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Oscars 2022: Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay

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  • wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204450650

    Post Venice and Telluride predictions.

    Original Screenplay

    1. Adam McKay for Don’t Look Up
    2. Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
    3. Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
    4. Pedro Almodovar for Parallel Mothers
    5. Steven Knight for Spencer

    6. Zach Baylin for King Richard
    7. Mike Mills for C’mon C’mon
    8. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Hugo Guinness and Jason Schwartzman for The French Dispatch
    9. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt for The Worst Person in the World
    10. Aaron Sorkin for Being the Ricardos

    Adapted Screenplay

    1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
    2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley
    3. Stephen Karam for The Humans
    4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter
    5. Rebecca Hall for Passing

    6. Sian Heder for CODA
    7. Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth for Dune
    8. Joel Coen for The Tragedy of Macbeth
    9. Becky Johnston and Roberto Bentivegna for House of Gucci
    10. David Chase and Lawrence Konner for The Many Saints of Newark

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.


    Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe
    Joined:
    Apr 20th, 2019
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    #1204451554

    Post Venice and Telluride predictions. Original Screenplay 1. Adam McKay for Don’t Look Up 2. Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza 3. Kenneth Branagh for Belfast 4. Pedro Almodovar for Parallel Mothers 5. Steven Knight for Spencer 6. Zach Baylin for King Richard 7. Mike Mills for C’mon C’mon 8. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Hugo Guinness and Jason Schwartzman for The French Dispatch 9. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt for The Worst Person in the World 10. Aaron Sorkin for Being the Ricardos Adapted Screenplay 1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog 2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley 3. Stephen Karam for The Humans 4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter 5. Rebecca Hall for Passing 6. Sian Heder for CODA 7. Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth for Dune 8. Joel Coen for The Tragedy of Macbeth 9. Becky Johnston and Roberto Bentivegna for House of Gucci 10. David Chase and Lawrence Konner for The Many Saints of Newark

    I still cant get over “licorice pizza” 😐😶😑😞😔😣😫😥😭💀

    Top Ten 2022 Films:
    1. Everything Everywhere All At Once
    2. The Fabelmans
    3. The Banshees of Inisherin
    4. The Batman
    5. TAR
    6. Top Gun: Maverick
    7. Bros
    8. The Woman King
    9. Elvis
    10. The Menu


    nevkm
    Joined:
    Jan 3rd, 2018
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    #1204451561

    I still cant get over “licorice pizza” 😐😔😭

    Pls I still crack up every time I see it.


    Melvinezq
    Joined:
    Aug 7th, 2020
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    #1204451686

    Adapted Screenplay 1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog 2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley 3. Stephen Karam for The Humans 4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter 5. Rebecca Hall for Passing  

    Soon to be the iconic lineup!

    "The Lost Daughter" in every eligible category - Film
    "Succession" Season 3 in every eligible category - TV
    "Heaux Tales" by Jasmine Sullivan in every eligible category - Music


    kaziz
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204451841

    Adapted Screenplay

    1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
    2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley
    3. Stephen Karam for The Humans
    4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter
    5. Rebecca Hall for Passing

    YESSSSSSSSSS GET IT EVERYONE, this would be the BEST lineup! Super competitive too

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur


    George Ehret
    Joined:
    Sep 3rd, 2019
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    #1204452170

    Post-Venice Predictions

    Adapted
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The Humans
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. Dune
    5. The Lost Daughter

    Original
    1. Belfast
    2. Licorice Pizza
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. Spencer
    5. C’mon C’mon

    FYC
    Everything Everywhere All at Once for everything, everywhere, all at once


    kaziz
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204453068

    Adapted
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The Humans
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. Dune
    5. The Lost Daughter

    It’s…pretty quixotic to think a branch of book nerds will think Dune the film matches up to the book no? 🤓

    I actually genuinely believe this may be the hardest get for Dune, tbh

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur


    Foolio
    Joined:
    Jan 24th, 2017
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    #1204453085

    ADAPTED

    Frontrunners

    The Power of the Dog
    The Lost Daughter

    Next in line

    The Humans
    Nightmare Alley

    On the brink

    House of Gucci
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Tick, Tick… Boom!

