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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 11)

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    Ziggiy
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    Nov 25th, 2020
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    #1204752874

    I doubt it. Tick, tick…BOOM! is likely to miss picture. Only twice in the past 15 years has the best actor winner’s picture failed to get nominated, and they were Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart and Forrest Whitaker for The Last King of Scotland. Garfield is great as Larson, and certainly has his passionate fans. He should be safe for his second nomination. He has maybe a 5% to actually win though. I see an elephant in the room that stands in the way of Garfield, Cumberbatch, Bardem, Dinklage, and any other Caucasian contender from winning this year: A certain screen legend just died.

     

     

    The Hilarity of the thought that dead black men could influence voting when Chadwick Boseman couldn’t even win last year lets me know that a large portion of (WHITE) people REALLY have to make up any and every bullshit excuse to be able to rationalize how a black actor could possibly come out victorious.

     

     

    What was your theory on how Sidney Poitier  won his Oscar in 64? Was it an industry wide conspiracy to punish caucasian actors for the murders of Charles Eddie Moore and Henry Dee?

     

     

    How about Denzel in 2002? Let me guess, it was the spirit of Aaliyah who blocked all of those wildly deserving caucasian actors so that Denzel could swoop in and claim victory. Mystery solved!

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    Stank83
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    Mar 8th, 2020
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    #1204752890

    I have a feeling it will be Bardem

    I have a feeling it will be DiCaprio

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    String Cheese Theory
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    Aug 16th, 2020
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    #1204752934

    Yup. But still in the last 15 years, 2/3 of all Best Actress winners were in a Best Picture contender. Marion Cotillard, Meryl Streep, Cate Blanchett, Julianne Moore, Renee Zellweger were the five whose picture missed.

    Now do the men’s stats.

    Bill Hader and Barry in everything (2 babka)
    The Great - Elle Fanning, Nicholas Hoult and comedy writing and directing

    Severance in drama series, writing, Adam Scott for best actor, Ben Stiller for drama directing, and the whole cast in supporting.

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    almanzarlamarcarlile
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    Jul 27th, 2020
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    #1204753481

    With TTB’s PGA nom, the chances of an Andrew upset have gone from 0.5% to 1%!

    Johnny Depp is a wifebeater.

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    Stefania
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    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204753503

    Not-really-Cuban Pete aka Bardem is coming for that 5th spot I’m afraid. 😩

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    Marcus.H
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    Oct 21st, 2017
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    #1204753640

    I’m the one who thinks BTR is not bad and even I don’t know what Bardem did in that film deserves a nom lol.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    Watcher
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    Jan 3rd, 2020
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    #1204753845

    Adam Driver getting the Cesar best actor nom for Annette is so well deserved. The film is kinda nuts but his performance was incredible. If he actually wins the Cesar he could be an outside the box passion pick for the fifth Oscar slot, esp given how weak some of the competition for the fifth is.

    Also I hope he wins the Cesar because having been nominated for multiple Oscars, GGs, BAFTAs, Tony and Emmys and now Cesar and not a single win is an insanely brutal record for someone that talented. I mean he has a Volpi Cup I guess but, damn.

    Amazon is campaigning like crazy for The Ricardos though and isn’t remotely interested in pushing Annette despite it’s 11 Cesar noms. However the Academy is a lot more international now – it’s an outside pick for the fifth slot but I wouldn’t totally write it off.

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    Stank83
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    #1204753851

    If McKay gets the DGA spot, DiCaprio is in.

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    Brayfers
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    Oct 19th, 2018
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    #1204754596

    tick, tick…BOOM! just got PGA and WGA noms and will most likely get a DGA First-Feature nom … looks like Garfield has that Best Picture Nom Anchor!!

    ttb haters seethe

    Letterboxd: Brayfers

    Multi-Grammy Winning Artist - Olivia Rodrigo

    !! EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE - OUT NOW !!

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    The Northman
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    Nov 10th, 2021
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    #1204754599

    All the experts adding Bardem after PGA reveal. 😭

    I think the fifth spot is between him and DiCaprio.

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    Moviebuff22
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    Jan 17th, 2016
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    #1204754636

    Yeah switching back to Leo for 5th spot

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    Clement
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    Jan 12th, 2022
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    #1204755640

    I love how we disagree on a lot of things but we can all agree that Bardem shouldn’t even be in the conversation for the tenth spot

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    #1204755852
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    Stank83
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    #1204756078

    Still 50-50 for the fifth spot, lool.

    My guts say DiCaprio, the head says Bardem.

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    The Northman
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    Nov 10th, 2021
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    #1204756086

    People predict Leo on the heels of DLU being a bigger Best Picture Frontrunner, but honestly if you have seen both DLU and BTR, you get that BTR is a Kidman-Bardem movie, while DLU is an ensemble movie, with that in mind, Leo doesn’t seem as standout or he is not doing something showy like Bardem. DLU has bigger buzz, so yes it is 50-50 for that 5th spot.

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