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Oscars 2022: Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204428229

    Is there a thread for this already? These are my two favourite categories to discuss at the Oscars so I thought I’d create one if not.

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    mateil
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    I think there’s a good chance history is made this year with every Picture nominee getting a screenplay nomination.

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    Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe
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    Adapted:

    Chaos Walking

    Cinderella

    Snake Eyes

    Venom: Let There Be Carnage

    The Woman in the Window

     

    Original:

    Malignant

    Red Notice

    Reminiscence

    Thunder Force

    The Tomorrow War

    Emmys FYC:

    Comedy Series - Abbott Elementary, Atlanta, Barry, The Great, Hacks, Only Murders in the Building, Reservation Dogs, Ted Lasso, What We Do in the Shadows

    Drama Series - Better Call Saul, Ozark, Pachinko, Severance, Squid Game, Stranger Things, Succession, This Is Us, Yellowjackets

    Limited Series - Station Eleven

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204428313

    Wright to need earn his first Oscar noms ASAP. if its not for Directing, perhaps Original Screenplay should be one with Krysty Wilson Cairns

    FYC:
    Best Director: Edgar Wright, Guillermo Del Toro, Jane Campion
    Best Picture: Nightmare Alley, The Power of the Dog
    Best Actress: Kristen Stewart, Thomasin McKenzie, Rooney Mara, Tessa Thompson
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Bradley Cooper
    Best S. Actress: Cate Blanchett, Diana Rigg, Anya Taylor Joy
    Best S. Actor: Kodi Smit McPhee, Willem Dafoe, Richard Jenkins

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    George Ehret
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    Adapted
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The Humans
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. Dune
    5. The Lost Daughter

    Original
    1. Belfast
    2. Soggy Bottom
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. The Hand of God
    5. Last Night in Soho

    FYC
    Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once

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    wolfali
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    I think The Tragedy of Macbeth will miss. Unless there’s any substantial adaptation there I feel like the writers branch tends to avoid nominating play adaptations (see Ma Rainey missing last year).

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    alittle03
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    Adapted:

    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. Dune
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. The Lost Daughter
    5. The Humans

    6. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    7. The Last Duel
    8. House of Gucci
    9. Passing
    10. West Side Story

    A lot of these slots are VERY interchangeable to me, so none of this is set in stone. In fact, I welcome second opinions because Adapted is so tricky to predict. I personally want to put Passing higher, but I’m so so hesitant.

    Original:

    1. Untitled PTA
    2. Don’t Look Up
    3. The French Dispatch
    4. The Hand of God
    5. Last Night in Soho

    6. Belfast
    7. Mass
    8. C’mon, C’mon
    9. Being the Ricardos
    10. A Hero

    I’m more confident in Original than Adapted, but I’m still iffy on the way I’m predicting some of these contenders.

    • FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

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    fvg627
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    #1204428406

    I think there’s a good chance history is made this year with every Picture nominee getting a screenplay nomination.

    With 10 films in picture this year, the odds of this happening are far lower than they’ve been in recent years

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    Vincent Figueroa
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    Original

    1.Don’t  look up

    2. Soggy bottom

    3. Hand of God

    4. Worst person in the World

    5. Last Night in Soho

     

    Adaptation:

    1.The Power of Dog
    2. Lost Daughter

    3.The Humans

    4.Dune

    5.Tick, tick boom

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    George Ehret
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    I think The Tragedy of Macbeth will miss. Unless there’s any substantial adaptation there I feel like the writers branch tends to avoid nominating play adaptations (see Ma Rainey missing last year).

    Or if the original playwright adapted their own play like The Father or Fences

    FYC
    Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once

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    Arman Saxena
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    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    Soggy Bottom

    Don’t Look Up

    Being the Ricardos

    The French Dispatch

    The Hand of God

    Could Jump In: Last Night in Soho, Belfast, C’mon C’mon, Parallel Mothers, A Hero, Mass, Spencer

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    The Power of the Dog

    Nightmare Alley

    House of Gucci

    The Humans

    The Lost Daughter

    Could Jump In: The Tragedy of Macbeth, CODA, Dune, The Last Duel, Tick, Tick…Boom, Passing, West Side Story

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    crabbie
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    #1204429583

    I think the most likely lone screenplay contenders could be

    Mass (if Dowd misses in Supporting Actress)

    Passing (if Negga misses in Supporting Actress and Thompson misses in Actress)

    C’Mon C’Mon (If Joaquin misses in Actor)

    CODA (if Matlin misses in Supporting Actress and Emilia Jones misses in Actress)

    I think CODA is the most likely contender to be a lone screenplay nominee since I would say it’s acting contenders are extremely unlikely to get a nomination. CODA is one of the most crowdpleasing films of the year so far and most of its charm is found in the screenplay and performances. I can see the writers branch throwing a bone to the film in Adapted Screenplay for Siân Heder’s beloved screenplay.

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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    DaKardii
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    SEPTEMBER PREDICTIONS

    Best Original Screenplay

    1. Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film
    2. The French Dispatch
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. Mass
    5. A Hero
    6. Belfast
    7. King Richard
    8. Being the Ricardos
    9. C’mon, C’mon
    10. Parallel Mothers

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The Tragedy of Macbeth
    3. CODA
    4. House of Gucci
    5. Nightmare Alley
    6. Passing
    7. Dune
    8. The Last Duel
    9. In the Heights
    10. Flag Day
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    Marcus.H
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    #1204435531

    Mass seems safer and safer for an original screenplay nom.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    crabbie
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    Original Screenplay thoughts:

    Parallel Mothers should be safe since its a return to form for Almodóvar. He previously won in this category before in 2003. I think the writers branch wants to embrace him especially since the film got glowing reviews.

    Don’t Look Up should be fine since McKay gets in for screenplays.

    A Focus film is most likely to get in too since their players are quite strong. Belfast is an autobiography that is imbued with Branagh’s nostalgic childhood. Basically a Minari, Jojo Rabbit, Lady Bird type of Original Screenplay nod. Last Night in Soho being co-written by recent Oscar nominated screenwriter, Krysty Wilson-Cairns, is also quite buzzy with the screenplay embarking on social commentary concerning female exploitation and idol worship. We will see how Soho is received today. Then Focus also has The Card Counter which has been getting good critics reviews and could be the classical lone screenplay nominee which was achieved by Schrader for First Reformed 2 years ago. Whatever film it is, I think Focus is getting one of their players in.

    Wes Anderson’s The French Dispatch seems to be receiving a cold reception with audience members but I don’t think this will be a problem for The French Dispatch in Original Screenplay since the film is quite ambitious and creative as anthology period piece film which I think the writers branch will want to acknowledge. Moonrise Kingdom missed picture but got in Original Screenplay so there’s that.

    Last spot is tricky. Too early to tell I think it will be between Soggy Bottom and Being The Ricardos.

     

    Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.

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