Oscars 2022: Original Screenplay and Adapted Screenplay

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 220 Posts: 33704 View Predictions]

#1204850766

Derrick_Eoghan_Oisin_OCallaghan wrote:

PLUS I think Judas was the only BP film nominated in that category.

The Trial of the Chicago 7 was also nominated in original song but perhaps it’s a testament to how forgettable that song was that it lost haha…

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

[Roma stan Joined: Aug 14th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 76 View Predictions]

#1204850874

Manav wrote:

In my opinion, Ranked Predictions (in terms of likelihood to win): Original Screenplay 1. Belfast 2. Licorice Pizza 3. King Richard 4. Don’t Look Up 5. The Worst Person In The World Adapted Screenplay 1. CODA 2. Drive My Car 3. The Lost Daughter 4. The Power Of The Dog 5. Dune

Love your signature bestie. 

[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 5 Posts: 1783 View Predictions]

#1204850904

I think I’m still doubtful the more arthouse-leaning Academy will allow CODA to win Adapted Screenplay, but I guess I also would’ve said the movie had no chance to win Screenplay at the BAFTAS and yet it did, so I guess it could win; I’m still going to predict TPOTD to win into the ceremony, though.

• FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

[Lucas Joined: Jun 24th, 2020 Topics: 2 Posts: 1718 View Predictions]

#1204850917

alittle03 wrote:

I think I’m still doubtful the more arthouse-leaning Academy will allow CODA to win Adapted Screenplay, but I guess I also would’ve said the movie had no chance to win Screenplay at the BAFTAS and yet it did, so I guess it could win; I’m still going to predict TPOTD to win into the ceremony, though.

The idea of Drive My Car, The Lost Daugther and The Dog dividing the arthouse vote is quite appealing

We could say the same about Pizza facing The Worst Person at the Oscars, potentially benefiting Belfast. Potentially

[Damiansport1 Joined: Dec 2nd, 2014 Topics: 1 Posts: 28 View Predictions]

#1204851117

alittle03 wrote:

I think I’m still doubtful the more arthouse-leaning Academy will allow CODA to win Adapted Screenplay, but I guess I also would’ve said the movie had no chance to win Screenplay at the BAFTAS and yet it did, so I guess it could win; I’m still going to predict TPOTD to win into the ceremony, though.

BAFTA is even more art-house leaning than AMPAS and yet CODA win, being so american and broad.

[alittle03 Joined: Sep 16th, 2020 Topics: 5 Posts: 1783 View Predictions]

#1204851176

Damiansport1 wrote:

BAFTA is even more art-house leaning than AMPAS and yet CODA win, being so american and broad.

I think, in general, I might agree, but in this specific year, the BAFTA longlist was a bellwether for how populist the winners would end up being. Meanwhile, AMPAS overall still went for some more arthouse and somewhat inspired picks that the BAFTAs contrastingly didn’t. Nevertheless, you’re right: CODA winning Screenplay here was very unexpected, so it cannot be ruled out; I have it in second.

• FYC: Everything Everywhere All at Once in any and every single category, especially Best Picture, Michelle Yeoh in Actress, Stephanie Hsu in Supporting Actress, The Daniels in Director/Screenplay, Paul Rogers in Editing, and Son Lux in Score.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 79 View Predictions]

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 79 View Predictions]

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[kbc Joined: Sep 16th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1585 View Predictions]

#1204851219

wrote:

Generally AMPAS and BAFTA go hand in hand when it comes to Adapted and Original Screenplay. It seems highly likely that Coda and Licorice Pizza are winning.

Yeah, i’m still hopeful for wild upsets by the only two all-time great screenplays in the bunch – DMC and TWPITW – but Coda and LP seem likeliest now.

FYC
Best Picture: "Showing Up" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Kelly Reichardt; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Michelle Williams; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Hong Chau, Heather Lawless, Amanda Plummer; Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Judd Hirsch, Andre Benjamin, John Magaro; Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond
Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich

[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 53 Posts: 5532 View Predictions]

#1204851223

While I think CODA is winning Adapted, I’m not exactly convinced about Licorice Pizza because Licorice Pizza was much more beloved by BAFTA than by AMPAS. At BAFTA Licorice Pizza got Film (in a field of five), Actress, Director Paul, Screenplay and EDITING. At the Oscars it got just Screenplay, Director and Picture. Belfast at BAFTA got just 4 or 5 non-jury noms (not including British Film) whereas it got 7 at the Oscars.

Emmy FYC
-Severance in all categories.
-Ted Lasso in all categories.
-The Dropout in all categories.

-Jennifer Coolidge, Connie Britton, Margaret Qualley, Colin Firth
-Jung Ho-Yeon, Lee Yoo-Mi, Sarah Snook, Laura Linney.
-Jean Smart, Kaley Cuoco, Juno Temple, Sarah Lancashire and Martin Short.

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 220 Posts: 33704 View Predictions]

#1204851244

Licorice Pizza‘s nominations in BAFTA categories with jury involvement (2): Actress, Director
Licorice Pizza‘s nominations in non juried BAFTA caegories (3): Film, Original Screenplay, Editing

Belfast‘s nominations in BAFTA categories with jury involvement (2): S. Actress, S. Actor
Belfast‘s nominations in non juried BAFTA categories (3): Film, Original Screenplay, Editing

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1004 View Predictions]

#1204851246

wolfali wrote:

Licorice Pizza‘s nominations in BAFTA categories with jury involvement (2): Actress, Director Licorice Pizza‘s nominations in non juried BAFTA caegories (3): Film, Original Screenplay, Editing Belfast‘s nominations in BAFTA categories with jury involvement (2): S. Actress, S. Actor Belfast‘s nominations in non juried BAFTA categories (3): Film, Original Screenplay, Editing

wait supporting actor was a jury pick ? does he fit the jury critea ? because if it wasn’t for the british branch he wouldn’t even make it at Ampas lol

[lorelei lor Joined: Dec 20th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 663 View Predictions]

#1204851318

Sorry, but I’m not gonna bet against LP with BAFTA+WGA (I don’t think it’s losing there). Same with CODA. I really hope I’m wrong about the latter and an upset happens with TPOTD winning BP and being strong enough to take this category as well.

[H. H. Joined: Dec 11th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 286 View Predictions]

#1204851340

When is WGA? Praying to the gods a miracle happens and CODA doesn’t win.

[Derrick Eoghan Oisín O'Callaghan Joined: Dec 5th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 606 View Predictions]

#1204851351

wolfali wrote:

The Trial of the Chicago 7 was also nominated in original song but perhaps it’s a testament to how forgettable that song was that it lost haha…

Crap, I forgot about that.