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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 15)

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204473662

    Given Corrin not winning for one of the most buzzed about breakthroughs or Rodriguez not having a historical win (which people are likely to get even more upset about considering how white the overall acting Emmy winners were), or even the notion of Moss being a more deserving winner that some will feel, is it possible that Colman’s Emmy win sparks some kind of backlash against her?

    Backlash repercussion for her awards chance is not existent unless she made xenophobic/racist statements

     

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204473664

    Given Corrin not winning for one of the most buzzed about breakthroughs or Rodriguez not having a historical win (which people are likely to get even more upset about considering how white the overall acting Emmy winners were), or even the notion of Moss being a more deserving winner that some will feel, is it possible that Colman’s Emmy win sparks some kind of backlash against her?

    Yeah no. People said Frances 3rd acting Oscar this year defeating narratives and other performances would hurt her career and cause backlash against her. Hint: It won’t.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

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    JGibson
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    #1204473728

    People (including me) not wanting Olivia to win another Oscar doesn’t make her chances slim in a bit. This narrative thing is something y’all manufacture in these forums and don’t impact a campaign unless in very specific circumstances. Olivia has the best distributor of the our era in an acclaimed movie that probably will find its audience in the academy. That’s what’s needed. Not Fallon or Kimmel interviews or SNL skit, unless they go actively viral and draw public to the movie.

    So all in all, she’s fine. And Netflix will sure use the Emmy win in SOME advantage once The Lost Daughter campaign starts. But that wasn’t really needed.

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    musterd
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    Jul 11th, 2011
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    #1204473744

    Given Corrin not winning for one of the most buzzed about breakthroughs or Rodriguez not having a historical win (which people are likely to get even more upset about considering how white the overall acting Emmy winners were), or even the notion of Moss being a more deserving winner that some will feel, is it possible that Colman’s Emmy win sparks some kind of backlash against her?

    Why would there be a backlash against her when she has not been campaigning? Maybe if she was overexposed in the media, but she’s one of the most private individuals in the industry. Also, she won by peer voting; they must like her on some level lol.

    There will be backlash against the voting base for lazy sweep voting but i think there’s understanding that the actors here don’t have much control over the voting.

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    Rachel615
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    #1204473775

    Backlash repercussion for her awards chance is not existent unless she made xenophobic/racist statements

    And of course, she didn’t– in fact, she ended her acceptance speech by yelling, “Michaela Coel, fuck YEAH!!!”  but was bleeped on the broadcast.  I was also struck that I think she was one of the only people during the entire event to mention COVID in her acceptance remarks; she was near tears in explaining that she wished her father could see this before noting that she lost him earlier this year to COVID.

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    AwardsBait3818
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    Dec 3rd, 2015
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    #1204473788

    Best Actress

    Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
    Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
    Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Kristen Stewart, Spencer

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    Lil Tony
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    Sep 17th, 2018
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    #1204473877

    Hun you know that win was NOT it.. you rooted for Emma all season for a reason.

    Wolfali hops around any winning contender. If Chastain manages to win, watch her jump into the Chastain train. She did it all through last season. Lol

    Laga Gaga's BIGGEST FAN

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    Rich Thot
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    #1204473910

    Best Actress Caitriona Balfe, Belfast Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter Kristen Stewart, Don’t Look Up

    No non-white contenders, all English language contenders. Don’t see that happening.

    Also, there isn’t gonna be any Olivia Colman “backlash”. A handful of people complaining in a forum don’t mean much. There wasn’t even any hubbub about her win in the wretched Twitter-verse.

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    Diogo Duarte
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    #1204474005

    Frances McDormand
    Hillary Swank
    jodie foster
    Jane Fonda
    Glenda Jackson
    Liz Taylor
    Kate Hepburn

    all actresses who won a second Oscar in Lead in “recent years” (except Meryl) was in Best Picture nominees. So…unless Lost Daughter miraculously becomes a top2 contender for Netflix, I’m not going to predict Olivia winning just because she has “raves reviews” or “industry love her so much”. The Lost Daughter was very divisive (even in Venice) with audience and will only be released in the last day of the year on Netflix.

    And like I said, this was Olivia’s first Emmy lol the overreaction.

    Corrin lost SAG for Gillian and Colman had already won the Golden Globe for season 3. People probably overreacted about the real chances of MJ Rodriguez doing something like Zendaya and the race was really between Colman and Corrin. A surprise win, of course, but Foy won twice playing Elisabeth too and she’s the lead in the biggest series of the night.

    also, if awarding Olivia was so irresistible, she would have already won for The Father. Sorry. The Father was strong on Oscar night, nominated for Best Picture and Olivia had lost the SAG for The Favourite. A SAG win for The Father would be natural for someone so “loved”.

    So I don’t really understand the overreaction, as if “rewarding Olivia is something natural, undeniable, we can’t underestimate her”. C’mon

    But yes. she is very respected. If her next movie with Sam Mendes is a Top3 Best Picture contender, I don’t doubt her win a second one. But The Lost Daughter is not the right vehicle for this happen.

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    Victor Cruz
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    #1204474019

    Colman was the least deserving in that Drama Actress category. A joke really lmao.

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204474080

    Hun you know that win was NOT it.. you rooted for Emma all season for a reason.

    Darling when will this site ever learn that just because one may have their own personal favourite it doesn’t mean everyone else in the category is trash lmao.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "FLEE" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design

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    zordon
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    Jul 16th, 2014
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    #1204474087

    Best Actress

    Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
    Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
    Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Kristen Stewart, Don’t Look Up

    Girl, you confused Spencer and Don’t Look Up.

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    mateil
    Joined:
    Aug 23rd, 2017
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    #1204474097

    Guys, it’s time to stop. At this point it’s really embarassing to think that Chastain can win over two raved performances in Best Picture nominees. It’s Stewart or Colman.  The former seems likelier considering the role.

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    veronikavoss
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    Jul 28th, 2011
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    #1204474125

    also, if awarding Olivia was so irresistible, she would have already won for The Father. Sorry. The Father was strong on Oscar night, nominated for Best Picture and Olivia had lost the SAG for The Favourite. A SAG win for The Father would be natural for someone so “loved”.

    No one was realistically beating Youn in Minari, just a perfect prototypical supporting actress role with diverse appeal (it was actually pretty easy to see her win coming from Sundance but I understand why some were not so confident in her film’s chances). But Olivia was definitely ahead of someone like Bakalova and Close (again), probably the runner-up even though some people were doubting her chances last year for a nomination for not having enough screentime (and occasionally some still bitter betties trying to project backlash/fatigue or whatever).

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    FreemanGriffin
    Joined:
    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #1204474141

    Current predictions:

    Catriona Balfe, Belfast
    Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
    Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
    Jennifer Hudson, Respect
    Kristen Stewart, Spencer

    I am thinking Jessica Chastain might miss yet again – she constantly has come in 6-8 since 2012’s Zero Dark Thirty, her second nomination in two years back then (The Help was her first for Supporting Actress). Her performance is terrific but the film isn’t strong enough.

    Penelope Cruz, Nicole Kidman, and Frances McDormand (too soon for her and not a strong enough film) are still possibilities too.

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