Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 8)

[Eddy Q Joined: Oct 13th, 2012 Topics: 23 Posts: 4651 View Predictions]

#1204003705

galaxy98 wrote:

okay

I mean it’s on Netflix, so you could always try starting it? I don’t like to actively discourage people from watching stuff.

[Gwen Joined: May 15th, 2019 Topics: 3 Posts: 131 View Predictions]

#1204003707

I don’t know, but I can’t deny my gut feeling that Close will be in. And if she’ll be in, I can’t imagine how they could not award her. Basically because I don’t see a very strong frontrunner (one that could maintain her status during industry award). But maybe it’s my bias, ’cause I love her and can’t wait to see her rewarded.

2021 Award Season, FYC:

Best Actress: CAREY MULLIGAN for PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
Best Actor: DELROY LINDO for DA 5 BLOODS
Best Supporting Actress: GLENN CLOSE for HILLBILLY ELEGY

[galaxy98 Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 11 Posts: 180 View Predictions]

#1204003725

Eddy Q wrote:

I mean it’s on Netflix, so you could always try starting it? I don’t like to actively discourage people from watching stuff.

okay thanks. I’m going to watch it just for Seyfried.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18083 View Predictions]

#1204003729

S.N. wrote:

For you all saying Seyfried will happen even without Oldman because she has more passion and is getting nominated everywhere, people thought the same about Claire Foy. She’s not 100% safe.

Except Claire Foy was probably not far off. She got nominated at both the Globes and BAFTA whilst Gosling got nominated at 0 televised awards.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

[S.N. Joined: Dec 7th, 2014 Topics: 15 Posts: 1686 View Predictions]

#1204003764

Eddy Q wrote:

No, but even Claire Foy had a better shot at a nom than Ryan Gosling right till the end of voting. She had Globe and BAFTA noms while Gosling managed neither. And Seyfried’s role is baitier than Foy’s.

For full disclosure, I’m still predicting both Oldman and Seyfried, as well as Mank overall; I’m waiting for concrete evidence that the industry is cold on Fincher’s latest and won’t just nominate it out of obligation before I toss my predictions away. So take what I say with salt if you will.

You’re proving that Foy had more passion than Gosling, which I agree, and that Seyfried has more passion than Oldman, which I also agree. But that still doesn’t mean Seyfried will avoid the same fate of Foy if Oldman misses.

But like you, I’m still predicting both Oldman and her.

[Luca Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 34 Posts: 8978 View Predictions]

#1204003776

Gwen wrote:

I don’t know, but I can’t deny my gut feeling that Close will be in. And if she’ll be in, I can’t imagine how they could not award her. Basically because I don’t see a very strong frontrunner (one that could maintain her status during industry award). But maybe it’s my bias, ’cause I love her and can’t wait to see her rewarded.

Same here.

A Fervent Believer in the Church of Viola Davis

[Miles Joined: Oct 22nd, 2016 Topics: 22 Posts: 3815 View Predictions]

#1204003816

Did Foy have passion or was her category emptier? I’m sure Gosling and Foy had a similar level of passion, but the 2018 supporting actress category was very anemic and empty, so Foy got in at a few precursors.

[JackO Joined: Jun 2nd, 2011 Topics: 13 Posts: 5665 View Predictions]

#1204003862

S.N. wrote:

For you all saying Seyfried will happen even without Oldman because she has more passion and is getting nominated everywhere, people thought the same about Claire Foy. She’s not 100% safe.

I mean duh but this is empty category. Mank seems just strong enough for her to back her way in.

[Monsoon 🌊 Joined: Aug 11th, 2020 Topics: 28 Posts: 2557 View Predictions]

#1204004194

Let’s cut the BS… Youn Yuh-jung deserves to WIN Supporting Actress. Point. Blank. Period.

👑Cicely Tyson (1924-2021)
👑Mary Wilson (1944-2021)

[KAZ-2.5 Joined: Jan 16th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 728 View Predictions]

#1204004313

I’m predicting Glenn Close gets a nomination.

[maxinho Joined: Jan 28th, 2019 Topics: 2 Posts: 566 View Predictions]

#1204004319

I’m predicting Youn to be snubbed at the globes, even I can see Bakalova getting in there, Glenn might be nominated, but Burstyn will prevail at the end.

[Riley Chow Joined: Oct 11th, 2010 Topics: 156 Posts: 17575 View Predictions]

#1204004331

So, checking in here: I have had Olivia Colman winning all season. She admittedly has had a bumpier ride than anticipated, but I am sticking with The Father disproportionately being a major player at the televised awards. I see shades of The Imitation Game as a palatable crowd-pleaser.

I tend to avoid trailers, so much of my impression of The Father is just the poster that is simply Anthony Hopkins’s face in front of Colman’s. Given that I have never heard about anyone else in the movie, it seems like a two-hander, which means a borderline leading part in supporting for Colman. Then there is how I keep hearing that this is a tearjerker, so Colman probably gets some weighty material. Then there is how Colman is obviously a seasoned professional, so I am sure that she knocks whatever material she has out of the park. So what I gather is that this is a meaty, win-worthy performance in a top-five/three Best Picture contender. And finally, you have the Olivia Colman of it all. She is not young and overexposed like Jennifer Lawrence—nobody is ultimately going to be upset with her getting a second Oscar (so soon after her first). She is both a veteran and a “discovery”.

This is not to say that Colman just cruises to industry awards all the time, but I think that she is a very safe default. Putting aside the real visibility issues of The Father, there does seem to be a distinct lack of passion for this performance, exemplified by how she has underperformed even with groups that have responded to Hopkins or the film overall. Why I think that she wins is because I think that this race is missing the necessary proper frontrunner or passionate alternative. I have Maria Bakalova in second for the win because she is the Zendaya of the race. The difference is that the Motion Picture Academy is snootier than their television equivalent. Passion very much rules the day at the Emmys, but you need more of a prestige factor at the Oscars.

Bakalova is also getting undermined by Yuh-jung Youn overtaking her as the critical favourite. Amanda Seyfried is the Gold Derby frontrunner, but I do not know what the precedent is for awarding someone so relatively young in this category on their first nomination for such a quiet performance without screen time. I look at what she has and I look at what I imagine Colman has and I very much see this race shifting course once we get to the televised awards.

[Victor Cruz Joined: Sep 8th, 2013 Topics: 3 Posts: 1846 View Predictions]

#1204004342

I think supporting Actress is YU Ju vs Burstyn.

Amanda Seyfried has really failed to perform well with critics.

I see a scenario where

YU ju wins Critics Choice
Seyfried wins Golden Globe
Burstyn wins SAG
Colman wins BAFTA

[CateNicole Joined: Jun 20th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 1858 View Predictions]

#1204004349

If you can type “Amanda Seyfried” you can type “Youn Yuh-jung”.

FYC: Michaela Coel and Rosamund Pike

[Nameizmann Joined: Jan 16th, 2020 Topics: 23 Posts: 197 View Predictions]

#1204004357

Likelihood of winning:
1. Burstyn
2. Youn
3. Colman
4. Close
5. Seyfried