – that’s who I’m predicting for the Oscar. This is definitely a two-way race at this point and I could see either Bakalova or Youn taking it. It’s a nailbiter.

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    wolfali
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    #1204179756

    I feel like it’s a clear top 3 of Bakalova, Colman and Youn. At the moment I’m going with Youn in first and Colman in second because they are both in Best Picture nominees.

    Seyfried and Close are dead.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    thelowlander
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    #1204179758

    Other than the Bakalova fans, I think everyone else is rooting for Youn which is amazing to see.

    Well, I still root for my *grandma*, though I will be perfectly fine with her possible (and maybe very probable at this point) loss. To be honest, I think I started rooting for the other *grandma* a bit too, as I fear that her possible loss may upset really a lot of people (like a fellow poster mentioned in pretty much the same way as a football fan would get upset with their team losing).

    Btw – can anyone recommend some good movie with Youn besides Minari.

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    Oscirus Jones
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    #1204179760

    Everytime Im ready to pronounce Maria dead she comes back and wins something else. Im not counting her out till te envelope is read

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    Eddy Q
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    #1204179778

    Bakalova is still in the (potential) upset position. She would probably have to win BAFTA though, unless neither she nor Youn wins there. As a fan of Bakalova’s performance I’m glad she lost SAG in a way because she makes more sense as a last minute, 90s-style surprise winner. Having her as an established frontrunner wouldn’t feel quite right.

    Of course Youn could simply win BAFTA despite being mostly ignored there outside of juried categories. The nominations for director and supporting actor should draw increased attention to Minari and by extension Youn’s performance, although I doubt voters will be directly influenced by SAG as those awards get very little fanfare in the UK.

    I don’t agree with the arguments that Colman is in 2nd. Where’s the motivation to vote for her this year when she’s won lead Actress so recently and plays the most ordinary character of the five nominees? If anything her performance appeals the most to those who would vote for Youn in this race, though this is a generalisation. I’m not even convinced Colman would win BAFTA if she were nominated.

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    Faux architect
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    Mar 29th, 2017
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    #1204179782

    Watch out for Youn or Bakalova not winning BAFTA. That’s the only scenario I can see where someone other than them wins the Oscar.

    Pantheon of acting: Uta / Elizabeth / Richard / Sandy (Virginia Woolf), Bibi / Liv (Persona), Sandrine (La Ceremonie), Brie (Short Term 12), Jodie (Silence of the Lambs), Jodie (Killing Eve), Nicole (The Others), Eva (Penny Dreadful), Timothée (CMBYN), Lupita (Us)

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    thelowlander
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    #1204179801

    Bakalova is still in the (potential) upset position. She would probably have to win BAFTA though, unless neither she nor Youn wins there. As a fan of Bakalova’s performance I’m glad she lost SAG in a way because she makes more sense as a last minute, 90s-style surprise winner. Having her as an established frontrunner wouldn’t feel quite right.

    I’d like to see this “plot-twist-like” photo-finish finale for any of the presumed underdogs (even for Youn if she misses the BAFTA). The victory should be hard-fought with suspense all the way till the end 😉

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204179847

    Alan Kim is going to be on the Jimmy Fallon show this Friday. He’s going to continue to be adorable and rave about Youn’s SAG win and his own BAFTA nomination in supporting actor. Probably won’t affect Youn’s chances at BAFTA but the viral videos from this interview will make an impression on Oscar voters.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    M: The Original
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    #1204179903

    Bakalova is still in the (potential) upset position. She would probably have to win BAFTA though, unless neither she nor Youn wins there. As a fan of Bakalova’s performance I’m glad she lost SAG in a way because she makes more sense as a last minute, 90s-style surprise winner. Having her as an established frontrunner wouldn’t feel quite right.

    Of course Youn could simply win BAFTA despite being mostly ignored there outside of juried categories. The nominations for director and supporting actor should draw increased attention to Minari and by extension Youn’s performance, although I doubt voters will be directly influenced by SAG as those awards get very little fanfare in the UK.

    I don’t agree with the arguments that Colman is in 2nd. Where’s the motivation to vote for her this year when she’s won lead Actress so recently and plays the most ordinary character of the five nominees? If anything her performance appeals the most to those who would vote for Youn in this race, though this is a generalisation. I’m not even convinced Colman would win BAFTA if she were nominated.

    Your arguments for the Borat starlet upsetting can be used in favor of Close doing the same. And Close winning would be the ultimate 90s surprise.

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    The Girls' Room
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    Jun 20th, 2018
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    #1204179918

    Other than the Bakalova fans, I think everyone else is rooting for Youn which is amazing to see.

    Interesting. I don’t think I’ve seen any “toxic Bakalova fans” on this board. Not sure where that narrative is coming from… I’d be thrilled with either of them winning. I’ve seen 34 new releases this year and I firmly believe they got the two frontrunners “correct” in this category.

    Shoutout to Kosar Ali and Molly Parker who I also think deliver the standout supporting performances of the year.

    watch I May Destroy You

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1204179954

    We love a humble Queen!

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    thelowlander
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    #1204179958

    Not sure if it’s just me, but I have the gut feeling Kosar Ali is winning BAFTA.

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