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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actor (Part 7)

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    Ghost
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    #1204610122

    Will Smith is the frontrunner until otherwise proven.

    We like to look for the Oscar scene, that moment where the actor gets the chance to throw themselves into the arms of raw emotion and show us what they’re made of.

    Will Smith’s Oscar scene lasts 140 minutes. It starts when King Richard starts and ends when King Richard ends. This is a megawatt performance of Movie Star proportions.

    There’s also simply no denying that he has an overdue narrative. He’s not just a household veteran but one of the biggest movie stars of the modern age, and he’s out there campaigning to remind everyone of that. The movie won’t have to blow up the box office for him to win.

    Lol. The hype is already dying for Will Smith and King Richard.

    And if the overdue narrative really mattered, it would have happened by now for Glenn Close. Will Smith is going to be one of those acts that you hype up to win the trophy but probably won’t end up in the top three in the final voting process. King Richard is not a box office hit, nor is it this huge critics favorite either.

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    Foolio
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    #1204610142

    Lol. The hype is already dying for Will Smith and King Richard.

    And if the overdue narrative really mattered, it would have happened by now for Glenn Close. Will Smith is going to be one of those acts that you hype up to win the trophy but probably won’t end up in the top three in the final voting process. King Richard is not a box office hit, nor is it this huge critics favorite either.

    Overdue narrative doesn’t automatically produce a win but it very often does – for every Glenn Close and Lauren Bacall there are numerous examples of overdue actors ending up winning. Hence, Will Smith doesn’t need the movie to be a gangbusters smash to win. And while the first box office receipts have been middling, it’s too early to tell how it will fare in the long run.

    As for critics, King Richard has 76 at MC and 90 at RT. Those numbers are just sunny.

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    Foolio
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    #1204610151

    Frontrunners

    Will Smith, King Richard
    Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
    Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Next in line

    Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
    Andrew Garfield, Tick, Tick… Boom!
    Peter Dinklage, Cyrano

    On the brink

    Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon
    Adam Driver, House of Gucci
    Clifton Collins, Jr., Jockey
    Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley

    Strong possibilities

    Nicolas Cage, Pig
    Simon Rex, Red Rocket

    Possibilities

    Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos
    Cooper Hoffman, Licorice Pizza

    Longer shots

    Adam Driver, Annette
    Oscar Isaac, The Card Counter
    Dev Patel, The Green Knight
    Amir Jadidi, A Hero
    Jude Hill, Belfast
    Timothee Chalamet, Dune

    Theoretical possibilities

    Mahershala Ali, Swan Song
    Matt Damon, Stillwater
    Matt Damon, The Last Duel
    Jonathan Majors, The Harder They Fall
    Filippo Scotti, The Hand of God
    Ansel Elgort, West Side Story

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    kbc
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    #1204610177


    Caleb Landry Jones, Nitram
    Ralph Fiennes, The Forgiven

    Those films are ineligible – not getting a US release this year

    FYC
    Best Picture: Jockey
    Director: Clint Bentley
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr.
    Supporting Actress: Molly Parker
    Supporting Actor: Moises Arias
    Original Screenplay: Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar
    Cinematography: Adolpho Veloso
    Film Editing: Parker Laramie
    Music Score: Aaron & Bryce Dessner

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    FilmRoyalty
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    Oct 5th, 2011
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    #1204613365

    Are we underestimating Simon Rex and Dev Patel?

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    Jan 1st, 1970
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    #1204613373
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Aimerarrow
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    #1204613401

    Predictions:

    1. Will Smith (Winner)

    2. Leonardo Dicaprio

    3. Denzel Washington

    4. Benedict Cumberbatch

    5. Peter Dinklage

     

    I dont see Garfield happening at all.

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    samisimac
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    Nov 23rd, 2021
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    #1204613436

    Will Smith is the frontrunner until otherwise proven. We like to look for the Oscar scene, that moment where the actor gets the chance to throw themselves into the arms of raw emotion and show us what they’re made of. Will Smith’s Oscar scene lasts 140 minutes. It starts when King Richard starts and ends when King Richard ends. This is a megawatt performance of Movie Star proportions. There’s also simply no denying that he has an overdue narrative. He’s not just a household veteran but one of the biggest movie stars of the modern age, and he’s out there campaigning to remind everyone of that. The movie won’t have to blow up the box office for him to win.

     

    There is no narrative for “Will Smith” to be late in winning an Oscar, unlike Glenn Close who has a brilliant filmography and career, Smith has a lot of mediocre films and average performances, I don’t think the AMPAs think he is an actor in need Urgently winning an Oscar, Smith has more appeal of being a superstar bringing an audience with a bait film than some veteran who has been snubbed and who needs to win an Oscar.

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    FilmRoyalty
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    #1204613476

    Will Smith is a SUPERSTAR. He has many great films. Also, many Blockbusters.

    Outside of Dalmatians and Fatal Attraction, what does Glenn Close have. 6 out of her 8 Oscar nods were for movies no one knows. Her filmography is far more mediocre than Smith’s.

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    James Gibson
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    Jul 8th, 2012
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    #1204613480

    Will Smith is far more mediocre actor than Glenn tho. Including in King Richard where he is overshadowed by every cast member.

    FYC: Memoria and House of Gucci for Best Picture

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    Aimerarrow
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    #1204613490

    Will Smith is far more mediocre actor than Glenn tho. Including in King Richard where he is overshadowed by every cast member.

    This. Obviously it wasn’t the case since he was the father, but he was overshadowed so much it somettmes felt that he wasn’t even needed in the film.

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    JV
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    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1204613777

    Ethan Hawke raving about Peter Dinklage in his Oscar speech. Actors do really love him.

    He might be coming after all

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    Chitanda170
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    #1204613781

    Ethan Hawke raving about Peter Dinklage in his Oscar speech. Actors do really love him.

    He might be coming after all

    Oscar speech?

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    JV
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    #1204613786

    Oscar speech?

    Gotham speech 🤦

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    Ghost
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    Sep 27th, 2011
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    #1204614002

    Will Smith is a SUPERSTAR. He has many great films. Also, many Blockbusters.

    Outside of Dalmatians and Fatal Attraction, what does Glenn Close have. 6 out of her 8 Oscar nods were for movies no one knows. Her filmography is far more mediocre than Smith’s.

    Will Smith has plenty of bad movies as well. Nobody is doubting Will’s box office pull (for the most part, of course), but which of those movies deserved any type of Oscar recognition? Independence Day? Men In Black? Bad Boys? Aladdin? Lol. I guess we are going to start saying that Dwayne Johnson is worthy of Oscar recognition, right?

    And besides, Glenn’s EIGHT Oscar nominations easily trump Will’s two. Not to mention, her Emmy and Tony wins. Don’t disrespect Glenn like that. Accept the fact that Will Smith will NOT win the Oscar in a few months.

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