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January 19, 2021 at 9:34 am #1203991272
I think this lineup would likely to happen:
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Olivia Colman, The Father
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Ellen Burstyn, Pieces Of A Woman
Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
I had a doubt about Bakalova’s chance. It’s like a beloved comedic performance getting many critics and few major precursor awards and ended getting snubbed at the Oscars. But I hope my doubt proven wrong at nomination morning.
My personal pick to replace Glenn, Colman or Seyfried’s spot in case they getting snubbed would’ve be: Charlene Swankie in Nomadland
January 19, 2021 at 9:45 am #1203991317I don’t know why they’d nominate Glenn unless she was going to win, especially since it’s a film that has been so disparaged and won’t be getting any other love outside of makeup.
January 19, 2021 at 9:53 am #1203991365I still have a weird feeling that Glenn could be nominated 💀
January 19, 2021 at 10:02 am #1203991394After watching Pieces of a Woman, Burstyn will win this with ease.
January 19, 2021 at 10:02 am #1203991396Here, I reposted my reason why she could be nominated (in case you haven’t read it from the last thread)
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Just finished watching Hillbilly Elegy. It took me ages to bring myself to watch this movie. Every frame were filled with horrible people screaming, cursing, and throw stuff at people, and there’s Glenn Close. I hate myself for thinking about this, but, I got the feeling that she might receive her eighth nom for this wreck, or even a win based on overdue narrative.
Her performance checks almost all the boxes that the Oscars loves to masturbate to, like:
✅ Based on a real person.
✅ A ‘transformative’ performance under unrecognizable makeup.
✅ A strong female character in a cruel world.
✅ A loving but tough grandmother role.
✅ An old woman who loves to gives big speech about life and motivates her loved ones.
✅ Get a sad scene watching her husband dies.
✅ Swears.
✅ Get ill.
✅ Dies.
January 19, 2021 at 10:05 am #1203991407After watching Pieces of a Woman, Burstyn will win this with ease.
That monologue was so masterfully acted, and heartbreaking. I’d love to see her winning for this masterclass.
January 19, 2021 at 10:14 am #1203991426Charlene Swankie hasn’t gotten even a single nomination from the critic associations (correct me if I’m wrong), although she deserves love at least from them. But critics stopped being what they used to be a long time ago, so, I’m not surprised. Anyway, I don’t see her happening. If there’s gonna be a surprise nomination, it wouldn’t be hers.
⭐Best Actress - Carey Mulligan, Rosamund Pike
⭐Best Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-Jung
January 19, 2021 at 10:21 am #12039914441. Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
2. Olivia Colman (The Father)
3. Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman)
4. Dominique Fishback (Judas and the Black Messiah)
5. Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)January 19, 2021 at 10:27 am #12039914631. Amanda Seyfried (Mank) 2. Olivia Colman (The Father) 3. Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman) 4. Dominique Fishback (Judas and the Black Messiah) 5. Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)
Those are my current predictions, too (not in this order, though).
⭐Best Actress - Carey Mulligan, Rosamund Pike
⭐Best Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-Jung
January 19, 2021 at 10:30 am #1203991469Charlene Swankie hasn’t gotten even a single nomination from the critic associations (correct me if I’m wrong), although she deserves love at least from them. But critics stopped being what they used to be a long time ago, so, I’m not surprised. Anyway, I don’t see her happening. If there’s gonna be a surprise nomination, it wouldn’t be hers.
she got a single best supporting actress nod from Florida Film Critics Circle Awards.
January 19, 2021 at 10:36 am #1203991495she got a single best supporting actress nod from Florida Film Critics Circle Awards.
Oh, okay. Thanks for the correction. Good for her, but it’s not enough.
⭐Best Actress - Carey Mulligan, Rosamund Pike
⭐Best Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-Jung
January 19, 2021 at 11:25 am #1203991619I don’t know why they’d nominate Glenn unless she was going to win, especially since it’s a film that has been so disparaged and won’t be getting any other love outside of makeup.
Glenn Close is a legacy perennial nominee. And there is no reason for her to be absent from this particular race since there is no front runner at all. Everyone here who dislikes her movie and performance are irrelevant to the reality of her placing this season in this category.
January 19, 2021 at 11:30 am #1203991632I don’t think I have a personal favourite in this category yet. Maybe that will be Yuh-Jung Youn once I see Minari but for now…
FYC!
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
January 19, 2021 at 11:41 am #1203991670I don’t think I have a personal favourite in this category yet. Maybe that will be Yuh-Jung Youn once I see Minari but for now…
It’ll be her. She’s amazing.
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