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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 4)

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    George Papakostas
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    #1204388408

    My predictions so far are

    1. Cate Blanchett ( I mean, come on, we all know she´s getting a third Oscar soon!Maybe Nightmare Alley is not the movie she´ll win it for, but E-VE-RY-ONE in the industry respects her and thinks she´s one of the greatest actresses we have, so how can she fail in G.D.Toro film? I think she´s definitely in! )

    2. Olivia Colman ( sky-rocketed in 2018 and hasn´t stopped since!Besides, I think I would vote for her only to see her give YET AGAIN another hilarious acceptance speech! WHO DOESN´T LOVE HER? Oh, yes! I forgot to say that she´s amazing in everything she does!So, yes, she´s also in! )

    3. Frances McDormand (next to Denzel in a movie directed by Coen! How can things go wrong?)

    4. Jennifer Hudson (singing really well and looking like the person you are playing is by definition an Oscar baity role! Especially if you are playing someone everybody in this universe loves ! Perhaps the film is not that good, ok, but who cares? She gave us the goosebumps in those 10 minutes back in 2006, I m pretty sure she can repeat it and get the nom)

    5. Halle for BRUISED. I can see that happening for three reasons
    A. 20 years since MONSTER´S BALL
    B. 1st ever black actress to achieve this
    C. CAMPAIGN-NETFLIX AND VOTERS THINKING: ¨It´s been far too long and how come we haven´t given a leading Oscar to any other black actress ever since?Time to do the right thing¨

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204388421

       VOTERS THINKING: ¨It´s been far too long and how come we haven´t given a leading Oscar to any other black actress ever since?Time to do the right thing¨

    You mean like Oscars 2021, right?

    Narrative shmarrative. We here are onyl talking about forum narrative or even media narrative that may not overlap with what AMPAS thinks. And they vote for what they like. So if Halle or Jennifer or another have the role that resonates the most, she will win. If not, actress who does will win. The mistake that many made with Boseman, for exmaple, is that they thought that what happened to him in real life would resonate more than Hopkins performance. But it didn’t. he didn’t have a role that resonated more and real life situation didn’t hold that much weight when all was said and done because, at the end of the day, they award the performance not someone’s circumstances.

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    lorelei lor
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    #1204388433

    You mean like Oscars 2021, right? Narrative shmarrative. We here are onyl talking about forum narrative or even media narrative that may not overlap with what AMPAS thinks. And they vote for what they like. So if Halle or Jennifer or another have the role that resonates the most, she will win. If not, actress who does will win. The mistake that many made with Boseman, for exmaple, is that they thought that what happened to him in real life would resonate more than Hopkins performance. But it didn’t. he didn’t have a role that resonated more and real life situation didn’t hold that much weight when all was said and done because, at the end of the day, they award the performance not someone’s circumstances.

    The way we failed lol. It should have been obvious after Hopkins won BAFTA and judging by those anonymous ballots in which most voters were praising Hopkins or Ahmed and very few mentioned Boseman.

     

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    James Gibson
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    #1204388438

    Them going gender neutral means that a lot more snubs will happen as others said and this will never work in favour of women especially the women of colour. they’re already struggling to get nominations due to old white men and the racist population of ampas and if they decrease the number of acting categories their chances will be even less. this is definitely not a good idea

    also, what do you mean 4 acting categories is too much lmao. haven’t you seen a single award season? people fit in those categories barely as it is and there are still a lot of great performances left out. I mean sure there could be more technical categories but that shouldn’t mean acting should get less spotlight

    And theres still 2-3 fillers per category every year that wouldnt be missed if they were gone. If categories were even expanded we’d still get more bland noms pushed by the same 5 big studios. Like the emmys this year.
    Also, a more competitive field wouldnt be more exciting?

    But anyway, clearly people here love the outdated division. Even a drama/comedy gender neutral division would make more sense but also not needed.

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    James Gibson
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    #1204388440

    Also why JHud getting people here so pressed? She’ll have enough support for the performance and MGM will probably fight for her. One of the safest bets by far.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204388450

    The way we failed lol. It should have been obvious after Hopkins won BAFTA and judging by those anonymous ballots in which most voters were praising Hopkins or Ahmed and very few mentioned Boseman.

    Exactly.

