Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 55)

[Bassett Joined: Dec 21st, 2016 Topics: 1 Posts: 2645 View Predictions]

#1204712714

sadins wrote:

Same, I think she can win at CCA, since their sole purpose is to try and predict Oscars. The only thing left to be seen how much support she has at BAFTAs. As long as she cracks long list there, she will be frontrunner in my eyes.

Yeah, the international support is the only thing I’m iffy about

but that SAG win is starting to look pretty obvious and I’d be very surprised if she failed there. It’s also about to be her 15th nomination

FYC

AOTY - Renaissance

Angela Bassett, Michelle Yeoh, Brian Tyree Henry.

[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 61 Posts: 4955 View Predictions]

#1204712716

wrote:

If Cruz does not make SAG I can’t see her getting nominated

It’s often the case that foreign language performances miss at SAG. I think she needs to get a BAFTA nomination but she doesn’t need SAG.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 395 View Predictions]

#1204712720

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[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 61 Posts: 4955 View Predictions]

#1204712725

wrote:

So Cruz must win BAFTA if she wants to be nod

Nominated, not win. In my opinion of course.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 395 View Predictions]

#1204712733

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Summerville Joined: Jan 15th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 49 View Predictions]

#1204712742

Cruz doesn’t even need the BAFTA nomination, but she will get it. And the passion will be enough for the Oscars. Just like Charlotte Rampling, but even better positioned.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 395 View Predictions]

#1204712746

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[PeytonKawai for Dame Kate Winslet Joined: Dec 1st, 2016 Topics: 2 Posts: 241 View Predictions]

#1204712750

Summerville wrote:

Cruz doesn’t even need the BAFTA nomination, but she will get it. And the passion will be enough for the Oscars. Just like Charlotte Rampling, but even better positioned.

She doesn’t need a BAFTA nomination…
So you mean she just will be nominated for the Oscar without nominations from BAFTA, SAG, GG, & CC

TED LASSO & THE WHITE LOTUS in EVERY CATEGORIES!

[Bassett Joined: Dec 21st, 2016 Topics: 1 Posts: 2645 View Predictions]

#1204712766

PeytonKawai for Dame Kate Winslet wrote:

She doesn’t need a BAFTA nomination… So you mean she just will be nominated for the Oscar without nominations from BAFTA, SAG, GG, & CC

There’s a precedent for this. Laura Linney had no precursor and only a LFCC nom under her belt. It’s still an unlikely scenario though so Cruz definitely needs a BAFTA nom

FYC

AOTY - Renaissance

Angela Bassett, Michelle Yeoh, Brian Tyree Henry.

[Anthagiox Joined: Sep 28th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1531 View Predictions]

#1204712768

wrote:

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NwYWNlX2NhcmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib2ZmIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH19&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1480601637894991873&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2Foscars-2022-predictions-best-actress-part-55%2F&sessionId=f08e8ee82c259c1d84f3811507ea6ccaa02ae49d&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=9fd78d5%3A1638479056965&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

They’re hitting $150m. Come through, international voters.

[Summerville Joined: Jan 15th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 49 View Predictions]

#1204712772

PeytonKawai for Dame Kate Winslet wrote:

She doesn’t need a BAFTA nomination… So you mean she just will be nominated for the Oscar without nominations from BAFTA, SAG, GG, & CC

I think she would be, yes, on passion alone. Like Rampling or Cotillard. I don’t count Critics Choice, they have no influence to the race. But anyway, Cruz will have a BAFTA nomination (no way the jury won’t pick her) so she’s even better positioned imo.

[coopC Joined: Nov 26th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 485 View Predictions]

#1204712775

Kidman was the most vulnerable of the three biopic performances pre-globe (Gaga/Chastain/Kidman), and then she won. Had to cool down a bit to see how the GG results are received. She’s locked for nom now and that is something indisputable, but the race is wide open. Who knows what will happen at the SAG, 160 thousand people vote there (for win of course), Kidman’s situation is similar to Close, minus the speech and not-so-tough competition for sure.

[The Northman Joined: Nov 10th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 1638 View Predictions]

#1204712783

Some important dates for SAG, Oscars and BAFTAs

January

12th – BAFTA Longlists Announcement (BAFTA)

12th – Screen Actors Guild Awards Nominations (SAG)

19th – Screen Actors Guild Winner Voting Begins (SAG)

27th – Oscar Nomination Voting Begins 9am PT (AMPAS)

February

1st – Oscar Nomination Voting Ends 5pm PT (AMPAS)

6th – London Film Critics Circle (LFCC)

8th – Oscar Nominations (AMPAS)

25th – Screen Actors Guild Winner Voting Ends 12pm PT (SAG)

27th – Screen Actors Guild (SAG)

March

13th – British Academy of Film and Television Arts Film Awards (BAFTA)

17th – Final Oscar Winner Voting Begins 9am PT (AMPAS)

22nd – Final Oscar Winner Voting Ends 5pm PT (AMPAS)

27th – 94th Academy Awards (AMPAS)

[Marcel Carneiro Joined: Dec 30th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 94 View Predictions]

#1204712786

safe to say kristen isn’t winning the oscar. she can’t win with just BAFTA. not happening.

Ok if Kristen is definitely not winning, who still has a chance?
Can we say Kidman has it in the bag already?

[Rich Thot Joined: Apr 17th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1503 View Predictions]

#1204712790

Faux architect wrote:

I agree. Nor that this performance is bad or anything. It’s just that it would be very strange for an actress like her to have 2 Oscars for 2 biopics when she has performances like The Others, Dogville, Destroyer, Stoker, Birth etc. It would be peak Oscars. I hope the nomination will keep her in the conversation for a future win. Because we all know they will snub her for the rest of her life if she wins for Ricardos.

It wouldn’t be “strange”. That’s just how the Oscars are. Neither ‘Ricardos” nor The Hours are in my top five Kidman performances. But famous (female) actors with long careers and a lot of acclaimed performances tend to win for eh projects. At least, unlike The Hours, there’s a chance I’d place Kidman in my personal top five this year.