July 3, 2021 at 11:37 am #1204328231
*-could go for Supporting
1. Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth
2. Adam Driver – House of Gucci/The Last Duel*/Annette (unless all 3 flop, which is very much possible, I’m quite sure he’s getting in for one of them)
3. Benedict Cumberbatch – Power of the Dog
4. Bradley Cooper – Nightmare Alley
5. Will Smith – King Richard
6. Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up
7. Christian Bale/John David Washington – Canterbury Glass (not sure which is the lead and which is the co-lead that drops in supporting and sweeps)
8. Peter Dinklage – Cyrano
9. Michael Fassbender – Next Goal Wins (is that even coming out this year)
10. Clifton Collins Jr. – Jockey
11. Jason Isaacs – Mass*
12. Oscar Isaac – The Card Counter
13. Justin Chon – Blue Bayou
14. Michael B. Jordan – A Journal for Jordan
15. Park Hae-il – Decision to Leave* (hopefully Youn’s win has opened the doors for more Asian actors to get in)
Emmys FYC: Jean Smart.July 3, 2021 at 11:45 am #1204328247
Okay so this is dull and boring just listing our predix. How about we discuss!
Topic: Is Bradley Cooper going to miss a la Robert De Niro for the Irishman? They just seem sooo comparable.
Cooper is incredibly baity whereas De Niro wasn’t, and Cooper has been more consistent/present with the academy in recent years than De Niro has been throughout his career so no, they aren’t really comparable.July 3, 2021 at 11:47 am #1204328255
Cooper is incredibly baity whereas De Niro wasn’t, and Cooper has been more consistent/present with the academy in recent years than De Niro has been throughout his career so no, they aren’t really comparable.
Maybe when Cooper has been through 2 decades of mostly sh*tty rom-coms in his filmography we can start talking about snubs
Emmys FYC: Jean Smart.July 3, 2021 at 12:03 pm #1204328285
Depending on how Annette is received, I can also see Adam Driver going through critically acclaimed route but I still think the movie is “too weird” for the Academy’s standards.
It very likely will be but as I mentioned in my post from listening to the selected soundtrack that was released yesterday my expectations for Driver in this role are very high.
And he also has House of Gucci, which while not a straightforward biopic does kind of fulfil that criteria as everyone in it is/was a real person.July 3, 2021 at 5:48 pm #1204328594
1—Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
2—Adam Driver, Annette
3—Oscar Isaac, The Card Counter
4—Will Smith, King Richard
5—Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Unless it’s Dunst who’s going to breakout and win from The Power of the Dog (like Stone from La La Land or JLaw from SLP), I think this is Cumberbatch’s to lose. The role is just too good. That being said, Denzel Washington feels due for his 3rd & Adam Driver just keeps on having a fab career so…I dunno. Cooper/DiCaprio/Dinklage could sneak in but these feel like safe predictions.
Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse PlemonsJuly 4, 2021 at 12:56 am #1204328773
SUPER EARLY PREDICTIONS
Christian Bale, Canterbury Glass
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Adam Driver, House of Gucci
Will Smith, King Richard
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of MacbethJuly 4, 2021 at 1:23 am #1204328781
<p style=”text-align: left;”>Even if Annette ends up being too weird, I still hope Driver can get in for Best Actor. I’d rather he get nominated for an original musical like Annette, instead of a typical Oscar friendly film like House of Gucci. Also: Carax did an interview where he talked about the characters in detail, and he pretty much spoiled the film’s ending and what happens.</p>July 4, 2021 at 9:59 am #1204328919
My money is on Will vs Denzel. But I could see Benedict being competitive for the win tooJuly 4, 2021 at 10:50 am #1204328949
July 2021 Predictions Best Actor:
Michael Fassbender – Next Goal Wins
Christian Bale – Canterbury Glass
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog
Amir Jahidi – A Hero
Ralph Fiennes – The Forgiven
Best Picture: Nightmare Alley
Best Director: Denis Villeneuve, Dune
Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Best Supporting Actress: Toni Collette
Best Supporting Actor: Jason Isaacs
Bes Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in The WorldJuly 4, 2021 at 2:10 pm #1204329227
Clifton Collins, Jr. is one of those unsung actors who deserves mainstream recognition. Hopefully Jockey does things for him this awards season. It sounds like a baity role.July 4, 2021 at 2:39 pm #1204329247This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.July 4, 2021 at 3:25 pm #1204329285
He is coming:
"THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
"SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
"SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
"TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
"FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
"LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production DesignJuly 4, 2021 at 6:10 pm #1204329524
It very likely will be but as I mentioned in my post from listening to the selected soundtrack that was released yesterday my expectations for Driver in this role are very high. And he also has House of Gucci, which while not a straightforward biopic does kind of fulfil that criteria as everyone in it is/was a real person.
I somehow struggle to see Driver winning for House Of Gucci. I feel like him, Bale and DiCaprio are all pretty obvious predictions for nominations, but it’s impossible for me to see any of them winning. I think it’s probably because I feel like Gucci is going to have a showier performance from Gaga…
I feel like Washington and Smith are in films that are pretty much being set-up for them to get a Best Actor Oscar. However, I can see Washington suffering from the early frontrunner plague, because, on paper, he’s the obvious winner here. I could, also, see a reality where King Richard ends up not being terribly good, which stops any real chance of Smith winning – and it’s not going to be a Bohemian Rhapsody or Joker where it’s divisive but gets great box office (I don’t think there is much desire for a film where Will Smith plays the father/couch of two of the most famous sportswomen in the world…). I think Cumberbatch is possible for a win, but only if the film ends up being a hit, which is far from a guarantee where Jane Campion is concerned. If it becomes a Best Picture frontrunner, then it’s very easy to see Cumberbatch winning. I think a situation where Bradley Cooper wins for Nightmare Alley is, also, plausible. The film revolves around his character and it’s the kind of deep-dive role, more along the lines of Silver Linings Playbook and A Star Is Born… There’s, also, his 4 prior nominations, which gives him ammunition for a campaign saying it’s “his time”, as they say. All the same, it’s eminently possible he wins in Supporting for Soggy Bottom where he’s playing what appears to be a somewhat intense film director or he could win the year after this for Maestro, where he’s, in blunt terms, playing a closeted homosexual.
On the whole, at the moment, they’re the only four that I think have “Win Potential”, although I am more than willing to be proven wrong lol.
A very annoying young man, who loves cinema. 🙂
Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/11higuys/July 4, 2021 at 6:42 pm #1204329537
I somehow struggle to see Driver winning for House Of Gucci. I feel like him, Bale and DiCaprio are all pretty obvious predictions for nominations, but it’s impossible for me to see any of them winning. I think it’s probably because I feel like Gucci is going to have a showier performance from Gaga
I think Gaga could end up overshadowing Driver in HoG.
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