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Oscars 2022: Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay

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    crabbie
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    #1204435536

    Original Screenplay thoughts:

    Parallel Mothers should be safe since its a return to form for Almodóvar. He previously won in this category before in 2003. I think the writers branch wants to embrace him especially since the film got glowing reviews.

    Don’t Look Up should be fine since McKay gets in for screenplays.

    A Focus film is most likely to get in too since their players are quite strong. Belfast is an autobiography that is imbued with Branagh’s nostalgic childhood. Basically a Minari, Jojo Rabbit, Lady Bird type of Original Screenplay nod. Last Night in Soho being co-written by recent Oscar nominated screenwriter, Krysty Wilson-Cairns, is also quite buzzy with the screenplay embarking on social commentary concerning female exploitation and idol worship. We will see how Soho is received today. Then Focus also has The Card Counter which has been getting good critics reviews and could be the classical lone screenplay nominee which was achieved by Schrader for First Reformed 2 years ago. Whatever film it is, I think Focus is getting one of their players in.

    Wes Anderson’s The French Dispatch seems to be receiving a cold reception with audience members but I don’t think this will be a problem for The French Dispatch in Original Screenplay since the film is quite ambitious and creative as anthology period piece film which I think the writers branch will want to acknowledge. Moonrise Kingdom missed picture but got in Original Screenplay so there’s that.

    Last spot is tricky. Too early to tell I think it will be between Soggy Bottom and Being The Ricardos.

     

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    wolfali
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    #1204450650

    Post Venice and Telluride predictions.

    Original Screenplay

    1. Adam McKay for Don’t Look Up
    2. Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
    3. Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
    4. Pedro Almodovar for Parallel Mothers
    5. Steven Knight for Spencer

    6. Zach Baylin for King Richard
    7. Mike Mills for C’mon C’mon
    8. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Hugo Guinness and Jason Schwartzman for The French Dispatch
    9. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt for The Worst Person in the World
    10. Aaron Sorkin for Being the Ricardos

    Adapted Screenplay

    1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
    2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley
    3. Stephen Karam for The Humans
    4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter
    5. Rebecca Hall for Passing

    6. Sian Heder for CODA
    7. Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth for Dune
    8. Joel Coen for The Tragedy of Macbeth
    9. Becky Johnston and Roberto Bentivegna for House of Gucci
    10. David Chase and Lawrence Konner for The Many Saints of Newark

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe
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    #1204451554

    Post Venice and Telluride predictions. Original Screenplay 1. Adam McKay for Don’t Look Up 2. Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza 3. Kenneth Branagh for Belfast 4. Pedro Almodovar for Parallel Mothers 5. Steven Knight for Spencer 6. Zach Baylin for King Richard 7. Mike Mills for C’mon C’mon 8. Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Hugo Guinness and Jason Schwartzman for The French Dispatch 9. Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt for The Worst Person in the World 10. Aaron Sorkin for Being the Ricardos Adapted Screenplay 1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog 2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley 3. Stephen Karam for The Humans 4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter 5. Rebecca Hall for Passing 6. Sian Heder for CODA 7. Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth for Dune 8. Joel Coen for The Tragedy of Macbeth 9. Becky Johnston and Roberto Bentivegna for House of Gucci 10. David Chase and Lawrence Konner for The Many Saints of Newark

    I still cant get over “licorice pizza” 😐😶😑😞😔😣😫😥😭💀

    Oscars FYC:

    Visual Effects: Free Guy

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    nevkm
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    Jan 3rd, 2018
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    #1204451561

    I still cant get over “licorice pizza” 😐😔😭

    Pls I still crack up every time I see it.

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    Melvinezq
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    #1204451686

    Adapted Screenplay 1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog 2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley 3. Stephen Karam for The Humans 4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter 5. Rebecca Hall for Passing  

    Soon to be the iconic lineup!

    "The Lost Daughter" in every eligible category - Film
    "Succession" Season 3 in every eligible category - TV
    "Heaux Tales" by Jasmine Sullivan in every eligible category - Music

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    kaziz
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    #1204451841

    Adapted Screenplay

    1. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
    2. Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan for Nightmare Alley
    3. Stephen Karam for The Humans
    4. Maggie Gyllenhaal for The Lost Daughter
    5. Rebecca Hall for Passing

    YESSSSSSSSSS GET IT EVERYONE, this would be the BEST lineup! Super competitive too

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    George Ehret
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    #1204452170

    Post-Venice Predictions

    Adapted
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The Humans
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. Dune
    5. The Lost Daughter

    Original
    1. Belfast
    2. Licorice Pizza
    3. Don’t Look Up
    4. Spencer
    5. C’mon C’mon

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    kaziz
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    #1204453068

    Adapted
    1. The Power of the Dog
    2. The Humans
    3. Nightmare Alley
    4. Dune
    5. The Lost Daughter

    It’s…pretty quixotic to think a branch of book nerds will think Dune the film matches up to the book no? 🤓

    I actually genuinely believe this may be the hardest get for Dune, tbh

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    Foolio
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    #1204453085

    ADAPTED

    Frontrunners

    The Power of the Dog
    The Lost Daughter

    Next in line

    The Humans
    Nightmare Alley

    On the brink

    House of Gucci
    The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Tick, Tick… Boom!

