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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 2)

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    Donnna
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    #1204370282

    AW believes Kirsten Dunst will go supporting in their new Best Actress article just released.

    https://awardswatch.com/2022-oscar-predictions-best-actress-july/

    Good. She is guaranteed a nom there. The ba line up looks weak this year too…last strong line up was when Colman won.

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    Igor Alves
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    #1204370284

    Gaga is an Oscar winner and best actress nominee in a baity movie by a director with a great history at Oscars. Spencer’s director is loved too but not as much as Ridley Scott. Gaga is stronger till KStew actually wins Volpi.

    You talk as if Ridley Scott isn’t one of the most inconsistent directors out there, nice try lol

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    schmids
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    #1204370291

    I think she’s the first American Actress, someone said that on here the other day

    Yeah Adrien Brody has one.

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    Donnna
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    #1204370299

    You talk as if Ridley Scott isn’t one of the most inconsistent directors out there, nice try lol

    I agree. Ridley Scott is very likely to fail. But why not trust Scott and academy award best actress nominee Gaga over director of Jackie and KStew who has yet to receive any awards love in Us.

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    schmids
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    #1204370301

    AW believes Kirsten Dunst will go supporting in their new Best Actress article just released. https://awardswatch.com/2022-oscar-predictions-best-actress-july/

    Interesting! I wonder who he heard it from.

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    2021ravenclaw1
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    #1204370329

    Doubtful. One is playing Princess Diana and has the chance to win Volpi and potentially have a BAFTA advantage like many of the most recent years. The other is playing someone not as well-known who probably won’t win much at all and could easily be snubbed by the jury (tho Stewart could too, but that’s honestly something I doubt)

    I agree that Stewart has an advantage over Gaga at the BAFTAs, but at the Oscars Stewart getting nominated would shock me.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204370338

    I agree that Stewart has an advantage over Gaga at the BAFTAs, but at the Oscars Stewart getting nominated would shock me.

    Natalie Portman got in for Jackie and that also got Costumes and Score, so I don’t think it’s that crazy personally

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    Igor Alves
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    #1204370350

    I agree. Ridley Scott is very likely to fail. But why not trust Scott and academy award best actress nominee Gaga over director of Jackie and KStew who has yet to receive any awards love in Us.

    Unlike Scott, Pablo Larrain is very consistent and all his films have good reviews. His only misfire is a tv show.  And Stewart has already won big critics awards in the U.S.

    But to be clear, I think it’s silly this discussion of who is stronger than who when all films are unseen. I just think it’s absurd to pretend someone is safe for a Scott film.

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    Diamond Tier
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    #1204370357

    I agree that Stewart has an advantage over Gaga at the BAFTAs, but at the Oscars Stewart getting nominated would shock me.

    Stewart getting in anywhere would be shocking. It’s the flat wig for me. Sis is giving DIane Sawyer & NOT Princess DIana.

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    gorman
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    #1204370364

    I think my current top 5 is:

    1. Cruz, Parallel Mothers

    2. Chastain, Eyes of Tammy Faye

    3. Gaga, House of Gucci

    4. McDormand, Tragedy of Macbeth

    5. Hudson, Respect

    I see Stewart basically on a level-pegging with those six and she could win if she nails it. I think she has better winning odds than Gaga and McDormand by a margin if the film is a hit, but is less likely to get a nom if that makes sense. It seems to me like a performance and narrative that critic circles will really get behind if the performance is good, so she might have a route in there.

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    Donnna
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    #1204370373

    Unlike Scott, Pablo Larrain is very consistent and all his films have good reviews. His only misfire is a tv show. And Stewart has already won big critics awards in the U.S.

    But to be clear, I think it’s silly this discussion of who is stronger than who when all films are unseen. I just think it’s absurd to pretend someone is safe for a Scott film.

    Gaga is a top contender for me till more movies with lead actress contenders release. Kristen too but atp I put Gaga over her. Jhuds movie is likely getting panned.
    The Gucci trailer can’t come soon enough.

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    gorman
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    #1204370384

    Stewart getting in anywhere would be shocking. It’s the flat wig for me. Sis is giving DIane Sawyer & NOT Princess DIana.  

    I wouldn’t judge a performance from a still image to be fair.

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    Igor Alves
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    #1204370396

    Gaga is a top contender for me till more movies with lead actress contenders release. Kristen too but atp I put Gaga over her. Jhuds movie is likely getting panned. The Gucci trailer can’t come soon enough.

    Fair enough, I think we can honestly make a case for anyone when the race hasn’t started and all films are unseen.

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    George Ehret
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    #1204370401

    1. Kristen Stewart – Spencer

    2. Cate Blanchett – Nightmare Alley

    3. Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    4. Jennifer Hudson – Respect

    5. Lady Gaga – House of Gucci

    I could see Hudson or Gaga missing but I don’t have a reason to leave them out for now. Winning two years in a row is extremely difficult, so I don’t see McDormand taking it. That leaves Blanchett and Stewart. Blanchett could happen as her role is apparently baitty as hell. The big thing though is that Nightmare Alley smells like The Irishman/Trial of the Chicago 7 to me where it starts out as an early frontrunner and gets a solid nomination haul but ultimately doesn’t win anything. I think Blanchett is probably the film’s best shot at winning anything. I’ve already explained why Stewart is my frontrunner multiple times, and I think so long as she delivers she’s gonna be in the conversation (and seriously, do NOT underestimate her having a BAFTA advantage in a Colman/Close situation it happens too often to not consider it)

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    Diamond Tier
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    #1204370405

    I wouldn’t judge a performance from a still image to be fair.

    I’m judging Kristen Stewart’s inability to convey charisma, uniqueness, nerve, or talent. Homegirl can’t act. And non-delusional people are supposed to buy her as an Oscar frontrunner let alone a nominee? It’s rather silly.

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