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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 44)

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    oxymoron
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    #1204659656

    Yes, I doubt that Gaga and Nicole will even be nominated at this point.

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    The Northman
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    Nov 10th, 2021
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    #1204659666

    London Film Critics Winner VS Oscar Winner last decade

    2011:  Same (Meryl Streep tied)
    2012:  Different
    2013:  Same
    2014:  Same
    2015:  Different
    2016:  Different
    2017:  Same
    2018:  Same
    2019:  Same
    2020:  Same
    2021:   ?

    The Best Actress Oscar winner was also nominated in London Film Critics in 2012, 2015 and 2016.

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    Anthagiox
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    #1204659671

    Yes, I doubt that Gaga and Nicole will even be nominated at this point.

    And then you woke up.

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    QueenSansa
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    #1204659673

    London Film Critics Winner VS Oscar Winner last decade 2011: Same (Meryl Streep tied) 2012: Different 2013: Same 2014: Same 2015: Different 2016: Different 2017: Same 2018: Same 2019: Same 2020: Same 2021: ? The Best Actress Oscar winner was also nominated in London Film Critics in 2012, 2015 and 2016.

    Bodes very well for KStew.

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    Babylonian
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    Aug 16th, 2021
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    #1204659675

    London Film Critics Winner VS Oscar Winner last decade 2011: Same (Meryl Streep tied) 2012: Different 2013: Same 2014: Same 2015: Different 2016: Different 2017: Same 2018: Same 2019: Same 2020: Same 2021: ? The Best Actress Oscar winner was also nominated in London Film Critics in 2012, 2015 and 2016.

    Bodes very well for Olivia.

    FYC:

    Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

    Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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    coopC
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    #1204659677

    Without strong support from the British department, it’s almost impossible to guarantee a win from the oscar. Kristen/Olivia might lose globe and sag, but that doesn’t really matter that much now.

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    Chocoesq
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    #1204659680

    Yes, I doubt that Gaga and Nicole will even be nominated at this point.

    Chastain, Nicole or Gaga’s nominations don’t depend on a London Critics Circle nomination lol. That was never their path. The average acting branch voter will look at Globes/SAG/CC, not London Critics Circle.

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    oxymoron
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    #1204659682

    Without strong support from the British department, it’s almost impossible to guarantee a win from the oscar. Kristen/Olivia might lose globe and sag, but that doesn’t really matter that much now.

    Yep, which is why it’s over for Nicole and Gaga.

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    Chocoesq
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    #1204659684

    Bodes very well for Olivia.

    Right. Y’all are crazy if you think they aren’t going to try to propel Olivia’s chances here. IMO she will be this and BAFTA winner.

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    coopC
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    #1204659686

    Chastain, Nicole or Gaga’s nominations don’t depend on a London Critics Circle nomination lol. That was never their path.

    Yeah, they still might be nominated, big chance in fact. But their winning prospect is bleak now.

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    QueenSansa
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    #1204659692

    Bodes very well for Olivia.

    I don’t know why this board has gone so all in on Colman lol. It isn’t unheard of for the critical frontrunner to be defeated at the Oscars, but when it happens it usually happens when their competition is uber baity and or in a film that’s a big hit with AMPAS. So far Colman hasn’t won anything, not even a no1curr regional which indicates there is no real passion for her performance. She also only just won and followup wins this close to the first win are the same – unbeatable juggernaut BP frontrunners or undeniable bait. Colman is safe for the nom but she’s not winning.

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    Chocoesq
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    #1204659696

    Yeah, they still might be nominated, big chance in fact. But their winning prospect is bleak now.

    I think that was always the case. I thought Kidman had a chance at taking it until the embargo lifted, but other than that it’s always felt like 75% Kstew, 15 % Colman, and then Gaga and Chastain as outside contenders.

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    Wanda
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    Sep 1st, 2021
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    #1204659700

    Well, we know that Gaga, Chastain and Kidman aren’t winning now. All the previous winners have at least gained a nomination in London.

    Bullock and Witherspoon missed and then went on to win the Oscar. But yes, this isn’t looking for them. I have Kristen winning now.

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    Anthagiox
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    #1204659702

    Yep, which is why it’s over for Nicole and Gaga.

    Right, but that’s not what you said. It’s over for everyone except Kristen and Olivia.

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    xohours
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    Aug 13th, 2020
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    #1204659704

    seems like London didn’t nominate any of the “campier” performances, oh well; congrats Olivia on your 2nd Oscar

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