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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 2)

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    George Ehret
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    #1204372186

    Exactlyyy! What part of that trailer screams Oscar? I mean the same Academy that voted for movies like Minari, Judas, PYW last year is going to vote this in for Best Picture??

    Exactly I cannot see it. It would have to be a critical hit for it to have a chance

    FYC
    Dune in All Categories (esp. Director, Score, Sound, and Visual Effects)
    Spencer in All Categories (esp. Actress, Cinematography, and Costume Design)
    The Worst Person in the World in All Categories (esp. Original Screenplay and International Feature)
    Flee in All Categories (esp. Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, and International Feature)
    The Power of the Dog in All Categories (esp. Actor and Adapted Screenplay)

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    George Ehret
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    #1204372191

    Also, I can officially confirm that Being the Ricardos is next year. They just finished filming not too long ago and they need time in post

    FYC
    Dune in All Categories (esp. Director, Score, Sound, and Visual Effects)
    Spencer in All Categories (esp. Actress, Cinematography, and Costume Design)
    The Worst Person in the World in All Categories (esp. Original Screenplay and International Feature)
    Flee in All Categories (esp. Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, and International Feature)
    The Power of the Dog in All Categories (esp. Actor and Adapted Screenplay)

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    James Gibson
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    #1204372410

    Her birthday is the next day. Omg she has to win!!

    the stars aligning

    FYC: Memoria and House of Gucci for Best Picture

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    kaziz
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    #1204372424

    Awards watch article. I do find the guy trustworthy. Most of his inside scoop has been true.

    He said probably. Netflix probably hasn’t decided where they’re going to campaign Dunst yet. It would be stupid to, because if she wins Volpi it makes no sense to put her in supporting.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    fefface
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    #1204372441

    He said probably. Netflix probably hasn’t decided where they’re going to campaign Dunst yet. It would be stupid to, because if she wins Volpi it makes no sense to put her in supporting.

    If she has a Supporting role with a Supporting amount of screen time, she will almost certainly not win the Volpi. I know you’ve read it and say based on the book she’s borderline, but there must be something in it if the studio are saying Supporting (and at such an early stage before we really know where her better chance is).

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    boredandricho (they/them)
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    #1204372445

    I’m not a believer in this movie for Best Picture. It looks like a complete wacko mess and could honestly be terrible. Gaga has no chance at winning for this

    thank you!!! she will be a filler nominee in best case scenario

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204372447

    Just because YOUR favourite doesn’t get in it becomes fraudulent? Last year BAFTA’s had the best nominees and helped in bringing underseen movies to the limelight. What do you think Awards are about? It shouldn’t be about awarding the same people over and over again. I love that this system prevents actors like Judi Dench, Maggie Smith (whom I love but are totally over-nominated) from getting nominated over and over again. It matters that actors like Wunmi, Bukky, Radha Blank get recognized. Especially when their movies are so original. Awards should never be a popularity contest.

    Well none of them won. Infact, BAFTA has never rewarded a POC in best actress. No need for the jury thing if it’s not going to result in diverse wins.

    Laga Gaga's BIGGEST FAN

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    boredandricho (they/them)
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    #1204372453

    Her birthday is the next day. Omg she has to win!!

    the reaching

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    kaziz
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    #1204372456

    Stans are annoying but haters are worse so ima try not to be one as much as possible lol. I think Gaga can get a nod, but awards look different now that the GG’s aren’t happening and there’s a BAFTA jury system. She could very easily get in, she could also not. She’s no different to any other contender right now: we need to see the film. All I can say is that HoG is not some big BP/13 noms contender, the trailer nixed that idea for me. The last film anywhere near this campy was Nine. It wasn’t THAT campy, it even had DDL and was widely discredited for being substance-less. Good campy films aren’t easy to make — otherwise Ryan Murphy would have the most Oscars. Critics are always looking for what the campiness is trying to show us about characters. Tim Burton’s pretty campy e.g.

    We tend to think of camp as just glam nonsense but some of the most celebrated directors in the world invented camp. Camp is not a black comedy. And it’s rare for the Oscars. If the Oscars liked camp, Carol Burnett, Johnny Depp and Lily Tomlin would’ve won 3 Oscars by now. Think Rocky Horror, Death Becomes Her, Clue. HoG seems to be going for a witty, glam campiness mixed with drama, I just can’t think of the last time that went well. Not to be confused with satire either.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    kaziz
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    #1204372478

    People have mentioned this before but how “weird” is Spencer gonna be? I know the ghost of Anne Boleyn is in it but apart from that. What if it’s…if it is not a drama prestige film, what is it?

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons, Andre Holland, Troy Kotsur, Richard Jenkins, Reed Birney

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    schmids
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    #1204372480

    Stans are annoying but haters are worse so ima try not to be one as much as possible lol. I think Gaga can get a nod, but awards look different now that the GG’s aren’t happening and there’s a BAFTA jury system. She could very easily get in, she could also not. She’s no different to any other contender right now: we need to see the film. All I can say is that HoG is not some big BP/13 noms contender, the trailer nixed that idea for me. The last film anywhere near this campy was Nine. It wasn’t THAT campy, it even had DDL and was widely discredited for being substance-less. Good campy films aren’t easy to make — otherwise Ryan Murphy would have the most Oscars. Critics are always looking for what the campiness is trying to show us about characters.

    That trailer contained basically zero content so I do think it’s early to write it off completely. It was pure marketing.

    RE: camp, there is absolutely no way to tell this story without leaning all the way in to camp – these people did such outrageous shit to each other that some of it would seem ridiculous if played completely straight. That said, there is a lot of emotional substance to the story as well – how much of it the film gives us remains to be seen of course.

    Gaga’s role is very showy. Driver’s drives (no pun intended) the plot.

     

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    schmids
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    #1204372488

    New clip from Respect.

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    FilmRoyalty
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    #1204372494

    I am looking forward to this. I may have to stay off this forum during award season.

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    crabbie
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    Feb 26th, 2021
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    #1204372500

    Wow Respect looks very crowd pleasing and Hudson looks great. Her singing does most of the work but the acting branch will conflate her vocals to acting. Hudson is getting in for sure.

    Michelle Williams Oscar campaign manager.

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Spencer
    Director: Jane Campion, Pablo Larraín
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Kristen Stewart
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Anya Taylor-Joy, Rebecca Ferguson
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Original Screenplay: Spencer
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Cinematography: The Power of the Dog, Spencer, Last Night in Soho

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