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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 3)

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    #1204374298
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Tick Tock
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    #1204374300

    Note to self: do not make tongue in cheek comments in these threads.

    lol sorry hard to tell on the interwebs sometimes.

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    wolfali
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    #1204374310

    I have no idea what to do with Jennifer Hudson. On the one hand Respect looks quite crowd pleasing but on the other it’s releasing way too early (and this is still an extended season at least in campaigning) and Hudson could be another Taron Egerton (hand-picked by the singer they’re portraying, acclaimed performance that ultimately peaks in buzz too early and a thespian who there may be too little a drive to award).

    That being said unless the film ends up flopping either critically or commercially (I feel confident in it doing well at least in the latter respect although I don’t think it will reach Bohemian Rhapsody‘s levels of success with this pandemic), I don’t see Hudson being below 8th.

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design
    "CODA" – in all categories

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    JGibson
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    #1204374314

    ‘risky’

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    George Ehret
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    George must have heard from his sources Comer isn’t strong and is “playing it safe”

    I also heard that Netflix plans to campaign Joey King for The Kissing Booth 3 and wants her to win a Best Actress Oscar as a representation for the whole trilogy. Get her on this list, GoldDerby!

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    Elsa Korr
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    #1204374334

    I also heard that Netflix plans to campaign Joey King for The Kissing Booth 3 and wants her to win a Best Actress Oscar as a representation for the whole trilogy. Get her on this list, GoldDerby!

    Funnily enough some people around me really wonder why movies like Kissing Booth never gets anywhere near Oscars lol

     

    FYC-Nightmare Alley in All Categories (Best Picture, Guillermo Del Toro for Best Director, Bradley Cooper for Best Actor, Cate Blanchett for Best Actress, Rooney Mara for Best Supporting Actress, Richard Jenkins for Best Supporting Actor)

    FYC-Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright for Best Director, Thomasin McKenzie for Best Actress, Anya Taylor Joy for Best Supporting Actress, Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson Cairns for Best Original Screenplay)

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    kaziz
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    #1204374338

    I also heard that Netflix plans to campaign Joey King for The Kissing Booth 3 and wants her to win a Best Actress Oscar as a representation for the whole trilogy. Get her on this list, GoldDerby!

    Since I don’t see Mr. Pink’s posts excexcept in quotes (thank the lord), like…….I dunno why it takes some people so long to get that many folx on here do actually have access to insider info. Wtf else do you expect from members of an anonymous awards predix website forum lol. I have no trouble believin ya insider info George, keep it coming! Gossip is FUN! (Please don’t get into trouble tho)

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    George Ehret
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    #1204374346

    I have no idea what to do with Jennifer Hudson. On the one hand Respect looks quite crowd pleasing but on the other it’s releasing way too early (and this is still an extended season at least in campaigning) and Hudson could be another Taron Egerton (hand-picked by the singer they’re portraying, acclaimed performance that ultimately peaks in buzz too early and a thespian who there may be too little a drive to award). That being said unless the film ends up flopping either critically or commercially (I feel confident in it doing well at least in the latter respect although I don’t think it will reach Bohemian Rhapsody‘s levels of success with this pandemic), I don’t see Hudson being below 8th.

    I feel the same way, I feel like she could easily be snubbed even if her performance is acclaimed (which it most certainly will be). I get the feeling that MGM has other priorities overall (I say “overall” because who actually believes Respect will be nominated for Picture?) and might push her off to the sidelines a bit. Her being a previous winner does mean she’s more in the eyes of the Academy, but to go back to the Taron comparison Elton John was an Oscar winner himself before Rocketman was made. It’s not like they were unaware of Elton either, they just didn’t have passion for Taron. I feel the same could happen with Respect, especially if its Metascore is around 50-60 range

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    George Ehret
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    #1204374348

    I have no trouble believin ya insider info George, keep it coming! Gossip is FUN! (Please don’t get into trouble tho)