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    #1204388456
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    2020felling1
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    #1204388459

    Is anyone in here in the AW forum? If yes, it’s t normal for take like a month to get in? If not, what to do? Haha

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    Rachel615
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    #1204388491

    You mean like Oscars 2021, right?

    Narrative shmarrative. We here are onyl talking about forum narrative or even media narrative that may not overlap with what AMPAS thinks. And they vote for what they like. So if Halle or Jennifer or another have the role that resonates the most, she will win. If not, actress who does will win. The mistake that many made with Boseman, for exmaple, is that they thought that what happened to him in real life would resonate more than Hopkins performance. But it didn’t. he didn’t have a role that resonated more and real life situation didn’t hold that much weight when all was said and done because, at the end of the day, they award the performance not someone’s circumstances.

    I think you’re greatly underestimating the importance of timing— Chadwick Bozeman died more than 6 months before Oscar voting closed, and The Father was released very close to the time when voting commenced. Had The Father been released six to seven months earlier- say, on the day Boseman died— and had Boseman died three weeks before Oscar voting closed, which is when The Father was released, Chadwick Boseman would have won.

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    #1204388496
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Stefania
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    Feb 22nd, 2021
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    #1204388508

    For me right now:

    1. Kirsten Dunst
    2. Cate Blanchett
    3. Jennifer Hudson
    4. Lady Gaga
    5. Jodie Comer

    If Dunst or Comer go supporting, I’d say Penélope Cruz or Frances McDormand (if the movie is not too weird).

    Kristen Stewart – I liked her indie movies, but she doesn’t struck me as a transformative actress, plus you have to nail Lady D’s accent, voice, manners and shy charisma. It’s a lot for any actress. I’ll wait for a trailer.

    Olivia Colman – We all love her, but I would be name-checking at this point. Maggie Gyllenhaal is a great actress, but it’s the first time that she directs a movie and I think this is also her first writing credit (correct me if I’m wrong).

    Nicole Kidman – I can’t say too much because “I Love Lucy” was never on television in my country so I’ve only seen a few videos on YouTube about Lucille Ball.

     

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204388520

    I think you’re greatly underestimating the importance of timing— Chadwick Bozeman died more than 6 months before Oscar voting closed, and The Father was released very close to the time when voting commenced. Had The Father been released six to seven months earlier- say, on the day Boseman died— and had Boseman died three weeks before Oscar voting closed, which is when The Father was released, Chadwick Boseman would have won.

    have to disagree. It wasn’t like Boseman’s death was forgotten. Quite the opposite. Media kept reminding us and ABC went as far as changing the award order expecting that he would win. Moreover, those 6 months were used to create (false) impression that he was some kind of legend up there with Poitier, Washington, Freeman, Smith. But he wasn’t. So that 6 months stretch actually helped him rack up tons of awards he otherwise wouldn’t (as I said previously, his performance and movie were the opposite of what critics go for yet they jumped on the wagon as if no one else was in contention) and that secured his nomination and made his win likely until Hopkins won BAFTA. So, no, I don’t think that proximity of death to the end of voting would have changed anything. Hopkins was GOAT and that was acknowledged. and would have been in any other scenario.

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    loudtoilet
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    #1204388536

    Is anyone in here in the AW forum? If yes, it’s t normal for take like a month to get in? If not, what to do? Haha

    I’m not but I’ve seen this being discussed on some other forums and the gist is that you need a long standing member’s referal. Which, going by your question, you don’t have. 🙂

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    fefface
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    #1204388540

    For me right now:

    1. Kirsten Dunst
    2. Cate Blanchett
    3. Jennifer Hudson
    4. Lady Gaga
    5. Jodie Comer

    If Dunst or Comer go supporting, I’d say Penélope Cruz or Frances McDormand (if the movie is not too weird).

    Based on predicted screen time, I’d say McDormand is more likely to go supporting than Comer.

    Also why JHud getting people here so pressed? She’ll have enough support for the performance and MGM will probably fight for her. One of the safest bets by far.

    MGM also has Gaga and if HoG is good could well throw most of their campaigning power behind her.

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    kallewickans
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    Jul 27th, 2021
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    #1204388560

    Yes and it’s a sports movie and with all the biopics in the bunch, We need another sports movie to win it’s far too long. I like how she isn’t mentioned, I would like her to surprise the critics. My other choices Kirsten and Jennifer Hudson and maybe just maybe Nicole Kidman.

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