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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actor

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    Music Forever
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    #1204373207

    The Green Knight isn’t the most accessible film. But Dev Patel is absolutely sensational. An Oscar nod will probably never happen but hopefully he picks up traction at some critics awards.

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    Watcher
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    #1204373264

    Why are people taking Driver out? He’s a major part of the movie and is co-lead. The trailer is Gaga focused for obvious marketing reasons. They could in theory drop him to supporting later for category fraud purposes, but I think it’s wrong to assume he’s not a co-lead based on the trailer. He has several big emotional and angry Oscar bait scenes in the film.

     

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    schmids
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    #1204373271

    Why are people taking Driver out? He’s a major part of the movie and is co-lead. The trailer is Gaga focused for obvious marketing reasons. They could in theory drop him to supporting later for category fraud purposes, but I think it’s wrong to assume he’s not a co-lead based on the trailer. He has several big emotional and angry Oscar bait scenes in the film.

    That’s why people are taking him out, because they’re assuming based on the trailer that he doesn’t have as big a role as they thought. But he for sure does – the trailer just has none of the actual plot in it.

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    mateil
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    #1204373280

    That’s why people are taking him out, because they’re assuming based on the trailer that he doesn’t have as big a role as they thought. But he for sure does – the trailer just has none of the actual plot in it.

    I actually took him out cause I think they might move him to supporting. Anyway look at the trailers of films that were nominated for both lead acting categroies and see if you spot the difference between those and House of Gucci.

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    Watcher
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    #1204373291

    I actually took him out cause I think they might move him to supporting. Anyway look at the trailers of films that were nominated for both lead acting categroies and see if you spot the difference between those and House of Gucci.

    I get that it’s a Gaga heavy marketing campaign, but that’s pretty obviously a tactic rather than a reflection of actual screen time and role in the story of Adam’s character. But yeah I’m sure they’ll consider the option to push to supporting if it makes sense in the field. I just wouldn’t take him out yet based on the trailer.

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    schmids
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    #1204373293

    I actually took him out cause I think they might move him to supporting. Anyway look at the trailers of films that were nominated for both lead acting categroies and see if you spot the difference between those and House of Gucci.

    That’s my point – the trailer doesn’t actually say anything about his role, there are no actual scenes in it (presumably because it isn’t finished) and that’s why people are taking him out or moving him to supporting. He’s not supporting – the film has significantly beefed up Gaga’s role (making her the narrator) but the book is about Maurizio.

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    schmids
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    #1204373316

    Was it confirmed that A24 doesn’t plan to do much with The Humans or still a rumour? Seems unusual that they wouldn’t want to build on Yeun’s run last year.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204373393

    I’d be surprised if Driver was moved to supporting for HoG cause they will want to have Leto in there unchallenged.  Transformation is being buzzed about since the trailer dropped and that’s exactly a kind of role that AMPAS loves in supporting – unrecognizable OTT scene stealer.  Also, it isn’t like MGM has someone else to push in Lead, right?

    That said I’m most confident in Cumberbatch (baity baity) and Smith (crowd pleaser, real life figure). Will see about the rest.

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    JV
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    #1204373400

    Was it confirmed that A24 doesn’t plan to do much with The Humans or still a rumour? Seems unusual that they wouldn’t want to build on Yeun’s run last year.

    Unless they changed it from the play, Yeun’s role is not a big deal and he is Supporting.

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    #1204373410
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    loudtoilet
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    #1204373434

    Category placement =/= nomination. I’ve no clue who Gucci people were except photos comparing Gaga to Patrizia. I’m just saying that Leto is a stronger candidate for supporting and Driver so why split the support on 2 or 3 if they push Paccino too?  I’d say Leto is definitely in in supporting. Looks great.

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    fefface
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    #1204373468

    Category placement =/= nomination. I’ve no clue who Gucci people were except photos comparing Gaga to Patrizia. I’m just saying that Leto is a stronger candidate for supporting and Driver so why split the support on 2 or 3 if they push Paccino too? I’d say Leto is definitely in in supporting. Looks great.

    The person above (schmids) I’m pretty sure has read the book? So unless part of Gaga being bumped into Lead involves her being given some of Driver’s material them saying it’s about Driver’s character is enough for me to keep him in Lead for now. And you’re right – why would they campaign their male lead in Supporting when they have Leto, Pacino and Irons there already?

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    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    loudtoilet
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    #1204373546

    It’s impossible for Driver to be a non-factor in those movies since he has a pivotal role in both. You can argue that he’s gonna suck or that neither role is awards friendly or that everyone will upstage him but non-factor? That’s Poe Dameron-like role, a total marginal that you can remove and nobody would notice. You can’t remove Maurizio or TLD guy.

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    Stank83
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    #1204373584

    1. Will Smith (King Richard)

    2. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of The Dog)

    3. Leonardo DiCaprio (Don’t Look Up)

    4. Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)

    5. Adam Driver (Annette/House of Gucci)

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