    Strong possibilities

    Passing
    Stillwater
    West Side Story
    The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Cyrano

    Possibilities

    The Eternals
    The Last Duel
    No Time to Die
    Dune
    Coda
    The Many Saints of Newark

    Theoretical possibilities

    Luca
    Flag Day
    Benedetta
    Zola
    The Forgiven
    A Mouthful of Air
    Unforgiven
    Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
    Cry Macho

    ORIGINAL

    Frontrunners

    Don’t Look Up
    Licorice Pizza

    Next in line

    Being the Ricardos
    Belfast
    Madres paralelas
    Spencer

    On the brink

    The French Dispatch
    Last Night in Soho
    C’mon C’mon
    King Richard

    Strong possibilities

    The Card Counter
    Mass
    The Worst Person in the World
    The Hand of God
    Red Rocket

    Possibilities

    Annette
    Blue Bayou
    Bruised
    Next Goal Wins*
    The Harder They Fall

    Theoretical possibilities

    Louis Wain
    Italian Studies
    Swan Song
    Finch

    * If it comes out this year

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    mitchellfleming21
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    Jan 23rd, 2017
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    #1204467468

    Late September Predictions:

    Best Original Screenplay:
    1: Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza
    2: Kenneth Branagh – Belfast
    3: Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up
    4: Steven Knight – Spencer
    5: Mike Mills – C’mon C’mon

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    1: Stephen Karam – The Humans
    2: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog
    3: Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan – Nightmare Alley
    4: Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter
    5: Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204475739

    Original Screenplay:

    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Licorice Pizza
    Mass
    Parallel Mothers

    Adapted Screenplay:

    House of Gucci
    The Humans
    The Lost Daughter
    Nightmare Alley
    The Power of the Dog

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    WildChalice
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    #1204485241

    Adapted Screenplay:

    1.) The Power of the Dog

    2.) Nightmare Alley

    3.) CODA

    4.) The Tragedy of Macbeth

    5.) The Humans

    6.) House of Gucci

    7.) The Lost Daughter

    8.) Passing

    9.) Dune

    10.) tick, tick… Boom!

    Original Screenplay:

    1.) Licorice Pizza

    2.) Belfast

    3.) Don’t Look Up

    4.) The French Dispatch

    5.) Mass

    6.) A Hero

    7.) Parallel Mothers

    8.) C’mon C’mon

    9.) King Richard

    10.) Being the Ricardos

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204486938

    I was looking at my current predictions and see that I have Parallel Mothers in mine for Original Screenplay; it is in 12th place in the predictions. The writer’s branch often nominates a foreign language film, Pedro Almodovar is well liked, and his film is a likely potential winner for International Film. I have the top 4 as my other predictions: Belfast, Don’t Look Up, Mass, and Licorice Pizza.

    For Adapted Screenplay I don’t think The Tragedy of Macbeth adaptation will make it in to the category, despite the Coen pedigree and the rave reviews – mainly because it’s a Shakespearean adaptation and it feels more directed than written – the 1996 Hamlet adaptation I believe was a screenplay nominee though, it’s just a gut feeling based on past results for me. Nor do I have CODA in my predictions – I don’t think the movie will be strong enough to make it in over the other potential films. I have The Power Of The Dog, Nightmare Alley, and House of Gucci – numbers 1, 3 and 5 in the predictions, joined by #7 The Lost Daughter and #9 Passing. At least for now. I do think The Humans has a strong shot but I think it’s #6 or #7. At least as of right now, subject to change as the awards season rolls along.

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    kaziz
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    #1204487119

    Shakespeare adaptations have only got in once in the whole history of the Oscars. And Joel Coen really hasn’t changed much, so I don’t see why the writers branch will nominate this: the feat is mostly in direction, it seems.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    Stefania
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    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204487181

    Original Screenplay

    Licorice Pizza
    Belfast
    Don’t Look Up
    Spencer
    C’mon C’mon

    Possibilities:

    The French Dispatch
    King Richard
    A Hero

     

    Adapted Screenplay

    The Power of the Dog
    Nightmare Alley
    The Humans
    The Lost Daughter
    Passing

     

    Possibilities:

    Dune

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