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Oscars 2022 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 60)

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    Victor
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    #1204728944

    GAGA QUEEN OF OSCARS

    It's all about Ethan Hawke!

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    Ben Affleck Fan
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    #1204728972

    Re edit it back @BenAffleckfan or just repost it lol 😭

    I am trying. One sec. I wanted to edit it and it disappeared.

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    Ben Affleck Fan
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    #1204728978

    AACTA

    Golden Globes (Drama)

    Critics Choice Actress

    SAG

    Actresses that made the most

    1. Nicole Kidman: AACTA,GG(win),CC,SAG (4/4)
    2. Lady Gaga: AACTA, GG, CC, SAG (4/4)
    3. Olivia Colman: GG, CC, SAG (3/4)
    4. Jessica Chastain: GG, CC, SAG (3/4)
    5. Kristen Stewart: AACTA, GG, CC (3/4)

    ——-

    6. Jennifer Hudson: AACTA, SAG (2/4)
    7. Alana Haim: CC, GG(m) (2/4)
    8. Penelope Cruz: AACTA (1/4)
    9. Rachel Zegler: GG(m win) (1/4)

    These are the names that made any relevant precursor. Missing all of these and scoring an academy award nom is almost impossible. Tessa Thompson and Frances McDornamd seem impossible to get in now. Jennifer Hudson is actually in prime position to enter top5 if BAFTAs nominate her.

    SAG and AACTA are film industry awards, while Globes and CC are journalists or pundits.

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    TomJerry
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    #1204728988

    AACTA

    Golden Globes (Drama)

    Critics Choice Actress

    SAG

    Actresses that made the most

    1. Nicole Kidman: AACTA,GG(win),CC,SAG (4/4)
    2. Lady Gaga: AACTA, GG, CC, SAG (4/4)
    3. Olivia Colman: GG, CC, SAG (3/4)
    4. Jessica Chastain: GG, CC, SAG (3/4)
    5. Kristen Stewart: AACTA, GG, CC (3/4)

    ——-

    6. Jennifer Hudson: AACTA, SAG (2/4)
    7. Alana Haim: CC, GG(m) (2/4)
    8. Penelope Cruz: AACTA (1/4)
    9. Rachel Zegler: GG(m win) (1/4)

    These are the names that made any relevant precursor. Missing all of these and scoring an academy award nom is almost impossible. Tessa Thompson and Frances McDornamd seem impossible to get in now. Jennifer Hudson is actually in prime position to enter top5 if BAFTAs nominate her.

    SAG and AACTA are film industry awards, while Globes and CC are journalists or pundits.

    It’s funny how AACTA managed to nominate Penelope Cruz while she wasn’t even able to make the BAFTA longlist where she was quite expected to win or at least place high.

    Edit: **It definitely has something to do with the fact that her film (Parallel Mothers) wasn’t an International Film Selection.

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    Ben Affleck Fan
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    #1204728994

    Top 5 Profiles for SAG and Oscars

    SAG
    1. Nicole Kidman (15 noms, 1 win)
    2. Lady Gaga (4 noms)
    3. Olivia Colman (7 noms, 2 wins)
    4. Jessica Chastain (4 noms, 1 win)
    5. Jennifer Hudson (3 noms, 1 win)

    Oscars

    1. Nicole Kidman (4 noms, 1 win)
    2. Lady Gaga (3 noms(1 for acting), 1 win song)
    3. Olivia Colman  (2 noms, 1 win)
    4. Jessica Chastain (2 noms)
    5. Kristen Stewart (0 noms)

    ——

    6. Jennifer Hudson (1 nom, 1 win)
    7. Alana Haim (0 noms)
    8. Penelope Cruz (3 noms, 1 win)
    9. Rachel Zegler (0 noms)

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    Marcus.H
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    #1204728997

    I just watched The Lost Daughter and I’m pretty sure this performance is not gonna win Colman her second Oscars. I haven’t seen BTR and Gucci, but at least Chastain delivered a stronger performance than this one (though I prefer Colman’s subtlety.)

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    Giordano Bruno
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    #1204729058

    Imagine if Nicole wins SAG and Gaga bafta (or vice versa) the confusion that it will be.

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    Giordano Bruno
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    #1204729078

    I just watched The Lost Daughter and I’m pretty sure this performance is not gonna win Colman her second Oscars. I haven’t seen BTR and Gucci, but at least Chastain delivered a stronger performance than this one (though I prefer Colman’s subtlety.)

     

    Yes I think TLD got some of the same problems Spencer seens to have but with the difference that Olivia Colman is very much loved, yet too many problems that makes hard to expect her to win with it.

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    Faux architect
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    #1204729083

    Imagine if Nicole wins SAG and Gaga bafta (or vice versa) the confusion that it will be.

    I think Gaga has more of a chance at SAG than BAFTA. Chastain too.

    Pantheon of acting: Uta / Elizabeth / Richard / Sandy (Virginia Woolf), Bibi / Liv (Persona), Sandrine (La Ceremonie), Brie (Short Term 12), Jodie (Silence of the Lambs), Jodie (Killing Eve), Nicole (The Others), Eva (Penny Dreadful), Timothée (CMBYN), Lupita (Us)

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1204729102

    I love how everybody is underestimating Olivia Colman! Again!!!!

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    Giordano Bruno
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    #1204729104

    I think Gaga has more of a chance at SAG than BAFTA. Chastain too.

    Yes but we will have to wait and see if HOG overperform on Bafta again and Gaga get nominated in the final list

    Maybe if this happens the predictions will start to see her as a possible nom in the oscars lol

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    Giordano Bruno
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    #1204729109

    I love how everybody is underestimating Olivia Colman! Again!!!!

     

    Nobody is really underestimating her here, more the opposite , most people predicts her to win the bafta and even to be a threat to win the Oscar.

    Some are just pointing out how TLD doesn’t feel secure for her this time like when it was with The Favorite

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    M
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    Sep 27th, 2017
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    #1204729132

    I was browsing past SAG cast ensemble nom and Oscar BP nom overlap. Turns out it’s not a necessary indicator at all, while they usually have 3 overlaps (even just 2 last year). If one of the ensemble five were being left out of Oscar BP, I think it’ll be between HoG and Don’t Look Up. Or both could just miss. Both film perform well at the Bafta shortlist so there isn’t much to tell which one is ahead.

    There is a Best Picture rule change this year. First of all for example, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom last year overperformed similar to House of Gucci (11 BAFTA mentions) and Ensemble Nod (it won the SAG Best Actress too). But it missed in the end, because there were only 8 nominees. Everyone knows it was 9-10.

    This year however, the rule changed dramatically:

    1. There are 10 guaranteed nominees moving forward
    2. You no longer need to be #1 for at least 5% of the voters. Whatever movies with the highest number of points will get in. What this means in practice, is that movies with a lot of #4 and #5 votes could get in.
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    Marcus.H
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    Oct 21st, 2017
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    #1204729140

    I just watched BTR following TLD and now my personal ranking is:

    Kidman>Chastain>Colman (haven’t seen Gucci and Spencer)

    Yeah, Kidman can win for this performance. And BTR actually exceeded my expectations as I thought it would be a bad film. I can see it get a screenplay nom now.

    Coen-Lynch-Fellini

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204729149

    I can’t believe Nicole Kidman is win competitive for that Oscar and it’s not for the best performance she gave this year!

     

    FYC:

    "The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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