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Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 9)

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    Canetto
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    #1204034849

    <p style=”text-align: left;”>

    I think she can win, I just think we need better reasons than that she ‘needs to win’ because of her narrative if we’re predicting her, and I think there’s plenty of things still against her that I can’t quite dismiss until she starts actually picking up the awards.

    </p>
    A better reason can be found looking at the others potential noms:

    Colman for a 2/2 win? It’s more likely a Stallone’s win than this scenario.

    Foster? Not nomination for her.

    Youn? For a foreign language performance, the year after Parasite triumph? No way. I can only remember the Loren win like the first one for a not English movie. Youn will be lucky to be nominated.

    Amanda? She is the only real treat, but she is at second place and  not close to Glenn.

    Zengel? No way she can win, the Paquin story is one in a million and this isn’t the year.

    Bakalova? She could be nominated but would be 3/4 with Colman.

     

     

     

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    wolfali
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    #1204034917

    SAG will tell us who will win the race. Especially if the Globe goes to Seyfried. It kind of reminds me of Alicia Vikander vs Kate Winslet.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    Stank83
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    #1204034958

    Glenn in Hillbilly Elegy is miles better than Leo in The Revenant

    Bullshit, The Revenant is one of DiCaprio’s greatest performances.

    Btw, i think Seyfried is still in for a nomination.

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    gorman
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    #1204034960

    <p style=”text-align: left;”> </p> Youn? For a foreign language performance, the year after Parasite triumph? No way. I can only remember the Loren win like the first one for a not English movie. 

    Not sure I agree with this. I don’t see how Parasite is particularly relevant to Youn at the Oscars, but it certainly doesn’t suggest the Academy will be more against rewarding an Asian performer. It’s a foreign language performance with obvious actor/ industry backing evidenced by her and the movie doing well at SAG, and the SAG Ensemble win for Parasite last year may reflect shifting tides in recognition for non-English language roles. Minari is also shaping up to be a popular and high-ranking film, which can only enhance her chances.

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    gorman
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    #1204034966

    SAG will tell us who will win the race. Especially if the Globe goes to Seyfried. It kind of reminds me of Alicia Vikander vs Kate Winslet.

    If the Globe goes to Seyfried, I feel like that makes it more confusing, no? Especially if she wins something like CC on top of it, then BAFTA, Globes and SAG go for different winners. Unless someone sweeps, say, four out of those five, I don’t think there’ll be a clear winner before the ceremony.

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    Hoster1
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    #1204034971

    If Amanda wins Globe, I think Youn will actually win SAG lol.

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    wolfali
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    #1204034978

    If the Globe goes to Seyfried, I feel like that makes it more confusing, no? Especially if she wins something like CC on top of it, then BAFTA, Globes and SAG go for different winners. Unless someone sweeps, say, four out of those five, I don’t think there’ll be a clear winner before the ceremony.

    I think if Amanda wins the Globe then either Youn or Bakalova wins the Oscar after winning SAG.

    BAFTA is going to Colman as long as she’s nominated.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204035027

      BAFTA is going to Colman as long as she’s nominated.

    This is the same reason they put Colman lower in 2019. Will this be redone this year? Hopefully, no. It will harm Colman’s career and the whole industry will think of her as THE stealer, especially when the best is Youn Yuh-jung. I’m okay with Close although I cannot say anything until precursor awards.

    "The Lost Daughter" in every eligible category - Film
    "Succession" Season 3 in every eligible category - TV
    "Heaux Tales" by Jasmine Sullivan in every eligible category - Music

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    Atypical
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    #1204035058

    I don’t believe this year we will reward anyone overdue. Do we really want Close to finally win on zoom?

    Who do you think wants to win an Oscar on a Zoom call? That’s the world we live in today. An Oscar is an Oscar is an Oscar. The venue is irrelevant.

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    SN
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    #1204035128

    The ceremony won’t happen until late April, when things will be a bit better in LA (cases and deaths are already dropping in the US). So I think there will still be an in-person component this year mixed with the virtual component. Glenn will also be vaccinated by then due to her age.

    But even she wins an Oscar on Zoom, an Oscar is an Oscar. She’ll get her standing ovation when she announces the Supporting Actor winner next year.

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    SDoesNotKnow504
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    #1204035148

    I’m not as convinced that Colman will get BAFTA just because she’s British and a well-known working actress there. They already gave her a film award. I think they may give it to her if her performance in The Father is that undeniable, but from what I hear, it isn’t.

    I see the race being Youn, Bakalova, Close, Colman, and Seyfried with maybe a “shocking” omission for someone we didn’t see coming, and I don’t mean Zengel.

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    wolfali
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    #1204035162

    ’m not as convinced that Colman will get BAFTA just because she’s British and a well-known working actress there.

    That’s not why I think she’ll win BAFTA and I don’t think that’s why people think she’ll win the BAFTA. I think those of us predicting her to win are anticipating The Father will be well received by BAFTA.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1204035175

    If Seyfried wins the Globe, I think Youn is winning CC. Minari performed exceptionally well at CC for Youn to not be taking this.

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    SDoesNotKnow504
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    #1204035187

    That’s not why I think she’ll win BAFTA and I don’t think that’s why people think she’ll win the BAFTA. I think those of us predicting her to win are anticipating The Father will be well received by BAFTA.

    I only responded as such because I have heard and read exactly that in an argument as to why she’ll win BAFTA.

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    wolfali
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    #1204035189

    Imagine if one of Jodie Foster or Helena Zengel won the Globe after all of us arguing over whether it would be Close, Colman or Seyfried.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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