    Strong possibilities

    Passing
    Stillwater
    West Side Story
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Cyrano

    Possibilities

    The Eternals
    The Last Duel
    No Time to Die
    Dune
    Coda
    The Many Saints of Newark

    Theoretical possibilities

    Luca
    Flag Day
    Benedetta
    Zola
    The Forgiven
    A Mouthful of Air
    Unforgiven
    Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
    Cry Macho

    ORIGINAL

    Frontrunners

    Don’t Look Up
    Licorice Pizza

    Next in line

    Being the Ricardos
    Belfast
    Madres paralelas
    Spencer

    On the brink

    The French Dispatch
    Last Night in Soho
    C’mon C’mon
    King Richard

    Strong possibilities

    The Card Counter
    Mass
    The Worst Person in the World
    The Hand of God
    Red Rocket

    Possibilities

    Annette
    Blue Bayou
    Bruised
    Next Goal Wins*
    The Harder They Fall

    Theoretical possibilities

    Louis Wain
    Italian Studies
    Swan Song
    Finch

    * If it comes out this year


    mitchellfleming21
    Joined:
    Jan 23rd, 2017
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    #1204467468

    Late September Predictions:

    Best Original Screenplay:
    1: Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza
    2: Kenneth Branagh – Belfast
    3: Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up
    4: Steven Knight – Spencer
    5: Mike Mills – C’mon C’mon

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    1: Stephen Karam – The Humans
    2: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog
    3: Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan – Nightmare Alley
    4: Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter
    5: Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth


    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #1204475739

    Original Screenplay:

    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Licorice Pizza
    Mass
    Parallel Mothers

    Adapted Screenplay:

    House of Gucci
    The Humans
    The Lost Daughter
    Nightmare Alley
    The Power of the Dog


    WildChalice
    Joined:
    Apr 22nd, 2017
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    #1204485241

    Adapted Screenplay:

    1.) The Power of the Dog

    2.) Nightmare Alley

    3.) CODA

    4.) The Tragedy of Macbeth

    5.) The Humans

    6.) House of Gucci

    7.) The Lost Daughter

    8.) Passing

    9.) Dune

    10.) tick, tick… Boom!

    Original Screenplay:

    1.) Licorice Pizza

    2.) Belfast

    3.) Don’t Look Up

    4.) The French Dispatch

    5.) Mass

    6.) A Hero

    7.) Parallel Mothers

    8.) C’mon C’mon

    9.) King Richard

    10.) Being the Ricardos


    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #1204486938

    I was looking at my current predictions and see that I have Parallel Mothers in mine for Original Screenplay; it is in 12th place in the predictions. The writer’s branch often nominates a foreign language film, Pedro Almodovar is well liked, and his film is a likely potential winner for International Film. I have the top 4 as my other predictions: Belfast, Don’t Look Up, Mass, and Licorice Pizza.

    For Adapted Screenplay I don’t think The Tragedy of Macbeth adaptation will make it in to the category, despite the Coen pedigree and the rave reviews – mainly because it’s a Shakespearean adaptation and it feels more directed than written – the 1996 Hamlet adaptation I believe was a screenplay nominee though, it’s just a gut feeling based on past results for me. Nor do I have CODA in my predictions – I don’t think the movie will be strong enough to make it in over the other potential films. I have The Power Of The Dog, Nightmare Alley, and House of Gucci – numbers 1, 3 and 5 in the predictions, joined by #7 The Lost Daughter and #9 Passing. At least for now. I do think The Humans has a strong shot but I think it’s #6 or #7. At least as of right now, subject to change as the awards season rolls along.


    kaziz
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2011
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    Posts:
    #1204487119

    Shakespeare adaptations have only got in once in the whole history of the Oscars. And Joel Coen really hasn’t changed much, so I don’t see why the writers branch will nominate this: the feat is mostly in direction, it seems.

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur


    Stefania
    Joined:
    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204487181

    Original Screenplay

    Licorice Pizza
    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Spencer
    C’mon C’mon

    Possibilities:

    The French Dispatch
    King Richard
    A Hero

     

    Adapted Screenplay

    The Power of the Dog
    Nightmare Alley
    The Humans
    The Lost Daughter
    Passing

     

    Possibilities:

    Dune


    kaziz
    Joined:
    Nov 10th, 2011
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    Posts:
    #1204487752

    Original Screenplay

    Licorice Pizza
    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Spencer
    C’mon C’mon

    Possibilities:

    The French Dispatch
    King Richard
    A Hero

    Adapted Screenplay

    The Power of the Dog
    Nightmare Alley
    The Humans
    The Lost Daughter
    Passing

    Possibilities:

    Dune

    These are EXACTLY my predix, except I think a foreign film can possibly kick something out in Original: The Worst Person in the World, Parallel Mothers, Titane, Petite Maman, The Hand of God — I think their best shots are with the writing branch (outside Best International Feature). It’s also the only place something like Titane can maybe show up, the writing branch has generally been more open to “weird” stuff than the other branches.

    Justice for Passing, Tessa Thompson & Ruth Negga.

    The Power of the Dog / Jane Campion / Benedict Cumberbatch / Kristen Stewart / Kirsten Dunst / Troy Kotsur

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