Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 11)

[Ziggiy Joined: Nov 25th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 691 View Predictions]

#1204752874

BoBo wrote:

I doubt it. Tick, tick…BOOM! is likely to miss picture. Only twice in the past 15 years has the best actor winner’s picture failed to get nominated, and they were Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart and Forrest Whitaker for The Last King of Scotland. Garfield is great as Larson, and certainly has his passionate fans. He should be safe for his second nomination. He has maybe a 5% to actually win though. I see an elephant in the room that stands in the way of Garfield, Cumberbatch, Bardem, Dinklage, and any other Caucasian contender from winning this year: A certain screen legend just died.

 

 

The Hilarity of the thought that dead black men could influence voting when Chadwick Boseman couldn’t even win last year lets me know that a large portion of (WHITE) people REALLY have to make up any and every bullshit excuse to be able to rationalize how a black actor could possibly come out victorious.

 

 

What was your theory on how Sidney Poitier  won his Oscar in 64? Was it an industry wide conspiracy to punish caucasian actors for the murders of Charles Eddie Moore and Henry Dee?

 

 

How about Denzel in 2002? Let me guess, it was the spirit of Aaliyah who blocked all of those wildly deserving caucasian actors so that Denzel could swoop in and claim victory. Mystery solved!

[Stank83 Joined: Mar 8th, 2020 Topics: 104 Posts: 2089 View Predictions]

#1204752890

Chitanda170 wrote:

I have a feeling it will be Bardem

I have a feeling it will be DiCaprio

[String Cheese Theory Joined: Aug 16th, 2020 Topics: 8 Posts: 1638 View Predictions]

#1204752934

BoBo wrote:

Yup. But still in the last 15 years, 2/3 of all Best Actress winners were in a Best Picture contender. Marion Cotillard, Meryl Streep, Cate Blanchett, Julianne Moore, Renee Zellweger were the five whose picture missed.

Now do the men’s stats.

Bill Hader and Barry in everything (2 babka)
The Great - Elle Fanning, Nicholas Hoult and comedy writing and directing

Severance in drama series, writing, Adam Scott for best actor, Ben Stiller for drama directing, and the whole cast in supporting.

[almanzarlamarcarlile Joined: Jul 27th, 2020 Topics: 18 Posts: 4023 View Predictions]

#1204753481

With TTB’s PGA nom, the chances of an Andrew upset have gone from 0.5% to 1%!

Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

[Stefania Joined: Feb 22nd, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1360 View Predictions]

#1204753503

Not-really-Cuban Pete aka Bardem is coming for that 5th spot I’m afraid. 😩

[Marcus.H Joined: Oct 21st, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 1060 View Predictions]

#1204753640

I’m the one who thinks BTR is not bad and even I don’t know what Bardem did in that film deserves a nom lol.

Coen-Lynch-Fellini

[Watcher Joined: Jan 3rd, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 263 View Predictions]

#1204753845

Adam Driver getting the Cesar best actor nom for Annette is so well deserved. The film is kinda nuts but his performance was incredible. If he actually wins the Cesar he could be an outside the box passion pick for the fifth Oscar slot, esp given how weak some of the competition for the fifth is.

Also I hope he wins the Cesar because having been nominated for multiple Oscars, GGs, BAFTAs, Tony and Emmys and now Cesar and not a single win is an insanely brutal record for someone that talented. I mean he has a Volpi Cup I guess but, damn.

Amazon is campaigning like crazy for The Ricardos though and isn’t remotely interested in pushing Annette despite it’s 11 Cesar noms. However the Academy is a lot more international now – it’s an outside pick for the fifth slot but I wouldn’t totally write it off.

[Stank83 Joined: Mar 8th, 2020 Topics: 104 Posts: 2089 View Predictions]

#1204753851

If McKay gets the DGA spot, DiCaprio is in.

[Brayfers Joined: Oct 19th, 2018 Topics: 12 Posts: 820 View Predictions]

#1204754596

tick, tick…BOOM! just got PGA and WGA noms and will most likely get a DGA First-Feature nom … looks like Garfield has that Best Picture Nom Anchor!!

ttb haters seethe

Letterboxd: Brayfers

Multi-Grammy Winning Artist - Olivia Rodrigo

!! EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE - OUT NOW !!

[The Northman Joined: Nov 10th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 1630 View Predictions]

#1204754599

All the experts adding Bardem after PGA reveal. 😭

I think the fifth spot is between him and DiCaprio.

[Moviebuff22 Joined: Jan 17th, 2016 Topics: 0 Posts: 232 View Predictions]

#1204754636

Yeah switching back to Leo for 5th spot

[Clement Joined: Jan 12th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 220 View Predictions]

#1204755640

I love how we disagree on a lot of things but we can all agree that Bardem shouldn’t even be in the conversation for the tenth spot

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 77 View Predictions]

#1204755852

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Stank83 Joined: Mar 8th, 2020 Topics: 104 Posts: 2089 View Predictions]

#1204756078

Still 50-50 for the fifth spot, lool.

My guts say DiCaprio, the head says Bardem.

[The Northman Joined: Nov 10th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 1630 View Predictions]

#1204756086

People predict Leo on the heels of DLU being a bigger Best Picture Frontrunner, but honestly if you have seen both DLU and BTR, you get that BTR is a Kidman-Bardem movie, while DLU is an ensemble movie, with that in mind, Leo doesn’t seem as standout or he is not doing something showy like Bardem. DLU has bigger buzz, so yes it is 50-50 for that 5th spot.