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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 6)

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    a spoonful of sugar
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    #1204604680

    Just saw House of Gucci and for me the MVP of the movie is Adam Driver as Mauricio Gucci. This came as a huge surprise to me. He is superb in this role and is the only one who plays his role with subtlety. I was also really surprised that he has an equal role to Lady Gaga as Patrizia (I thought the film was more of an ensemble than it actually is, based on what I have read online about it). IDK if he will be nominated but he deserves to be – it’s a much much better performance than Will Smith as Richard Williams and for me is equal to Benedict Cumberbatch’s excellent work in The Power of the Dog. Of course there are several more frontrunners yet to be seen…

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    LA26
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    #1204604717

    I saw HoG. I’m a big Driver fan and have been following his career for years, but he was so forgettable in this film. The only major nomination he could get is the SAG ensemble. Other than that, I’ll be very surprised if he squeezes into the top 5.

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    sarahvsmovies
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    #1204604736

    Some folks just post anything on here.

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    kbc
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    #1204604751

    Well I’d like to think Clifton Collins Jr can get in, but that HoG steamroller is a major threat – Driver is coming(?)

    Was disappointed CCJ didn’t get a Sunset Circle nom? Did LP get any?

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    sarahvsmovies
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    #1204604753

    Well I’d like to think Clifton Collins Jr can get in, but that HoG steamroller is a major threat – Driver is coming(?) Was disappointed CCJ didn’t get a Sunset Circle nom? Did LP get any?

    I …. I genuinely can’t tell if you’re joking 😭

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    a spoonful of sugar
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    #1204604767

    Well I’d like to think Clifton Collins Jr can get in, but that HoG steamroller is a major threat – Driver is coming(?)

    Was disappointed CCJ didn’t get a Sunset Circle nom? Did LP get any?

    Collins and Driver both aren’t happening, though Collins at least might contend with critic groups that more than 7 people pay attention to at least.

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    kbc
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    #1204604794

    I …. I genuinely can’t tell if you’re joking 😭

    Steamrollers happen – we shall see if HoG can barrel its way into many major noms / lots of factors at play – but after BR and Joker can’t be counted out. Passion is a powerful force in awards season.

    I see the strengths and flaws in HoG but only Leto made me want to flee / I can’t even with the idea that that cartoony turn gets nominated. Pacino can stay. 😉

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    sarahvsmovies
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    #1204604911

    Steamrollers happen – we shall see if HoG can barrel its way into many major noms / lots of factors at play – but after BR and Joker can’t be counted out. Passion is a powerful force in awards season. I see the strengths and flaws in HoG but only Leto made me want to flee / I can’t even with the idea that that cartoony turn gets nominated. Pacino can stay. 😉

    I guess I don’t see what suddenly makes you feel like HOG is going to be a steamroller? I think it’s borderline-positive for a BP nom, I do think Gaga has a good path in because she’s pretty universally praised, but outside of that I don’t see above-the-line nominations or much of a passion play. “Box office impact” being somewhat antiquated is a factor, too. Hell Dune — which I endlessly advocate for — did great in BO only by current standards, and I think that and “cultural impact” (however one measures that) is less significant to what I consider its strong nomination chances than the fact that it’s gotten so much industry acclaim and praise. That’s the passion I think matters much more in the current climate. Gucci as a film is clearly divided.  I guess my point in this, the actor thread, being that I think there’s no chance its enough for Driver to coattail. Especially with the most subdued performance in the film.

    If the SCA thing spurred your thoughts on that well, I mean, I’ve posted elsewhere my thoughts on that mess.

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    TrumpBiden
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    #1204604964

    Just saw House of Gucci and for me the MVP of the movie is Adam Driver as Mauricio Gucci. This came as a huge surprise to me. He is superb in this role and is the only one who plays his role with subtlety. I was also really surprised that he has an equal role to Lady Gaga as Patrizia (I thought the film was more of an ensemble than it actually is, based on what I have read online about it). IDK if he will be nominated but he deserves to be – it’s a much much better performance than Will Smith as Richard Williams and for me is equal to Benedict Cumberbatch’s excellent work in The Power of the Dog. Of course there are several more frontrunners yet to be seen…

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    Philip
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    #1204605198

    Just saw Belfast. Jude Hill is coming for a nomination. He’s absolutely BRILLIANT in this film. Right now he’s tied for number 1 for me with Andrew Garfield. WILL SMITH WHO?

    #12 for 2021 SAG Film Award Winners.

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    Rynd_Rawikara
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    #1204605461

    Garfield’s appearance on Colbert has been blowing up on twitter, I honestly think he can make it if Netflix gives him the backing:

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    Hopefully this Colbert appearance will increase Garfield’s exposure and his “likeability” factor, and thus will keep him in voters’ minds.

    Also, the quintet of Cumberbatch-Smith-Washington-DiCaprio-Garfield sounds great to me. I have only seen Garfield’s performance so I won’t talk about who’s deserving/undeserving, but I like this lineup because of how diverse it looks in terms of role/acting style; you got a Shakespeare-an tragedy, a biopic, a musical-biopic, a satirical comedy performance, and a Daniel Plainview-esque imposing character.

    I actually would prefer if DiCaprio is replaced with other actors, simply because I’m a bit tired with him playing a man on the edge of a breakdown. But, the way it looks right now to me, DiCaprio is Top-5.

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    Stefania
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    #1204605579

    Just saw House of Gucci and for me the MVP of the movie is Adam Driver as Mauricio Gucci. This came as a huge surprise to me. He is superb in this role and is the only one who plays his role with subtlety. I was also really surprised that he has an equal role to Lady Gaga as Patrizia (I thought the film was more of an ensemble than it actually is, based on what I have read online about it). IDK if he will be nominated but he deserves to be – it’s a much much better performance than Will Smith as Richard Williams and for me is equal to Benedict Cumberbatch’s excellent work in The Power of the Dog. Of course there are several more frontrunners yet to be seen…

    Let’s say then that you did not enjoy that the movie was so much over the top. You would have preferred a more subtle version of “House of Gucci”, but you didn’t get it.

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    kaziz
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    #1204605585

    Let’s say then that you did not enjoy that the movie was so much over the top. You would have preferred a more subtle version of “House of Gucci”, but you didn’t get it.

    Yep. Fair assessment. Bc it’s obvious it struggles with tone maybe it’s not so surprising that Freeman preferred one of those more than the HIGH CAMP one that others are doing. After all everyone keeps saying everybody is almost in a different movie altogether.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    Aaron Kalloo
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    #1204605746

    I can see the Oscar top 5 looking something like this maybe:

    1. Benedict Cumberbatch

    2. Leonardo Dicaprio

    3. Peter Dinklage

    4. Andrew Garfield

    5. Will Smith

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    TrumpBiden
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    #1204605886

    I can see the Oscar top 5 looking something like this maybe: 1. Benedict Cumberbatch 2. Leonardo Dicaprio 3. Peter Dinklage 4. Andrew Garfield 5. Will Smith

    Lol, Smith has a higher chance at getting nominated than your next 3. It’s between him and Benedict.

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