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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 21)

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    James Gibson
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    Jul 8th, 2012
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    #1204544168

    I’m predicting Gaga, but LOL after watching a trailer ? Lol. If it only he had watched the actual movie instead.

    Probably a publicist called him and told him to give this “tea”

    Y’all read too much into it. He just saw the trailer and got excited.

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    kbc
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    #1204544185

    I saw “Spencer” tonight and while I was quite impressed with Stewart, the film is a big plodding bore. This was a SAG/PGA screening and the audience seemed to agree with tepid response to the film. However, Stewart (and the costumes) did generate decent applause and she was likable at the Q&A afterwards. It’s some of the best work I’ve seen her do and she absolutely and deservedly will be nominated.

    Always appreciate insightful guild-screening takes. Thank you! This seems to square with some pundits’ pointing to a so far divisive response among industryites to Spencer in general, but one that seems to be usually warm regarding Kristen Stewart‘s performance. I do trust that Neon, while keeping its other contenders such as Titane, Flee and The Worst Person in the World clearly on deck, shall marshal all its resources to thread the needle and provide Stewart with its most powerful awards push even as more reviews come in with potentially variable takes on the overall quality of Pablo Larrain‘s film (shades of Jackie?).

    FYC
    Best Picture: "Showing Up" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
    Best Director: Kelly Reichardt; Luca Guadagnino
    Best Actress: Michelle Williams; Taylor Russell
    Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet
    Best Supporting Actress: Hong Chau, Heather Lawless, Amanda Plummer; Chloe Sevigny
    Best Supporting Actor: Judd Hirsch, Andre Benjamin, John Magaro; Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
    Best Original Screenplay: Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond
    Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich

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    FilmRoyalty
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    Oct 5th, 2011
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    #1204544199

    Jodie Comer is getting in at SAG.

    I actually predict the actors to vote for The Last Duel in multiple categories.

    Outstand Cast
    Outstanding Lead Actress
    Outstanding Lead/Support Actor
    Outstanding Stunt Team

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    LA26
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    Apr 3rd, 2021
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    #1204544201

    Jodie Comer is getting in at SAG. I actually predict the actors to vote for The Last Duel in multiple categories. Outstand Cast Outstanding Lead Actress Outstanding Lead/Support Actor Outstanding Stunt Team

    Truly unbelievable how so many are obsessed with excluding her and the film from any awards conversations. I know it didn’t do well at the BO, but I don’t think that should matter more than her performance. The reviews for her film are way more positive than some of the films with actresses some pundits still have in the top 5.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204544216

    Truly unbelievable how so many are obsessed with excluding her and the film from any awards conversations. I know it didn’t do well at the BO, but I don’t think that should matter more than her performance. The reviews for her film are way more positive than some of the films with actresses some pundits still have in the top 5.

    This is true and it also means that, since pundits wrote her off, she needs critic and/or industry backing. So crirics awards, precursors defying the punditry. Not an easy task. Critics are more likely to back up someone in an artier movie, possibly one of the Frenchies.

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204544273

    I saw “Spencer” tonight and while I was quite impressed with Stewart, the film is a big plodding bore. This was a SAG/PGA screening and the audience seemed to agree with tepid response to the film. However, Stewart (and the costumes) did generate decent applause and she was likable at the Q&A afterwards. It’s some of the best work I’ve seen her do and she absolutely and deservedly will be nominated. However, I doubt she will win. The film is gonna tank with regular audiences, and critics will likely be its salvation…. Comparing her to the other industry in-person screenings/Q&A’s I’ve been to, both Chastain and Hudson had much better receptions (and again that is no diss to Stewart who is very good). The issue is “Spencer” will be divisive at best… Personally, I think Chastain is in a class of her own from what I’ve seen so far… It will be interesting to see how the rest of the field fills out with the contenders who haven’t screened yet…. But as of now, I think Chastain will take it over Stewart. Current predix: 1. Chastain 2. Stewart 3. Cruz 4. Hudson (campaigning like crazy and fantastic in the role) 5. Colman (her film will be divisive as well which could hurt despite a brilliant performance) ~ 6th: McDormand 7th: Thompson Not ranking them til they at least screen somewhere: Berry, Ziegler, Gaga, Kidman, Lawrence, Blanchett

    I’ve been saying it, Chastain can win. She has all it takes to be the anointed one from SAG.