    You say this, but I’m being conservative with what I’m saying here. There’s something I wanted to mention in my Respect post, but that is something I’ve been specifically told to keep my mouth shut about. So I’m gonna save it until the time is right

    FYC
    Best Picture: The Worst Person in the World
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Supporting Actor: Benedict Wong
    Best Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog
    Best Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in the World

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    kaziz
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    #1204374350

    I have no idea what to do with Jennifer Hudson. On the one hand Respect looks quite crowd pleasing but on the other it’s releasing way too early (and this is still an extended season at least in campaigning) and Hudson could be another Taron Egerton (hand-picked by the singer they’re portraying, acclaimed performance that ultimately peaks in buzz too early and a thespian who there may be too little a drive to award).

    That being said unless the film ends up flopping either critically or commercially (I feel confident in it doing well at least in the latter respect although I don’t think it will reach Bohemian Rhapsody‘s levels of success with this pandemic), I don’t see Hudson being below 8th.

    I thinkkkkk you’re right to be skeptical. The Egerton example is pretty good, and the release date is definitely an issue. The thing for me is though that even though many love to hate on Hudson, when in her wheelhouse she can be fantastic and I also think some of her competitors might release really late, so…she’ll be assumed for a while, the only things we’ll get in the meantime are probably critics groups (who, let’s face it, aren’t gonna pick her anyway).

    Aug is a good month to get ahead of the buzz of fall festivals lol. But most competitors will sort of be getting in thru anticipation and critics prizes. Nightmare Alley, TPOTD, HoG, probably Tragedy of Macbeth, even West Side Story are late, TLD and Dune are coming in the interim and only one of those has a competitor. So she’ll have a long ass period when she’ll supposedly be in, unless ofc the film gets Hillbilly Elegy reviews. Which I doubt.

    I also just have a feeling she’ll be better than we expect her to be. It’s been a while since Dreamgirls, she’s gotten to practice acting quite a bit since then, so she’ll be giving it her all (and in the clip, I liked how restrained she was! Not over the top at all).

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    kaziz
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    #1204374354

    You say this, but I’m being conservative with what I’m saying here. There’s something I wanted to mention in my Respect post, but that is something I’ve been specifically told to keep my mouth shut about. So I’m gonna save it until the time is right

    Well George, like I always tell my Mum who does stuff like this to me all the time “if you’re not going to tell me, at least don’t tease me! 😋

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    wolfali
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    #1204374362

    Hudson also strikes me as someone who would have benefitted from a Globe boost (which she obviously won’t be getting this year). They love biopic performances (even awarding Andra Day for that flop movie last year and Russell Crowe for a Showtime mini series that went nowhere at the Emmys).

    Oscars FYC:
    "THE POWER OF THE DOG" – IN ALL CATEGORIES
    "SPENCER" – In all categories especially Director (Pablo Larrain) and Actress (Kristen Stewart)
    "SHIVA BABY" – in all categories especially Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Score
    "TOGETHER" – Actress (Sharon Horgan), Actor (James McAvoy), Original Screenplay
    "LAST NIGHT IN SOHO" – Director (Edgar Wright), S. Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy/Diana Rigg), Cinematography, Costume Design and Production Design
    "CODA" – in all categories

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    kaziz
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    #1204374370

    Hudson also strikes me as someone who would have benefitted from a Globe boost (which she obviously won’t be getting this year). They love biopic performances (even awarding Andra Day for that flop movie last year and Russell Crowe for a Showtime mini series that went nowhere at the Emmys).

    That’s also true. I dunno what’s going on with me. I careened from being a JHud skeptic (Cynthia Erivo was brilliant, release date sucks, and I don’t like musical biopics in general for some reason) to somebody who thinks she might just be the only one I can imagine at the top of the pack. I don’t want it to be true (Dunst!) but somehow I think it is.

    A month from now maybe I’ll start saying “she’s not happening” but I gotta say…….it’s such an empty looking field to me right now

    FYC:
    Picture: The Power of the Dog, Passing, The Lost Daughter
    Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
    Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley
    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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