    Due for some recognition? Yes

    Baity and transformative? Yes

    Basic? Yes

    Early release? Yes

    Past nominee? Yes

    She has a great chance with the Oscar but she’s terribly underestimated by Goldderby users

    Anticipate "Hold My hand".

    Lady Gaga is a genius

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    Barbra Please
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    Oct 21st, 2018
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    #1204544280

    Best Actress Predictions: Late October

    Top 5

    1. Kristen Stewart, Spencer
    2. Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    3. Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
    4. Jennifer Hudson, Respect
    5. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

    Next Contenders

    6.Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
    7. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
    8. Nicole Kidman, Being The Ricardos
    9. Jodie Comer, The Last Duel
    10. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley

    Pretty Longshots

    11. Halle Berry, Bruised
    12. Tessa Thompson, Passing
    13.Renata Reinsve, The Worst Person in The World
    14. Emilia Jones, CODA
    15. Jennifer Lawrence, Don’t Look Up

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204544425

    I’ve been saying it, Chastain can win. She has all it takes to be the anointed one from SAG. Due for some recognition? Yes Baity and transformative? Yes Basic? Yes Early release? Yes Past nominee? Yes She has a great chance with the Oscar but she’s terribly underestimated by Goldderby users

    While they love basic ****, I think they are increasingly aware it gives them a bad name and that such wins are mocked. Also, Chastain doesn’t seem like Zellweger 2.0. She has a huge competition from Stewart who is not only seen as a frontrunner but has a genuine “would love to see her win” support. So we’ll see if this is 1 frontrunner race or 2 frontunners and who they are.

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    #1204544432
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    loudtoilet
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    #1204544472

    She is on nomination list but we are talking about winning now cause GD that attended SAG screening thinks that hers went much better than KStew’s, respect for KStew’s performance nothwithstanding. A basic but I assume entertaining movie vs artsy movie that may be too weird and/or boring? Not hard to figure out which one would get a warmer reception.

    I mean maybe our minds are clouded by social media and critic’s desire to see KStew’s redemption arc play out with the Oscar at the end of the journey. So maybe we are missing the signs that the industry is taken with a traditional transformation though heavy make-up pain and suffering, certainly a more compelling campaign story than the one about getting into Diana’s head while wearing haute couture. So you have a point.

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    kallewickans
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    #1204544557

    I don’t see 3 biopic getting in, when there many original stories that are worthy of being nominated.

    1. Kristen Biopic

    2.Olivia Book to Movie Adaptation

    3.Penelope  Original Story

    4. Halle Original Story

    5. Nicole Biopic

     

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    Lil Tony
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    #1204544560

    While they love basic ****, I think they are increasingly aware it gives them a bad name and that such wins are mocked. Also, Chastain doesn’t seem like Zellweger 2.0. She has a huge competition from Stewart who is not only seen as a frontrunner but has a genuine “would love to see her win” support. So we’ll see if this is 1 frontrunner race or 2 frontunners and who they are.

    The still went with basic picks in lead just this year. I think they just kind of started nominating the not so basic performances without giving them wins. They’re also fond of rewarding past nominees in lead

    Anticipate "Hold My hand".

    Lady Gaga is a genius

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    hildy1050
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    Sep 4th, 2021
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    #1204544597

    This is true and it also means that, since pundits wrote her off, she needs critic and/or industry backing. So crirics awards, precursors defying the punditry. Not an easy task. Critics are more likely to back up someone in an artier movie, possibly one of the Frenchies.

    I wouldn’t say pundits are writing Comer off. Sasha Stone and Anne Thompson have her in their top 5. So does Next Best Picture. Scott Feinberg has her at like #7 or 8 in his list (and Emilia Jones is his #5, which…do we think she’s happening? Idk). Erik Anderson hasn’t really given her or the movie much credit at all, same with Clayton Davis. I mean, she’s not getting nearly the kind of mentions as Chastain or even Hudson but she’s still very much in the conversation, at least for now.

     

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    Babylonian
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    #1204544644

    I don’t see 3 biopic getting in, when there many original stories that are worthy of being nominated. 1. Kristen Biopic 2.Olivia Book to Movie Adaptation 3.Penelope Original Story 4. Halle Original Story 5. Nicole Biopic

    I don’t think the AMPAS are counting how many biopic roles get in or not. Some years are biopic heavy, and they tend to get into the acting categories.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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